Estimation of Causal Functional Linear Regression Models

We present a methodology for estimating causal functional linear models using orthonormal tensor product expansions. More precisely, we estimate the functional parameters $\alpha$ and $\beta$ that appear in the causal functional linear regression model:$$\mathcal{Y}(s)=\alpha(s)+\int_a^b\beta(s,t)\mathcal{X}(t)\mathrm{d}t+\mathcal{E}(s),$$ where $\mbox{supp } \beta \subset \mathfrak{T},$ and $\mathfrak{T}$ is the closed triangular region whose vertexes are $(a,a) , (b,a)$ and $(b,b).$ We assume we have an independent sample $\{ (\mathcal{Y}_k,\mathcal{X}_k) : 1\le k \le N, k\in \mathbb{N}\}$ of observations where the $\mathcal{X}_k $'s are functional covariates, the $\mathcal{Y}_k$'s are time order preserving functional responses and $\mathcal{E}_k,$ $1\le k \le N,$ is i.i.d. zero mean functional noise.