IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ibn/eerjnl/v12y2022i2p11.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Wind Speed Forecasting using Machine Learning Approach based on Meteorological Data-A case study

Author

Listed:
  • Yunus Yetis
  • Kambiz Tehrani
  • Mo Jamshidi

Abstract

This paper presents a forecasting method to anticipate wind speed accurately. This method is applied to an energy production site using an artificial intelligence method based on machine learning. The accuracy of this method is higher compared to other existing methods in the literature for time series analysis such as artificial neural networks and the complexity of wind speed prediction models without loss of information content. We tested several thousand data between 1985 and 2018 in the city of Basel, a city in northwestern Switzerland. We have used the MATLAB Software for this modeling. The study demonstrates that the use of statistical models based on machine learning is relevant to predict of speed and direction of the wind in power generation systems from meteorological data. The results obtained are presented and discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Yunus Yetis & Kambiz Tehrani & Mo Jamshidi, 2022. "Wind Speed Forecasting using Machine Learning Approach based on Meteorological Data-A case study," Energy and Environment Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 12(2), pages 1-11, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:ibn:eerjnl:v:12:y:2022:i:2:p:11
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ccsenet.org/journal/index.php/eer/article/download/0/0/47487/50913
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://ccsenet.org/journal/index.php/eer/article/view/0/47487
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chang, Tian Pau, 2011. "Performance comparison of six numerical methods in estimating Weibull parameters for wind energy application," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(1), pages 272-282, January.
    2. Li, Gong & Shi, Jing, 2010. "On comparing three artificial neural networks for wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(7), pages 2313-2320, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Carapellucci, Roberto & Giordano, Lorena, 2013. "A methodology for the synthetic generation of hourly wind speed time series based on some known aggregate input data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 541-550.
    2. Telesca, Luciano & Lovallo, Michele & Kanevski, Mikhail, 2016. "Power spectrum and multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis of high-frequency wind measurements in mountainous regions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 1052-1061.
    3. Rana Muhammad Adnan & Zhongmin Liang & Xiaohui Yuan & Ozgur Kisi & Muhammad Akhlaq & Binquan Li, 2019. "Comparison of LSSVR, M5RT, NF-GP, and NF-SC Models for Predictions of Hourly Wind Speed and Wind Power Based on Cross-Validation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-22, January.
    4. Koo, Junmo & Han, Gwon Deok & Choi, Hyung Jong & Shim, Joon Hyung, 2015. "Wind-speed prediction and analysis based on geological and distance variables using an artificial neural network: A case study in South Korea," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 93(P2), pages 1296-1302.
    5. Hannah Jessie Rani R. & Aruldoss Albert Victoire T., 2018. "Training radial basis function networks for wind speed prediction using PSO enhanced differential search optimizer," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(5), pages 1-35, May.
    6. Chandel, S.S. & Ramasamy, P. & Murthy, K.S.R, 2014. "Wind power potential assessment of 12 locations in western Himalayan region of India," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 530-545.
    7. Niu, Tong & Wang, Jianzhou & Zhang, Kequan & Du, Pei, 2018. "Multi-step-ahead wind speed forecasting based on optimal feature selection and a modified bat algorithm with the cognition strategy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 213-229.
    8. He, J.Y. & Chan, P.W. & Li, Q.S. & Huang, Tao & Yim, Steve Hung Lam, 2024. "Assessment of urban wind energy resource in Hong Kong based on multi-instrument observations," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    9. Pagnini, Luisa C. & Burlando, Massimiliano & Repetto, Maria Pia, 2015. "Experimental power curve of small-size wind turbines in turbulent urban environment," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 112-121.
    10. Colorado, D. & Hernández, J.A. & Rivera, W. & Martínez, H. & Juárez, D., 2011. "Optimal operation conditions for a single-stage heat transformer by means of an artificial neural network inverse," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(4), pages 1281-1290, April.
    11. Katinas, Vladislovas & Gecevicius, Giedrius & Marciukaitis, Mantas, 2018. "An investigation of wind power density distribution at location with low and high wind speeds using statistical model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 218(C), pages 442-451.
    12. Mohandes, M. & Rehman, S. & Rahman, S.M., 2011. "Estimation of wind speed profile using adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS)," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(11), pages 4024-4032.
    13. Chang, Tian-Pau & Ko, Hong-Hsi & Liu, Feng-Jiao & Chen, Pai-Hsun & Chang, Ying-Pin & Liang, Ying-Hsin & Jang, Horng-Yuan & Lin, Tsung-Chi & Chen, Yi-Hwa, 2012. "Fractal dimension of wind speed time series," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 742-749.
    14. Zhao, Yongning & Ye, Lin & Li, Zhi & Song, Xuri & Lang, Yansheng & Su, Jian, 2016. "A novel bidirectional mechanism based on time series model for wind power forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 793-803.
    15. Dongbum Kang & Kyungnam Ko & Jongchul Huh, 2018. "Comparative Study of Different Methods for Estimating Weibull Parameters: A Case Study on Jeju Island, South Korea," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-19, February.
    16. César Henrique Mattos Pires & Felipe M. Pimenta & Carla A. D'Aquino & Osvaldo R. Saavedra & Xuerui Mao & Arcilan T. Assireu, 2020. "Coastal Wind Power in Southern Santa Catarina, Brazil," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-23, October.
    17. Liu, Feng Jiao & Chang, Tian Pau, 2011. "Validity analysis of maximum entropy distribution based on different moment constraints for wind energy assessment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1820-1826.
    18. Jha, Sunil Kr. & Bilalovic, Jasmin & Jha, Anju & Patel, Nilesh & Zhang, Han, 2017. "Renewable energy: Present research and future scope of Artificial Intelligence," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 297-317.
    19. Carvalho, D. & Rocha, A. & Gómez-Gesteira, M. & Silva Santos, C., 2014. "Sensitivity of the WRF model wind simulation and wind energy production estimates to planetary boundary layer parameterizations for onshore and offshore areas in the Iberian Peninsula," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 234-246.
    20. Kang, Dongbum & Ko, Kyungnam & Huh, Jongchul, 2015. "Determination of extreme wind values using the Gumbel distribution," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 51-58.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ibn:eerjnl:v:12:y:2022:i:2:p:11. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Canadian Center of Science and Education (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cepflch.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.