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Financial Market Reactions To Earnings Announcements And Earnings Forecast Revisions: Evidence From The U.S. And China

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  • Michael J. Gift
  • Paul Gift
  • YeQing Yang

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of earnings announcements and earnings forecast revisions on stock returns across markets with different levels of maturity. In each market, the objects of interest are the effects of backward-looking earnings announcement information and forward-looking earnings forecast information on the price of equity shares. We analyze financial markets in both the U.S. and China in order to see how the level of market maturity and differences in information availability and actual or perceived reliability affect this relationship. We find that forward-looking analyst forecast information plays a significantly larger role in the security pricing process in the more mature U.S. financial market. In the less mature Chinese financial market, we find the opposite relationship as backward-looking earnings announcement information plays a larger role.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael J. Gift & Paul Gift & YeQing Yang, 2010. "Financial Market Reactions To Earnings Announcements And Earnings Forecast Revisions: Evidence From The U.S. And China," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 4(2), pages 85-96.
    • Handle: RePEc:ibf:ijbfre:v:4:y:2010:i:2:p:85-96
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Beaver, Wh, 1968. "Information Content Of Annual Earnings Announcements," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 6, pages 67-92.
    2. Beaver, Wh & Clarke, R & Wright, Wf, 1979. "Association Between Unsystematic Security Returns And The Magnitude Of Earnings Forecast Errors," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(2), pages 316-340.
    3. Ball, R & Brown, P, 1968. "Empirical Evaluation Of Accounting Income Numbers," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 6(2), pages 159-178.
    4. Philbrick, Dr & Ricks, We, 1991. "Using Value Line And Ibes Analyst Forecasts In Accounting Research," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(2), pages 397-417.
    5. Collins, Daniel W. & Kothari, S. P., 1989. "An analysis of intertemporal and cross-sectional determinants of earnings response coefficients," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 11(2-3), pages 143-181, July.
    6. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
    7. Fried, Dov & Givoly, Dan, 1982. "Financial analysts' forecasts of earnings : A better surrogate for market expectations," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 85-107, October.
    8. Brown, Lawrence D & Rozeff, Michael S, 1978. "The Superiority of Analyst Forecasts as Measures of Expectations: Evidence from Earnings," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 33(1), pages 1-16, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

    1. Sujata Behera, 2021. "Does EVA valuation model outperform earnings valuation model in explaining market value of equity?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 6312-6337, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    earnings forecast revisions; earnings announcements; unexpected earnings; security returns; forward-looking; backward-looking; relevance; reliability; market maturity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries

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