IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/hpe/journl/y2023v245i2p179-208.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Counterfactual Assessment in the Design of Tax Reforms: Model Decomposition of Revenue and Redistribution Effects

Author

Listed:
  • Nuria Badenes Plá

    (Instituto de Estudios Fiscales)

  • Borja Gambau Suelves

    (Analistas Financieros Internacionales (Afi), RedEv and Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia)

  • José M. Labeaga

    (Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia)

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a methodology for the evaluation of tax reforms through the design of counterfactual scenarios using Euromod. For this purpose, we develop two theorical model decompositions to explain the differences in tax revenue collection and the redistributive impact. We provide empirical evidence by designing a tax reform in Spain based on the French personal income tax. The approach can explain the isolated causes of differences based on the contribution of the tax system design and the income distribution. This result could help determining whether policy recommendations should focus on pre-distribution or redistribution.

Suggested Citation

  • Nuria Badenes Plá & Borja Gambau Suelves & José M. Labeaga, 2023. "Counterfactual Assessment in the Design of Tax Reforms: Model Decomposition of Revenue and Redistribution Effects," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 245(2), pages 179-208, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:hpe:journl:y:2023:v:245:i:2:p:179-208
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://hpe-rpe.org/wp-admin/admin-ajax.php?juwpfisadmin=false&action=wpfd&task=file.download&wpfd_category_id=230&wpfd_file_id=5274&token=92e86349c579a4ba97a7b0539a6907a7&preview=1
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kakwani, Nanok C, 1977. "Measurement of Tax Progressivity: An International Comparison," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 87(345), pages 71-80, March.
    2. Peter J. Lambert & Runa Nesbakken & Thor O. Thoresen, 2020. "A Common Base Answer to the Question “Which Country Is Most Redistributive?”," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 122(4), pages 1467-1479, October.
    3. Holly Sutherland & Francesco Figari, 2013. "EUROMOD: the European Union tax-benefit microsimulation model," International Journal of Microsimulation, International Microsimulation Association, vol. 1(6), pages 4-26.
    4. Kathy Hayes & Peter Lambert & Daniel Slottje, "undated". "Evaluating Impact Effects of Tax Reforms," Discussion Papers 93/10, Department of Economics, University of York.
    5. Peter Lindert, 2004. "Social Spending and Economic Growth," Challenge, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(4), pages 6-16.
    6. Lambert, Peter J, 1993. "Evaluating Impact Effects of Tax Reforms," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 7(3), pages 205-242, September.
    7. Gerlinde Verbist & Francesco Figari, 2014. "The Redistributive Effect and Progressivity of Taxes Revisited: An International Comparison across the European Union," FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, Mohr Siebeck, Tübingen, vol. 70(3), pages 405-429, September.
    8. Jonathan Haughton & Shahidur R. Khandker, 2009. "Handbook on Poverty and Inequality," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 11985.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Elvire Guillaud & Matthew Olckers & Michaël Zemmour, 2020. "Four Levers of Redistribution: The Impact of Tax and Transfer Systems on Inequality Reduction," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 66(2), pages 444-466, June.
    2. Amores, Antonio F. & Maier, Sofia & Ricci, Mattia, 2023. "Taxing household energy consumption in the EU: The tax burden and its redistributive effect," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    3. Victor Amoureux & Elvire Guillaud & Michaël Zemmour & Thomas Breda & Laurent Caussat & Janet C Gornick Vi & Bruno Palier, 2019. "L'impact redistributif des modèles socio-fiscaux de protection sociale : analyse comparée internationale 1," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03526560, HAL.
    4. Victor Amoureux & Elvire Guillaud & Michaël Zemmour & Thomas Breda & Laurent Caussat & Janet C Gornick Vi & Bruno Palier, 2019. "L'impact redistributif des modèles socio-fiscaux de protection sociale : analyse comparée internationale 1," Working Papers hal-03526560, HAL.
    5. Essama-Nssah, B., 2008. "Assessing the redistributive effect of fiscal policy," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4592, The World Bank.
    6. Peter J. Lambert & Runa Nesbakken & Thor O. Thoresen, 2015. "A common base answer to "Which country is most redistributive?"," Discussion Papers 811, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
    7. Victor Amoureux & Elvire Guillaud & Michaël Zemmour, 2019. "Les déterminants de la redistribution monétaire, une analyse en comparaison internationale," Working Papers hal-03471417, HAL.
    8. Victor Amoureux & Elvire Guillaud & Michaël Zemmour & Thomas Breda & Laurent Caussat & Janet C Gornick Vi & Bruno Palier, 2019. "L'impact redistributif des modèles socio-fiscaux de protection sociale : analyse comparée internationale 1," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-03526560, HAL.
    9. Victor Amoureux & Elvire Guillaud & Michaël Zemmour, 2019. "Les déterminants de la redistribution monétaire, une analyse en comparaison internationale," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03471417, HAL.
    10. Victor Amoureux & Elvire Guillaud & Michaël Zemmour, 2019. "Les déterminants de la redistribution monétaire, une analyse en comparaison internationale," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-03471417, HAL.
    11. Junyi Zhu, 2014. "Bracket Creep Revisited - with and without r > g: Evidence from Germany," Journal of Income Distribution, Ad libros publications inc., vol. 23(3), pages 106-158, November.
    12. Paul Makdissi & Quentin Wodon, 2000. "Consumption Dominance Curves: Testing for the Impact of Tax Reforms on Poverty," Cahiers de recherche 00-05, Departement d'économique de l'École de gestion à l'Université de Sherbrooke.
    13. Nicolas Herault & Stephen P. Jenkins, 2021. "Redistributive effect and the progressivity of taxes and benefits: evidence for the UK, 1977–2018," Working Papers 592, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality.
    14. Michal Horvath & Matus Senaj & Zuzana Siebertova & Norbert Svarda, 2015. "The End of the Flat Tax Experiment in Slovakia," Discussion Papers 15/12, Department of Economics, University of York.
    15. Coda Moscarola, Flavia & Colombino, Ugo & Figari, Francesco & Locatelli, Marilena, 2020. "Shifting taxes away from labour enhances equity and fiscal efficiency," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 367-384.
    16. Momi Dahan, 2023. "Social Construction And The Progressivity Of Local Tax Relief," Israel Economic Review, Bank of Israel, vol. 21(1), pages 1-33, March.
    17. Rolf Aaberge, 2009. "Ranking intersecting Lorenz curves," Social Choice and Welfare, Springer;The Society for Social Choice and Welfare, vol. 33(2), pages 235-259, August.
    18. Davies, James B. & Hoy, Michael, 2002. "Flat rate taxes and inequality measurement," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(1), pages 33-46, April.
    19. Marko Ledić & Ivica Rubil & Ivica Urban, 2023. "Tax progressivity and social welfare with a continuum of inequality views," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 30(5), pages 1266-1296, October.
    20. Antonia Cornwell & John Creedy, 1996. "Carbon taxation, prices and inequality in Australia," Fiscal Studies, Institute for Fiscal Studies, vol. 17(3), pages 21-38, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Tax reforms; Counterfactual; Evaluation; Microsimulation; Euromod.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
    • H24 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies
    • C60 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - General
    • D04 - Microeconomics - - General - - - Microeconomic Policy: Formulation; Implementation; Evaluation
    • D63 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - Equity, Justice, Inequality, and Other Normative Criteria and Measurement
    • J38 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Public Policy

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hpe:journl:y:2023:v:245:i:2:p:179-208. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Miguel Gómez de Antonio (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/iefgves.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.