IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/hit/ecorev/v68y2017i2p97-113.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An Empirical Analysis of Nikkei 225 Options Using Realized GARCH Models

Author

Listed:
  • Takeuchi-Nogimori, Asuka

Abstract

This paper analyses whether realized generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH)models are useful for pricing Nikkei 225 options. This model enables us to estimate simultaneously the dynamics of stock returns using both realized volatility(RV)and daily return data. The analysis also examines whether realized GARCH models using realized kernels(RK)and realized ranges(RR)improve the option-pricing performance. Comparing the empirical results, for call options, EGARCH models perform better ; however, for put options, realized GARCH models with RK without nontrading hour returns perform better than those with RV or RR.

Suggested Citation

  • Takeuchi-Nogimori, Asuka, 2017. "An Empirical Analysis of Nikkei 225 Options Using Realized GARCH Models," Economic Review, Hitotsubashi University, vol. 68(2), pages 97-113, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:hit:ecorev:v:68:y:2017:i:2:p:97-113
    DOI: 10.15057/28531
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hermes-ir.lib.hit-u.ac.jp/hermes/ir/re/28531/keizaikenkyu06802097.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.15057/28531?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Takahashi, Makoto & Omori, Yasuhiro & Watanabe, Toshiaki, 2009. "Estimating stochastic volatility models using daily returns and realized volatility simultaneously," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(6), pages 2404-2426, April.
    2. Siem Jan Koopman & Marcel Scharth, 2012. "The Analysis of Stochastic Volatility in the Presence of Daily Realized Measures," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 11(1), pages 76-115, December.
    3. Lars Stentoft, 2008. "Option Pricing using Realized Volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2008-13, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Asuka Takeuchi-Nogimori, 2012. "An Empirical Analysis of the Nikkei 225 Put Options Using Realized GARCH Models," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd12-241, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    2. Takahashi, Makoto & Watanabe, Toshiaki & Omori, Yasuhiro, 2016. "Volatility and quantile forecasts by realized stochastic volatility models with generalized hyperbolic distribution," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 437-457.
    3. Catania, Leopoldo & Proietti, Tommaso, 2020. "Forecasting volatility with time-varying leverage and volatility of volatility effects," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1301-1317.
    4. Papantonis, Ioannis & Rompolis, Leonidas & Tzavalis, Elias, 2023. "Improving variance forecasts: The role of Realized Variance features," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1221-1237.
    5. Asai, Manabu & Chang, Chia-Lin & McAleer, Michael, 2017. "Realized stochastic volatility with general asymmetry and long memory," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 199(2), pages 202-212.
    6. Yuta Kurose & Yasuhiro Omori, 2016. "Multiple-block Dynamic Equicorrelations with Realized Measures, Leverage and Endogeneity," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-1022, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    7. Maneesoonthorn, Worapree & Martin, Gael M. & Forbes, Catherine S., 2020. "High-frequency jump tests: Which test should we use?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(2), pages 478-487.
    8. Shirota, Shinichiro & Hizu, Takayuki & Omori, Yasuhiro, 2014. "Realized stochastic volatility with leverage and long memory," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 618-641.
    9. António A. F. Santos, 2015. "On the Forecasting of Financial Volatility Using Ultra-High Frequency Data," GEMF Working Papers 2015-17, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
    10. Li, Chenxing & Zhang, Zehua & Zhao, Ran, 2024. "Volatility or higher moments: Which is more important in return density forecasts of stochastic volatility model?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
    11. Watanabe, Toshiaki & Nakajima, Jouchi, 2023. "High-frequency realized stochastic volatility model," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-127, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
    12. Papantonis Ioannis & Rompolis Leonidas S. & Tzavalis Elias & Agapitos Orestis, 2023. "Augmenting the Realized-GARCH: the role of signed-jumps, attenuation-biases and long-memory effects," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 27(2), pages 171-198, April.
    13. Yuta Yamauchi & Yasuhiro Omori, 2016. "Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Model with Realized Volatilities and Pairwise Realized Correlations ," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-1029, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    14. Asai, Manabu & McAleer, Michael & Peiris, Shelton, 2020. "Realized stochastic volatility models with generalized Gegenbauer long memory," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 42-54.
    15. Tingguo Zheng & Tao Song, 2014. "A Realized Stochastic Volatility Model With Box-Cox Transformation," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 593-605, October.
    16. Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Gael M. Martin & Catherine S. Forbes, 2017. "Dynamic asset price jumps and the performance of high frequency tests and measures," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 14/17, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    17. Shirota, Shinichiro & Omori, Yasuhiro & F. Lopes, Hedibert. & Piao, Haixiang, 2017. "Cholesky realized stochastic volatility model," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 3(C), pages 34-59.
    18. Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Catherine S. Forbes & Gael M. Martin, 2017. "Inference on Self‐Exciting Jumps in Prices and Volatility Using High‐Frequency Measures," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(3), pages 504-532, April.
    19. Masato Ubukata & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2013. "Pricing Nikkei 225 Options Using Realized Volatility," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd12-273, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    20. Creel, Michael & Kristensen, Dennis, 2015. "ABC of SV: Limited information likelihood inference in stochastic volatility jump-diffusion models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 85-108.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hit:ecorev:v:68:y:2017:i:2:p:97-113. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Digital Resources Section, Hitotsubashi University Library (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/iehitjp.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.