IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/hig/fsight/v7y2013i3p64-73.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Conceptual Frameworks of Foresight and Their Effects: Typology and Applications

Author

Listed:
  • Marcus Bussey

    (Sustainability Research Centre, University of the Sunshine Coast (Australia))

Abstract

This article assesses foundational concepts in foresight and futures studies. It uses terms matching definitions supplied by other scholars. It argues that certain concepts underly the practice of foresight; although each foresight context and practitioner are unique, they come together under these concepts and give coherence to foresight and futures practice. Clarity regarding the conceptual framework of foresight practice strengthens the field and enables better decision making on the choice of tools to guide and validate practice. There are two principally distinct approaches to elaborating future strategies — open and closed. The first presumes quest and comparison of alternatives, behavior toward risk, and personal and social resilience. The second presumes risk aversion, or relying on a «proven» pattern while weeding out unsustained ideas and initiatives. The latter results in decreasing personal and social resilience. The article evaluates conditions fostering one or the other approach. An appreciation of the relative «closedness» or «openness» of any context allows looking for elements that either enable or block the shift from closed to open futures. Much of the foresight practitioner’s work involves helping stakeholders undertake such an inquiry and seeding the resilience needed to manage both the turbulence and the ensuing uncertainty that results from this shift. The author believes that seeing foresight work and the futures thinking that accompanies it as promoting the journey from closed to open futures is a powerful insight into why foresight practice is so exciting. Note: Downloadable document is in Russian.

Suggested Citation

  • Marcus Bussey, 2013. "Conceptual Frameworks of Foresight and Their Effects: Typology and Applications," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 7(3), pages 64-73.
  • Handle: RePEc:hig:fsight:v:7:y:2013:i:3:p:64-73
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://foresight-journal.hse.ru/data/2013/09/28/1277498603/6-Bussey-64-73.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. David Korten, 2006. "From Empire to Earth Community," Development, Palgrave Macmillan;Society for International Deveopment, vol. 49(3), pages 76-81, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rosca, Paula-Carmen, 2018. "Contemporary Criticism of Corporate Behaviour," MPRA Paper 92099, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Timothy W. Sipe, 2020. "The Light on Hartman Green: Natural Scientists, Business Education, and an Ecological Business Paradigm," Humanistic Management Journal, Springer, vol. 5(2), pages 279-286, December.
    3. Perkins, Patricia E. (Ellie), 2019. "Climate justice, commons, and degrowth," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 183-190.
    4. Bernard Amadei, 2021. "Systemic Modeling of the Peace–Development Nexus," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-21, February.
    5. David J. LePoire, 2014. "Review of Potential Characterization Techniques in Approaching Energy and Sustainability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-15, March.
    6. Paul Abbott, 2011. "Corporate responsibility: a critical introduction," Action Learning: Research and Practice, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 69-72, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    concepts; effects; pattern; patterning; open and closed futures; causality; foresight practice;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O20 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - General
    • O21 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Planning Models; Planning Policy

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hig:fsight:v:7:y:2013:i:3:p:64-73. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Nataliya Gavrilicheva or Mikhail Salazkin (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/hsecoru.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.