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Scenarios of the Global and Russian Economic Development as a Basis for S&T Forecasting

Author

Listed:
  • Alexander Apokin

    (Center for Macro-Economic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting (Russia))

  • Dmitry Belousov

    (Center for Macro-Economic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting (Russia))

Abstract

The paper provides the analysis of major restrictions and scenarios of long-term (up to 2030) social-economic development of the Russian economy. The authors take into account transformation of the global economic system. Most important scenario variants of world economy development are described in detail. The authors list and characterize possible risks and threats with regard to Russian economy long-term development. Note: Downloadable document is in Russian.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexander Apokin & Dmitry Belousov, 2009. "Scenarios of the Global and Russian Economic Development as a Basis for S&T Forecasting," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 3(3), pages 12-29.
    • Handle: RePEc:hig:fsight:v:3:y:2009:i:3:p:12-29
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    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://foresight-journal.hse.ru/data/2010/12/31/1208184425/03-belousov.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Alexander Sokolov & Alexander Chulok, 2012. "Russian Science and Technology Foresight – 2030: Key Features and First Results," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 6(1), pages 12-25.
    2. Leonid Gokhberg & Tatyana Kuznetsova, 2011. "Strategy 2020: New Outlines of Russian Innovation Policy," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 5(4), pages 8-30.
    3. repec:hig:journl:v:6:y:2012:i:1:p:12-25 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    Keywords

    scenarios for development; long-term forecast;

    JEL classification:

    • O30 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - General
    • O32 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Management of Technological Innovation and R&D

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