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Needs Analysis and Payback Models for Tractor Design Based on Field Data from Farmers in Sudan

Author

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  • Hamza Ahmed

    (Department of Systems Engineering, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523, USA)

  • Erika E. Miller

    (Department of Systems Engineering, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523, USA)

Abstract

The adoption of agricultural machinery in countries with a developing economy can have a significant impact on improving well-being and pro-poor growth. However, this requires farmers to buy into mechanized farming, which is more likely to happen if the machinery meets their needs. The objective of this paper is to identify deciding factors for traditional farmers to adopt machinery and identify design requirements. Payback models were developed based on these design requirements, willingness to pay, and expected returns. Thirty-six farmers in Sudan were interviewed throughout 2019–2021. Six of these farmers were provided tractors during 2020 and 2021. Differences in net-profits between the 30 control and 6 treatment farms during the mechanized farming seasons were used in the models for expected profits. There were no significant differences in tractor design preferences between the treatment and control groups. Two cost models were estimated using a 95% confidence interval: entire Δ profit (entire additional profit from mechanized farming above nonmechanized) and percentage of total profit (percentage of total net-profits willing to spend). For the average farm size in this study (44.39 acres) and a market available tractor that satisfied all farmer needs, payback was 3.92 years [2.34, 8.54] and 4.57 years [3.39, 6.38] for the models, respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Hamza Ahmed & Erika E. Miller, 2023. "Needs Analysis and Payback Models for Tractor Design Based on Field Data from Farmers in Sudan," World, MDPI, vol. 4(4), pages 1-11, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jworld:v:4:y:2023:i:4:p:44-708:d:1268794
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jian-wei Wang & Jian-min Zhang, 2019. "Research on Innovative Design and Evaluation of Agricultural Machinery Products," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-18, November.
    2. Hiroyuki Takeshima & Hyacinth O. Edeh & Akeem O. Lawal & Moshudi A. Isiaka, 2015. "Characteristics of Private-Sector Tractor Service Provisions: Insights from Nigeria," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 53(3), pages 188-217, September.
    3. Mottaleb, Khondoker A., 2018. "Perception and adoption of a new agricultural technology: Evidence from a developing country," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 126-135.
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