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Assessment of Drought Impact on Main Cereal Crops Using a Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index in Liaoning Province, China

Author

Listed:
  • Taotao Chen

    (College of Water Resources, Shenyang Agricultural University, Shenyang 110866, China)

  • Guimin Xia

    (College of Water Resources, Shenyang Agricultural University, Shenyang 110866, China)

  • Tiegang Liu

    (State Key Laboratory of Hydraulics and Mountain River Engineering, College of Water Resource & Hydropower, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China)

  • Wei Chen

    (Water Conservancy and Hydropower Science Research Institute of Liaoning province, Shenyang 110003, China)

  • Daocai Chi

    (College of Water Resources, Shenyang Agricultural University, Shenyang 110866, China)

Abstract

Global warming has resulted in increasingly frequent and severe drought and/or precipitation events. Severe drought limits crop water availability and impacts agricultural productivity and socioeconomic development. To quantify drought-induced yield loss during the main crop stages in Liaoning province, China, aspects of drought episodes (magnitude, duration, and frequency) were investigated during the period 1960–2015 using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), respectively. Then the relationship between the SPI/SPEI and the standardized yield residuals series (SYRS), and the drought-induced yield loss were analyzed for maize, rice, sorghum, soybean, and millet. Liaoning underwent a province-wide increase in temperature, reduced precipitation, and reduced reference crop evapotranspiration. As expected, Liaoning experienced province-wide meteorological drying trends during the main crop growth stages, while the drought frequency, duration, and magnitude were not as serious as revealed by using the SPI. As compared to the SPI, the SPEI considering potential evapotranspiration explained 39%–78% yield variability of SYRS and evaluated the drought-induced yield loss more accurately. The increased drought frequency mainly affected the rain-fed crops (maize, sorghum, soybean, and millet), while it did not reduce irrigated rice production. No major impact was exerted on the rain-fed crops caused by mild drought. However, severe drought (SPEI < −1.0) markedly reduced yield performance, in particular at the anthesis-silking stage for maize, the jointing-booting stage for sorghum, the flowering-podding stage for soybean, and the sowing-milking stage for millet. It is concluded that the SPEI is a more useful measure for the identification of drought episodes and the assessment of drought impact on agricultural production in Liaoning province.

Suggested Citation

  • Taotao Chen & Guimin Xia & Tiegang Liu & Wei Chen & Daocai Chi, 2016. "Assessment of Drought Impact on Main Cereal Crops Using a Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index in Liaoning Province, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(10), pages 1-16, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:8:y:2016:i:10:p:1069-:d:81171
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Rui Zhang & Taotao Chen & Daocai Chi, 2020. "Global Sensitivity Analysis of the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index at Different Time Scales in Jilin Province, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-19, February.
    2. Vincenzo Guerriero & Anna Rita Scorzini & Bruno Di Lena & Stefano Iulianella & Mario Di Bacco & Marco Tallini, 2023. "Impact of Climate Change on Crop Yields: Insights from the Abruzzo Region, Central Italy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-19, September.
    3. Araneda-Cabrera, Ronnie J. & Bermúdez, María & Puertas, Jerónimo, 2021. "Assessment of the performance of drought indices for explaining crop yield variability at the national scale: Methodological framework and application to Mozambique," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    4. Jiansheng Wu & Xin Lin & Meijuan Wang & Jian Peng & Yuanjie Tu, 2017. "Assessing Agricultural Drought Vulnerability by a VSD Model: A Case Study in Yunnan Province, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-16, May.
    5. Yao, Ning & Li, Yi & Liu, Qingzhu & Zhang, Siyuan & Chen, Xinguo & Ji, Yadong & Liu, Fenggui & Pulatov, Alim & Feng, Puyu, 2022. "Response of wheat and maize growth-yields to meteorological and agricultural droughts based on standardized precipitation evapotranspiration indexes and soil moisture deficit indexes," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    6. Francisco Fontes & Ashley Gorst & Charles Palmer, 2021. "Threshold effects of extreme weather events on cereal yields in India," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 165(1), pages 1-20, March.

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