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Exploring the Relationship Between Population Changes and Logistics Development: An Analysis Based on the Spatiotemporal Evolution Characteristics of Population and Logistics Coupling Coordination

Author

Listed:
  • Xuan Zhou

    (School of Population and Health, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China)

  • Jinfeng Hou

    (School of Traffic and Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China)

  • Qixia Song

    (School of Traffic and Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China)

  • Yong Wang

    (Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region Port and Shipping Development Center, Nanning 530029, China)

Abstract

In recent years, China’s population growth rate is slowing, and birth rates are declining. The impact of changes in population size and structure on logistics development has raised important concerns. The coupling coordination between population and logistics has significant implications for the sustainable development of regional economies. This paper analyzes the relationship between population changes and logistics development from the perspective of the spatiotemporal evolution of their coupling coordination. First, based on population and logistics data from 31 provincial-level administrative regions in China from 2003 to 2022, a comprehensive evaluation indicator system is established to assess the population and logistics development levels across these provinces. Second, a coupling coordination degree model is constructed to explore the coupling coordination relationship between population changes and logistics development. Methods such as kernel density estimation and spatial autocorrelation analysis are employed to analyze the temporal evolution characteristics of the coupling coordination degree of the two subsystems. The results indicate that: (1) From 2003 to 2022, the population and logistics development levels in 31 provinces exhibited an upward trend. The growth rate of logistics development level scores exceeds that of population scores; (2) During the study period, the coupling coordination degree between population and logistics in most provinces shows a year-on-year increase, and notable spatial differences exhibit a decreasing trend; (3) There exists a significant positive spatial correlation in the coupling coordination degree between population and logistics across the 31 provinces, and local spatial autocorrelation is primarily characterized by ‘high–high’ and ‘low–low’ clustering distributions. Based on the above results, we propose policy recommendations to promote the coordinated development of population and logistics.

Suggested Citation

  • Xuan Zhou & Jinfeng Hou & Qixia Song & Yong Wang, 2024. "Exploring the Relationship Between Population Changes and Logistics Development: An Analysis Based on the Spatiotemporal Evolution Characteristics of Population and Logistics Coupling Coordination," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(1), pages 1-23, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2024:i:1:p:93-:d:1554053
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Paul D. Larson, 2021. "Relationships between Logistics Performance and Aspects of Sustainability: A Cross-Country Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-13, January.
    2. Xinbao Tian & Meirong Zhang, 2019. "Research on Spatial Correlations and Influencing Factors of Logistics Industry Development Level," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-18, March.
    3. Jing Jia & Lvjiang Yin & Caozheng Yan & Weilin Xiao, 2022. "Urban-Rural Logistics Coupling Coordinated Development and Urban-Rural Integrated Development: Measurement, Influencing Factors, and Countermeasures," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2022, pages 1-11, July.
    4. Syed Abdul Rehman Khan & Arshian Sharif & Hêriş Golpîra & Anil Kumar, 2019. "A green ideology in Asian emerging economies: From environmental policy and sustainable development," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(6), pages 1063-1075, November.
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