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Scenario Simulation and Efficiency Study of Hydropower Development to Promote Regional Sustainable Development: An Empirical Analysis of a Province in Southwestern China

Author

Listed:
  • Guofa Li

    (School of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Xi’an University of Technology, Xi’an 710048, China)

  • Pu Zhang

    (China South-to-North Water Diversion Corporation Limited, Beijing 100071, China)

  • Weize Wang

    (School of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Xi’an University of Technology, Xi’an 710048, China
    State Key Laboratory of Eco-hydraulics in Northwest Arid Region of China, Xi’an University of Technology, Xi’an 710048, China)

  • Meng Gao

    (Changjiang Spatial Information Technology Engineering Co., Ltd., Wuhan 430010, China)

Abstract

Hydropower is a significant component of China’s contemporary energy framework, with its construction and operation critically contributing to the advancement of sustainable development in the region. However, the influence of hydropower development on regional sustainable development is not evident, and the course of its effect is not clear. In this work, on the basis of assessing the effect of hydropower development on regional sustainable development, a system dynamics (SD) simulation model was created, and 15 distinct development modes were set and tested. The relative driving efficiency of hydropower growth on sustainable development in a province in Southwest China under several scenarios was assessed using the super-efficiency-slacks-based measurement (Super-SBM), and an efficiency analysis was undertaken. The study’s findings demonstrate that: (1) Hydropower development had a complex driving influence on sustainable development in the province in 2015–2022. (2) The relative driving efficiency of the province over the study period exhibited a changing pattern and was at a high level greater than 0.7. (3) New hydropower investment and hydropower generation are the major factors impacting the relative driving efficiency of hydropower development on regional sustainable development in the province. The study’s findings provide a platform and reference for supporting regional sustainable development through hydropower development.

Suggested Citation

  • Guofa Li & Pu Zhang & Weize Wang & Meng Gao, 2024. "Scenario Simulation and Efficiency Study of Hydropower Development to Promote Regional Sustainable Development: An Empirical Analysis of a Province in Southwestern China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(19), pages 1-14, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:16:y:2024:i:19:p:8687-:d:1494381
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chanyuan Qin & Bin Fu & Xiaokang Zhu & Duoji Dunyu & Ciren Bianba & Renzeng Baima, 2023. "Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Hydropower Development on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-16, April.
    2. Sun, Yu & Yang, Feng & Wang, Dawei & Ang, Sheng, 2023. "Efficiency evaluation for higher education institutions in China considering unbalanced regional development: A meta-frontier Super-SBM model," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    3. Tone, Kaoru, 2002. "A slacks-based measure of super-efficiency in data envelopment analysis," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 143(1), pages 32-41, November.
    4. Du, Juan & Liang, Liang & Zhu, Joe, 2010. "A slacks-based measure of super-efficiency in data envelopment analysis: A comment," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 204(3), pages 694-697, August.
    5. Dhaubanjar, Sanita & Lutz, Arthur F & Pradhananga, Saurav & Smolenaars, Wouter & Khanal, Sonu & Biemans, Hester & Nepal, Santosh & Ludwig, Fulco & Shrestha, Arun Bhakta & Immerzeel, Walter W, 2024. "From theoretical to sustainable potential for run-of-river hydropower development in the upper Indus basin," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 357(C).
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