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Projection of the Co-Reduced Emissions of CO 2 and Air Pollutants from Civil Aviation in China

Author

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  • Xiurui Guo

    (Key Laboratory of Beijing on Regional Air Pollution Control, Faculty of Environment and Life, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China)

  • Chunxiao Ning

    (Key Laboratory of Beijing on Regional Air Pollution Control, Faculty of Environment and Life, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China)

  • Yaqian Shen

    (Key Laboratory of Beijing on Regional Air Pollution Control, Faculty of Environment and Life, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China)

  • Chang Yao

    (Key Laboratory of Beijing on Regional Air Pollution Control, Faculty of Environment and Life, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China)

  • Dongsheng Chen

    (Key Laboratory of Beijing on Regional Air Pollution Control, Faculty of Environment and Life, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China)

  • Shuiyuan Cheng

    (Key Laboratory of Beijing on Regional Air Pollution Control, Faculty of Environment and Life, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China)

Abstract

Civil aviation transport is a key area of fossil energy consumption and greenhouse gas emission, and it is also an important source of air pollutants; the emissions of these have caused severe environmental problems. In this paper, we estimated the emissions in 235 domestic civil airports, and predicted the future trends of CO 2 and air pollutant emissions from civil aviation in China until 2050 under three scenarios. The co-reduced emissions of each measure were evaluated by using the co-control effects coordinate system. The results show that in 2018, the emissions of CO 2 , NOx, SO 2 , CO, PM and HC were 117.23 × 10 6 tons, 90.47 × 10 4 tons, 14.37 × 10 4 tons, 9 × 10 4 tons, 1.29 × 10 4 tons and 0.66 × 10 4 tons, respectively. CO 2 , NOx, SO 2 and PM emissions were mainly concentrated in cruise mode, accounting for 87–93% of the total emissions; HC and CO emissions were more frequently from the LTO. Under the baseline scenario, the growth rate of air pollutant emissions will account for a greater share, from 84% in 2030 to 464% in 2050, whereas the general scenario reduces emissions by 15% and 71%, respectively, and a higher reduction of 26% and 93% is seen in the stringent scenario. Improving aviation fuels is the most significant co-reduction measure, which can reduce CO 2 by 89% and 68% in 2030 and 2050, and reduce air pollutants by 86–89% and 62–65%, respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiurui Guo & Chunxiao Ning & Yaqian Shen & Chang Yao & Dongsheng Chen & Shuiyuan Cheng, 2023. "Projection of the Co-Reduced Emissions of CO 2 and Air Pollutants from Civil Aviation in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-23, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:9:p:7082-:d:1130961
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