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A Hybrid Approach for Quantitative Analysis of Fire Hazards in Enclosed Vehicle Spaces on Ro-ro Passenger Ships

Author

Listed:
  • Junzhong Bao

    (Marine College, Dalian Maritime University (DMU), Dalian 116026, China)

  • Zhijie Bian

    (Marine College, Dalian Maritime University (DMU), Dalian 116026, China)

  • Bitong Li

    (Marine College, Dalian Maritime University (DMU), Dalian 116026, China)

  • Yan Li

    (Marine College, Dalian Maritime University (DMU), Dalian 116026, China)

  • Yuguang Gong

    (Marine College, Dalian Maritime University (DMU), Dalian 116026, China)

Abstract

This study probes the probabilistic features of major fire hazards in enclosed spaces to establish their importance to the occurrence of fires onboard Ro-ro passenger ships and, in turn, to raise effective operational countermeasures. Distinct from the previous studies, the present research employs Bayesian Network (BN) analysis to determine the probabilities of fire hazards more effectively. The results of the first 10 important basic events obtained by the BN model are divided into five groups (Vehicle electrical fires, Reefer vehicle fires, Vehicle-carried cargo fires, Potential causal factors of fire for LIB vehicles, and Vehicle fires originating from human factors), Which prompts the authors to propose preventive measures for mitigating the possibility of fire occurrence on this type of electric vehicle. It is hoped that these measures can be essential justifications for establishing relevant rules regarding carrying LIB vehicles in enclosed spaces on an international level.

Suggested Citation

  • Junzhong Bao & Zhijie Bian & Bitong Li & Yan Li & Yuguang Gong, 2023. "A Hybrid Approach for Quantitative Analysis of Fire Hazards in Enclosed Vehicle Spaces on Ro-ro Passenger Ships," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-16, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:17:p:13059-:d:1228741
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Likun Wang & Jinhui Wang & Mingyang Shi & Shanshan Fu & Mo Zhu, 2021. "Critical risk factors in ship fire accidents," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(6), pages 895-913, August.
    2. Heidar Mohammadi & Zohreh Fazli & Hiro Kaleh & Hamid Reza Azimi & Saber Moradi Hanifi & Nasrin Shafiee, 2021. "Risk Analysis and Reliability Assessment of Overhead Cranes Using Fault Tree Analysis Integrated with Markov Chain and Fuzzy Bayesian Networks," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2021, pages 1-17, October.
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