IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v14y2022i19p12324-d927677.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Effects of Subsidy Cancellations on Investment Strategies of Local Governments and New Energy Vehicle Manufacturers: A Study Based on Differential Game

Author

Listed:
  • Fangfang Liu

    (School of Marxism, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, China)

  • Leyan Wang

    (School of Automobile, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, China)

  • Shaobo Xie

    (School of Automobile, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, China)

Abstract

The intensity of China’s new energy vehicle (NEV) subsidies has gradually declined since 2017 and is expected to end in the next few years, thereby causing market fluctuations and affecting the investment strategies of both local governments and automotive enterprises. In order to examine the effects of a subsidy cancellation, this study introduced it as an external disturbance to establish a differential game model, in which a random arrival process is used to represent the occurrence of a cancellation. The model incorporated both decentralized and centralized modes at the pre- and post-subsidy cancellation stages. A numerical simulation showed that the investments of both parties, the market demand, and the system benefits in both modes would be lower when compared to the scenario in which the subsidy is not canceled, but continued. The performance of the centralized mode was superior to that of the decentralized one, implying that the centralized mode was capable of realizing Pareto optimality. A sensitivity analysis of the model’s parameters showed that the timing of the subsidy cancellation would not affect the investment levels of either party in either stage, but losses of market demand and system benefits would occur shortly after the cancellation and continue until stabilizing.

Suggested Citation

  • Fangfang Liu & Leyan Wang & Shaobo Xie, 2022. "Effects of Subsidy Cancellations on Investment Strategies of Local Governments and New Energy Vehicle Manufacturers: A Study Based on Differential Game," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-21, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:19:p:12324-:d:927677
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/19/12324/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/19/12324/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rubel, Olivier, 2018. "Profiting from product-harm crises in competitive markets," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 265(1), pages 219-227.
    2. Olivier Rubel & Prasad A. Naik & Shuba Srinivasan, 2011. "Optimal Advertising When Envisioning a Product-Harm Crisis," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 30(6), pages 1048-1065, November.
    3. Mukherjee, Arka & Chauhan, Satyaveer S., 2021. "The impact of product recall on advertising decisions and firm profit while envisioning crisis or being hazard myopic," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 288(3), pages 953-970.
    4. Zhang, Xingping & Liang, Yanni & Yu, Enhai & Rao, Rao & Xie, Jian, 2017. "Review of electric vehicle policies in China: Content summary and effect analysis," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 698-714.
    5. Sakamoto, Hiroaki, 2014. "Dynamic resource management under the risk of regime shifts," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 1-19.
    6. Ji, Shou-feng & Zhao, Dan & Luo, Rong-juan, 2019. "Evolutionary game analysis on local governments and manufacturers' behavioral strategies: Impact of phasing out subsidies for new energy vehicles," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lu, Lijue & Navas, Jorge, 2021. "Advertising and quality improving strategies in a supply chain when facing potential crises," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 288(3), pages 839-851.
    2. Mukherjee, Arka & Carvalho, Margarida & Zaccour, Georges, 2023. "Managing quality and pricing during a product recall: An analysis of pre-crisis, crisis and post-crisis regimes," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 307(1), pages 406-420.
    3. Jafarzadeh Ghazi, Amirhossein & Karray, Salma & Azad, Nader, 2023. "Price and quality competition while envisioning a quality-related product recall," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 311(2), pages 486-501.
    4. Li, Huashan & Bapuji, Hari & Talluri, Srinivas & Singh, Prakash J., 2022. "A Cross-disciplinary review of product recall research: A stakeholder-stage framework," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    5. De Giovanni, Pietro & Zaccour, Georges, 2023. "A survey of dynamic models of product quality," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 307(3), pages 991-1007.
    6. Mukherjee, Arka & Chauhan, Satyaveer S., 2021. "The impact of product recall on advertising decisions and firm profit while envisioning crisis or being hazard myopic," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 288(3), pages 953-970.
    7. Liao, Dongsheng & Tan, Binbin, 2023. "An evolutionary game analysis of new energy vehicles promotion considering carbon tax in post-subsidy era," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 264(C).
    8. Weihao Wang & Deqing Ma & Jinsong Hu, 2023. "Study of Carbon Reduction and Marketing Decisions with the Envisioning of a Favorable Event under Cap-and-Trade Regulation," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(5), pages 1-27, March.
    9. Lu Zhang & Deqing Ma & Jinsong Hu, 2021. "Research on the Sustainable Operation of Low-Carbon Tourism Supply Chain under Sudden Crisis Prediction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-25, July.
    10. Jinhui Han & Suresh P. Sethi & Chi Chung Siu & Sheung Chi Phillip Yam, 2023. "Co‐op advertising in randomly fluctuating markets," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 32(6), pages 1617-1635, June.
    11. Chen Zhou & Shrihari Sridhar & Rafael Becerril-Arreola & Tony Haitao Cui & Yan Dong, 2019. "Promotions as competitive reactions to recalls and their consequences," Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, Springer, vol. 47(4), pages 702-722, July.
    12. Xiong, Siqin & Yuan, Yi & Yao, Jia & Bai, Bo & Ma, Xiaoming, 2023. "Exploring consumer preferences for electric vehicles based on the random coefficient logit model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PA).
    13. Huang, Youlin & Qian, Lixian, 2021. "Consumer adoption of electric vehicles in alternative business models," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    14. Meng Ding & Hui Zeng, 2022. "Multi-Agent Evolutionary Game in the Recycling Utilization of Sulfate-Rich Wastewater," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(14), pages 1-20, July.
    15. Yang, Qing-Qing & Ching, Wai-Ki & Gu, Jia-Wen & Siu, Tak-Kuen, 2018. "Market-making strategy with asymmetric information and regime-switching," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 408-433.
    16. Liu, Jicheng & Sun, Jiakang & Yuan, Hanying & Su, Yihan & Feng, Shuxian & Lu, Chaoran, 2022. "Behavior analysis of photovoltaic-storage-use value chain game evolution in blockchain environment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    17. Can Askan Mavi & Nicolas Quérou, 2020. "Common pool resource management and risk perceptions," DEM Discussion Paper Series 20-25, Department of Economics at the University of Luxembourg.
    18. Liu, Changyu & Song, Yadong & Wang, Wei & Shi, Xunpeng, 2023. "The governance of manufacturers’ greenwashing behaviors: A tripartite evolutionary game analysis of electric vehicles," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 333(C).
    19. Adam N. Walker & Hans-Peter Weikard & Andries Richter, 2015. "The Rise and Fall of the Great Fish Pact under Endogenous Risk of Stock Collapse," Working Papers 2015.60, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    20. Byun, Kyung-Ah (Kay) & Duhan, Dale F. & Dass, Mayukh, 2020. "The preservation of loyalty halo effects: An investigation of the post-product-recall behavior of loyal customers," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 163-175.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:19:p:12324-:d:927677. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.