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Automated Analysis of Australian Tropical Cyclones with Regression, Clustering and Convolutional Neural Network

Author

Listed:
  • Fahim Sufi

    (Federal Government, Melbourne, VIC 3000, Australia)

  • Edris Alam

    (Faculty of Resilience, Rabdan Academy, P.O. Box 114646, Abu Dhabi 22401, United Arab Emirates
    Department of Geography and Environmental Studies, University of Chittagong, Chittagong 4331, Bangladesh)

  • Musleh Alsulami

    (Information Systems Department, Umm Al-Qura University (UQU), Makkah 24382, Saudi Arabia)

Abstract

Tropical cyclones take precious lives, damage critical infrastructure, and cause economic losses worth billions of dollars in Australia. To reduce the detrimental effect of cyclones, a comprehensive understanding of cyclones using artificial intelligence (AI) is crucial. Although event records on Australian tropical cyclones have been documented over the last 4 decades, deep learning studies on these events have not been reported. This paper presents automated AI-based regression, anomaly detection, and clustering techniques on the largest available cyclone repository covering 28,713 records with almost 80 cyclone-related parameters from 17 January 1907 to 11 May 2022. Experimentation with both linear and logistic regression on this dataset resulted in 33 critical insights on factors influencing the central pressure of cyclones. Moreover, automated clustering determined four different clusters highlighting the conditions for low central pressure. Anomaly detection at 70% sensitivity identified 12 anomalies and explained the root causes of these anomalies. This study also projected parameterization and fine-tuning of AI-algorithms at different sensitivity levels. Most importantly, we mathematically evaluated robustness by supporting an enormous scenario space of 4.737 × 10 8234 . A disaster strategist or researcher can use the deployed system in iOS, Android, or Windows platforms to make evidence-based policy decisions on Australian tropical cyclones.

Suggested Citation

  • Fahim Sufi & Edris Alam & Musleh Alsulami, 2022. "Automated Analysis of Australian Tropical Cyclones with Regression, Clustering and Convolutional Neural Network," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-23, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:16:p:9830-:d:883832
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Elsner, James B. & Schroder, Zoe, 2019. "Tornado damage ratings estimated with cumulative logistic regression," Earth Arxiv k9wv6, Center for Open Science.
    2. Fahim Sufi & Edris Alam & Musleh Alsulami, 2022. "A New Decision Support System for Analyzing Factors of Tornado Related Deaths in Bangladesh," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-18, May.
    3. Fuad Aleskerov & Sergey Demin & Michael B. Richman & Sergey Shvydun & Theodore B. Trafalis & Vyacheslav Yakuba, 2020. "Constructing an Efficient Machine Learning Model for Tornado Prediction," International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making (IJITDM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(05), pages 1177-1187, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Edris Alam & Fahim Sufi & Abu Reza Md. Towfiqul Islam, 2023. "A Scenario-Based Case Study: Using AI to Analyze Casualties from Landslides in Chittagong Metropolitan Area, Bangladesh," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-20, March.

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