IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v13y2021i3p1066-d484104.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Long-Run Impact of Information Security Breach Announcements on Investors’ Confidence: The Context of Efficient Market Hypothesis

Author

Listed:
  • Syed Emad Azhar Ali

    (Department of Management & Humanities, Univeristi Teknologi PETRONAS, Seri Iskandar 32610, Malaysia)

  • Fong-Woon Lai

    (Department of Management & Humanities, Univeristi Teknologi PETRONAS, Seri Iskandar 32610, Malaysia)

  • Rohail Hassan

    (Othman Yeop Abdullah Graduate School of Business (OYAGSB), Universiti Utara Malaysia, Kuala Lumpur 50300, Malaysia)

  • Muhammad Kashif Shad

    (Department of Management & Humanities, Univeristi Teknologi PETRONAS, Seri Iskandar 32610, Malaysia)

Abstract

Information and communication technologies (ICTs) are the cornerstone for sustainable development, but if they are not appropriately managed, they will impede progress towards the United Nations Global Sustainable Development Goals. Among undesirable impacts, emphasis must be put on the risk of information security (ISec) breaches, as they pose a potential threat to businesses there. Especially for publicly traded firms, they could create a long-lasting influence on their financial performance and, thus, stock investors’ confidence. Following the efficient market hypothesis’s footsteps, previous studies have examined only the short-run impact on investors’ confidence ensuing to ISec breach announcements. Therefore, this study investigates the long-run impact of ISec breach announcements on investors’ confidence. Based on a sample of 73 ISec breach announcements during 2011–2019, this paper examines the impact on investors’ confidence, as demonstrated by long-run abnormal returns and equity risk of those firms. Using a one-to-one matched sampling approach, each firm’s performance is analyzed with its control firm over eighteen months, starting six months before the announcement, through twelve months after the announcement. Firms experienced a significant negative abnormal return of 15% to 18% during the twelve months following the breach announcement. In comparison, equity risk increased by 11% within six months before and after an announcement. This study can help investors, managers, and researchers better understand a long-term relationship between ISec breaches and investor confidence in the context of efficient market hypothesis.

Suggested Citation

  • Syed Emad Azhar Ali & Fong-Woon Lai & Rohail Hassan & Muhammad Kashif Shad, 2021. "The Long-Run Impact of Information Security Breach Announcements on Investors’ Confidence: The Context of Efficient Market Hypothesis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-27, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:3:p:1066-:d:484104
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/3/1066/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/3/1066/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hertzel, Michael & Jain, Prem C., 1991. "Earnings and risk changes around stock repurchase tender offers," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 253-274, September.
    2. Turan G. Bali & Nusret Cakici & Xuemin (Sterling) Yan & Zhe Zhang, 2005. "Does Idiosyncratic Risk Really Matter?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 60(2), pages 905-929, April.
    3. Galai, Dan & Masulis, Ronald W., 1976. "The option pricing model and the risk factor of stock," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(1-2), pages 53-81.
    4. Bolster Paul & Pantalone Coleen H & Trahan Emery A, 2010. "Security Breaches and Firm Value," Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis, De Gruyter, vol. 5(1), pages 1-13, April.
    5. Burton G. Malkiel, 2003. "The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Its Critics," Working Papers 111, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
    6. Kenneth M. Lehn & Mengxin Zhao, 2006. "CEO Turnover after Acquisitions: Are Bad Bidders Fired?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(4), pages 1759-1811, August.
    7. Fama, Eugene F., 1998. "Market efficiency, long-term returns, and behavioral finance," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 283-306, September.
    8. Hollis Ashbaugh‐Skaife & Daniel W. Collins & William R. Kinney Jr & Ryan Lafond, 2009. "The Effect of SOX Internal Control Deficiencies on Firm Risk and Cost of Equity," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(1), pages 1-43, March.
    9. Shleifer, Andrei & Vishny, Robert W, 1997. "The Limits of Arbitrage," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(1), pages 35-55, March.
    10. Ikenberry, David & Lakonishok, Josef & Vermaelen, Theo, 1995. "Market underreaction to open market share repurchases," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(2-3), pages 181-208.
    11. Yexiao Xu & Burton G. Malkiel, 2003. "Investigating the Behavior of Idiosyncratic Volatility," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 76(4), pages 613-644, October.
    12. Barber, Brad M. & Lyon, John D., 1997. "Detecting long-run abnormal stock returns: The empirical power and specification of test statistics," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 341-372, March.
    13. Dann, Larry Y. & Masulis, Ronald W. & Mayers, David, 1991. "Repurchase tender offers and earnings information," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 217-251, September.
    14. repec:pri:cepsud:91malkiel is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Kryzanowski, Lawrence & Zhang, Hao, 1993. "Market behaviour around Canadian stock-split ex-dates," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 57-81, June.
    16. Neil L. Fargher & Michael S. Wilkins, 1998. "Evidence on Risk Changes Around Audit Qualification and Qualification Withdrawal Announcements," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(7‐8), pages 829-847, September.
    17. Kevin B. Hendricks & Vinod R. Singhal, 2014. "The Effect of Demand–Supply Mismatches on Firm Risk," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 23(12), pages 2137-2151, December.
    18. Evropi‐Sofia Dalampira & Stefanos A. Nastis, 2020. "Mapping Sustainable Development Goals: A network analysis framework," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 46-55, January.
    19. Jason K. Deane & David M. Goldberg & Terry R. Rakes & Loren P. Rees, 2019. "The effect of information security certification announcements on the market value of the firm," Information Technology and Management, Springer, vol. 20(3), pages 107-121, September.
    20. Neil L. Fargher & Michael S. Wilkins, 1998. "Evidence on Risk Changes Around Audit Qualification and Qualification Withdrawal Announcements," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(7&8), pages 829-847.
    21. Cowan, Arnold R. & Sergeant, Anne M. A., 2001. "Interacting biases, non-normal return distributions and the performance of tests for long-horizon event studies," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 741-765, April.
    22. Su‐Jane Hsieh & Scott I. Jerris & William Kross, 1999. "Quarterly Earnings Announcements and Market Risk Adjustments," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(3‐4), pages 313-336, April.
    23. Daniel J. Bradley & Bradford D. Jordan & Ha-Chin Yi & Ivan C. Roten, 2001. "Venture Capital And Ipo Lockup Expiration: An Empirical Analysis," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 24(4), pages 465-493, December.
    24. Lee, Inmoo & Loughran, Tim, 1998. "Performance following convertible bond issuance," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 185-207, June.
    25. Rosati, Pierangelo & Deeney, Peter & Cummins, Mark & van der Werff, Lisa & Lynn, Theo, 2019. "Social media and stock price reaction to data breach announcements: Evidence from US listed companies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 458-469.
    26. Healy, Pm & Palepu, Kg, 1990. "Earnings And Risk Changes Surrounding Primary Stock Offers," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(1), pages 25-48.
    27. Rosati, Pierangelo & Cummins, Mark & Deeney, Peter & Gogolin, Fabian & van der Werff, Lisa & Lynn, Theo, 2017. "The effect of data breach announcements beyond the stock price: Empirical evidence on market activity," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 146-154.
    28. Syed Emad Azhar Ali & Sara Khurram, 2017. "Impact of Demographic and Health Factors on GDP Growth of South Asian Countries," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 7(3), pages 166-179, March.
    29. Nicholas Barberis & Ming Huang, 2001. "Mental Accounting, Loss Aversion, and Individual Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 56(4), pages 1247-1292, August.
    30. Tawei Wang & Karthik N. Kannan & Jackie Rees Ulmer, 2013. "The Association Between the Disclosure and the Realization of Information Security Risk Factors," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 24(2), pages 201-218, June.
    31. Carhart, Mark M, 1997. "On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(1), pages 57-82, March.
    32. Bradley, Daniel J & et al, 2001. "Venture Capital and IPO Lockup Expiration: An Empirical Analysis," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 24(4), pages 465-493, Winter.
    33. Chanhoo Song & Seung Hun Han, 2017. "Stock Market Reaction to Corporate Crime: Evidence from South Korea," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 143(2), pages 323-351, June.
    34. repec:dar:wpaper:70422 is not listed on IDEAS
    35. John D. Lyon & Brad M. Barber & Chih‐Ling Tsai, 1999. "Improved Methods for Tests of Long‐Run Abnormal Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(1), pages 165-201, February.
    36. Bhagat, Sanjai & Brickley, James A & Loewenstein, Uri, 1987. "The Pricing Effects of Interfirm Cash Tender Offers," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(4), pages 965-986, September.
    37. Michaely, Roni & Thaler, Richard H & Womack, Kent L, 1995. "Price Reactions to Dividend Initiations and Omissions: Overreaction or Drift?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(2), pages 573-608, June.
    38. Hinz, Oliver & Nofer, Michael & Schiereck, D. & Trillig, J., 2015. "The Influence of Data Theft on Share Prices and Systematic Risk of Consumer Electronics Companies," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 76072, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    39. Ritter, Jay R, 1991. "The Long-run Performance of Initial Public Offerings," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(1), pages 3-27, March.
    40. Su-Jane Hsieh & Scott I. Jerris & William Kross, 1999. "Quarterly Earnings Announcements and Market Risk Adjustments," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(3-4), pages 313-336.
    41. Nicholas Barberis & Ming Huang, 2001. "Mental Accounting, Loss Aversion, and Individual Stock Returns," NBER Working Papers 8190, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    42. Carol Hsu & Jae-Nam Lee & Detmar W. Straub, 2012. "Institutional Influences on Information Systems Security Innovations," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 23(3-part-2), pages 918-939, September.
    43. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1996. "Multifactor Explanations of Asset Pricing Anomalies," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(1), pages 55-84, March.
    44. Rodney D. Boehme & Sorin M. Sorescu, 2002. "The Long‐run Performance Following Dividend Initiations and Resumptions: Underreaction or Product of Chance?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(2), pages 871-900, April.
    45. Matthew C. Clayton & Jay C. Hartzell & Joshua Rosenberg, 2005. "The Impact of CEO Turnover on Equity Volatility," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 78(5), pages 1779-1808, September.
    46. Loughran, Tim & Vijh, Anand M, 1997. "Do Long-Term Shareholders Benefit from Corporate Acquisitions?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(5), pages 1765-1790, December.
    47. David L. Ikenberry & Sundaresh Ramnath, 2002. "Underreaction to Self-Selected News Events: The Case of Stock Splits," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 15(2), pages 489-526, March.
    48. Saini Das & Arunabha Mukhopadhyay & Manoj Anand, 2012. "Stock Market Response to Information Security Breach: A Study Using Firm and Attack Characteristics," Journal of Information Privacy and Security, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(4), pages 27-55, October.
    49. Agrawal, Anup & Jaffe, Jeffrey F & Mandelker, Gershon N, 1992. "The Post-merger Performance of Acquiring Firms: A Re-examination of an Anomaly," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(4), pages 1605-1621, September.
    50. Paul Draper & Krishna Paudyal, 2006. "Acquisitions: Private versus Public," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 12(1), pages 57-80, January.
    51. Fama, Eugene F, et al, 1969. "The Adjustment of Stock Prices to New Information," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 10(1), pages 1-21, February.
    52. Burton G. Malkiel, 2003. "The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Its Critics," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 17(1), pages 59-82, Winter.
    53. Nicky J. Welton & Howard H. Z. Thom, 2015. "Value of Information," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 35(5), pages 564-566, July.
    54. Dharan, Bala G & Ikenberry, David L, 1995. "The Long-Run Negative Drift of Post-listing Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(5), pages 1547-1574, December.
    55. Cao, Jian & Calderon, Thomas & Chandra, Akhilesh & Wang, Li, 2010. "Analyzing late SEC filings for differential impacts of IS and accounting issues," International Journal of Accounting Information Systems, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 189-207.
    56. Jegadeesh, Narasimhan & Titman, Sheridan, 1993. "Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(1), pages 65-91, March.
    57. De Bondt, Werner F M & Thaler, Richard H, 1987. "Further Evidence on Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonalit y," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(3), pages 557-581, July.
    58. Burton G. Malkiel, 2003. "The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Its Critics," Working Papers 111, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
    59. Smith, Clifford Jr. & Warner, Jerold B., 1979. "On financial contracting : An analysis of bond covenants," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(2), pages 117-161, June.
    60. Kevin M. Gatzlaff & Kathleen A. McCullough, 2010. "The Effect of Data Breaches on Shareholder Wealth," Risk Management and Insurance Review, American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 13(1), pages 61-83, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Syed Quaid Ali Shah & Fong-Woon Lai & Muhammad Kashif Shad & Ahmad Ali Jan, 2022. "Developing a Green Governance Framework for the Performance Enhancement of the Oil and Gas Industry," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-19, March.
    2. Shuo Zhao & Yang Zhao, 2023. "Corporate Sustainable Development from the Perspective of the Effect of Institutional Investors’ Shareholding on Earnings Management," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-13, January.
    3. Se-Hyeon Han, 2023. "A Pilot Study to Assess the Effects of News Coverage Articles about Security Incidents on Stock Prices in Korea," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-21, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kuo-Chung Chang & Yu-Kai Gao & Shih-Cheng Lee, 2020. "The Effect of Data Theft on a Firm’s Short-Term and Long-Term Market Value," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(5), pages 1-21, May.
    2. Dionysia Dionysiou, 2015. "Choosing Among Alternative Long-Run Event-Study Techniques," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(1), pages 158-198, February.
    3. Brav, Alon & Geczy, Christopher & Gompers, Paul A., 2000. "Is the abnormal return following equity issuances anomalous?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(2), pages 209-249, May.
    4. Adam Zaremba & Jacob Koby Shemer, 2018. "Price-Based Investment Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-319-91530-2, December.
    5. Taufiq Choudhry & Ranadeva Jayasekera, 2015. "Level of efficiency in the UK equity market: empirical study of the effects of the global financial crisis," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 44(2), pages 213-242, February.
    6. Daniel, Kent & Hirshleifer, David & Teoh, Siew Hong, 2002. "Investor psychology in capital markets: evidence and policy implications," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 139-209, January.
    7. Syed Emad Azhar Ali & Fong-Woon Lai & Ahmad Ali Jan & Haseeb ur Rahman & Syed Quaid Ali Shah & Salaheldin Hamad, 2024. "Does intellectual capital curb the long-term effect of information security breaches on firms’ market value?," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 3673-3702, August.
    8. Wael Bousselmi & Patrick Sentis & Marc Willinger, 2018. "Impact of the Brexit vote announcement on long-run market performance," CEE-M Working Papers hal-01954920, CEE-M, Universtiy of Montpellier, CNRS, INRA, Montpellier SupAgro.
    9. Chen, Sheng-Syan & Wang, Yanzhi, 2012. "Financial constraints and share repurchases," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(2), pages 311-331.
    10. Bessembinder, Hendrik & Zhang, Feng, 2013. "Firm characteristics and long-run stock returns after corporate events," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(1), pages 83-102.
    11. Keunbae Ahn, 2021. "Predictable Fluctuations in the Cross-Section and Time-Series of Asset Prices," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 1-2021, January-A.
    12. Lizińska Joanna & Czapiewski Leszek, 2019. "Long-Term Equity Performance in Poland – Searching for Answers with the Calendar-Time Portfolio Approach," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 19(1), pages 43-55, June.
    13. Schwert, G. William, 2003. "Anomalies and market efficiency," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 15, pages 939-974, Elsevier.
    14. Kothari, S. P., 2001. "Capital markets research in accounting," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1-3), pages 105-231, September.
    15. Kolari, James W. & Pynnonen, Seppo & Tuncez, Ahmet M., 2021. "Further evidence on long-run abnormal returns after corporate events," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 421-439.
    16. José Emilio Farinós, 2001. "Rendimientos anormales de las OPV en España," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 25(2), pages 417-437, May.
    17. Hirshleifer, David & Jiang, Danling, 2007. "Commonality in Misvaluation, Equity Financing, and the Cross Section of Stock Returns," MPRA Paper 16134, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 08 Jul 2009.
    18. Huang, Chia-Wei, 2015. "Takeover vulnerability and the credibility of signaling: The case of open-market share repurchases," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 405-417.
    19. Liang, Woan-lih, 2012. "Information content of repurchase signals: Tangible or intangible information?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 261-274.
    20. Jegadeesh, Narasimhan & Karceski, Jason, 2009. "Long-run performance evaluation: Correlation and heteroskedasticity-consistent tests," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 101-111, January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:3:p:1066-:d:484104. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.