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Bicycle-Vehicle Conflict Risk Based on Cyclist Perceptions: Misestimations of Various Risk Factors

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  • Chengcheng Wu

    (School of Transportation, Southeast University, Nanjing 211189, China)

  • Dawei Chen

    (School of Transportation, Southeast University, Nanjing 211189, China)

  • Ye Chen

    (School of Transportation, Southeast University, Nanjing 211189, China)

Abstract

Cycling is a sustainable but vulnerable mode of transportation. Intersections’ bicycle-vehicle crashes are particularly dangerous. This paper explores the discordance between empirical evidence and cyclists’ perceptions of the various risk factors of cycling. Ridge regression was adopted to identify risk factors from bicycle-vehicle conflict data. A questionnaire was distributed to assess cyclists’ perceptions of safety and danger over the same candidate risk factors. There was indeed discordance between the data and the questionnaire results. Cyclists appear to misestimate risk in certain factors such as bus stops and subway stations. Understanding these misestimations can provide a foundation for safety improvements and for promoting cycling as a sustainable mode of transportation.

Suggested Citation

  • Chengcheng Wu & Dawei Chen & Ye Chen, 2020. "Bicycle-Vehicle Conflict Risk Based on Cyclist Perceptions: Misestimations of Various Risk Factors," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-12, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:12:y:2020:i:23:p:9867-:d:450993
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Ahmed Jaber & János Juhász & Bálint Csonka, 2021. "An Analysis of Factors Affecting the Severity of Cycling Crashes Using Binary Regression Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-12, June.

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