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Contagion in the Euro Area Sovereign Bond Market

Author

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  • Umberto Muratori

    (Inter-American Development Bank, 1300 New York Avenue, Washington, DC 20577, USA)

Abstract

In the last half-decade the European Monetary Union (EMU) has experienced a growing financial instability culminating with an extended sovereign debt crisis that has hit mostly the peripheral countries. Besides weak macroeconomic fundamentals, contagion phenomena in the government bond market damaged the countries more exposed to the financial stress. In this paper, the author investigates the issue of contagion applying to the financial field an innovative econometric technique, i.e., panel spatial regression. The paper documents: (i) the presence of contagion, in particular among peripheral countries; (ii) the changes in the magnitude of contagion in the different phases of the debt crisis; and (iii) the relevance of policy interventions in reducing the contagion effect in the EMU.

Suggested Citation

  • Umberto Muratori, 2014. "Contagion in the Euro Area Sovereign Bond Market," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-17, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jscscx:v:4:y:2014:i:1:p:66-82:d:44095
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Graham Bird & Wenti Du & Eric Pentecost & Thomas Willett, 2017. "Safe haven or contagion? The disparate effects of Euro-zone crises on non-Euro-zone neighbours," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(59), pages 5895-5904, December.
    3. Graham Bird & Wenti Du & Eric Pentecost & Thomas Willett, 2017. "Was it different the second time? An empirical analysis of contagion during the crises in Greece 2009–15," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(12), pages 2530-2542, December.
    4. Arbia, Giuseppe & Bramante, Riccardo & Facchinetti, Silvia & Zappa, Diego, 2018. "Modeling inter-country spatial financial interactions with Graphical Lasso: An application to sovereign co-risk evaluation," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 72-79.
    5. Téllez Valle, Cecilia & Martín García, Margarita & Ramón-Jerónimo, María A. & Martín Marín, José Luis, 2020. "Sovereign bond spreads and CDS premia in the Eurozone: A causality analysis || Diferenciales de bonos soberanos y primas de CDS en la zona euro: un análisis de causalidad," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, vol. 30(1), pages 58-78, December.

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