IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jscscx/v13y2024i1p41-d1315419.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Role of Subjective Well-Being in Cuban Civil Protest against the Government: A Moderated Mediation Model

Author

Listed:
  • Arístides Vara-Horna

    (Facultad de Ciencias Administrativas y Recursos Humanos, Universidad de San Martín de Porres, Lima 15009, Peru)

  • Zaida Asencios-Gonzalez

    (Facultad de Ciencias Administrativas y Recursos Humanos, Universidad de San Martín de Porres, Lima 15009, Peru)

  • Dennis López-Odar

    (Facultad de Psicología, Universidad Nacional Federico Villareal, Lima 15082, Peru)

  • Marivel Aguirre-Morales

    (Facultad de Psicología, Universidad Nacional Federico Villareal, Lima 15082, Peru)

  • Ingrid Cirilo-Acero

    (Facultad de Psicología, Universidad Nacional Federico Villareal, Lima 15082, Peru)

Abstract

This empirical study sought to understand the drivers behind civil protest participation in authoritarian contexts, explicitly focusing on Cuba. The data were sourced from 658 respondents via online surveys facilitated by CubaData, an independent social research agency specializing in Cuban studies, employing a secure panel system that guarantees the confidentiality and anonymity of participants. Our research primarily investigated the role of satisfaction with government policies in terms of the intention to participate in civil protests, introducing subjective well-being as a moderating variable. Utilizing the Process module of SMART-PLS 4 to emulate Process Model 58 for moderated mediation analysis, we accounted for measurement errors to ensure robust findings. Further controls were incorporated for age and political self-efficacy. The results revealed that subjective well-being significantly moderates the link between satisfaction with government policies and actual participation in civil protests. These findings suggest that the happiness level can change resistance dynamics within authoritarian settings. This research has implications for academic understandings of political behavior in autocratic regimes and practical applications in policy making and activism in Cuba.

Suggested Citation

  • Arístides Vara-Horna & Zaida Asencios-Gonzalez & Dennis López-Odar & Marivel Aguirre-Morales & Ingrid Cirilo-Acero, 2024. "The Role of Subjective Well-Being in Cuban Civil Protest against the Government: A Moderated Mediation Model," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-23, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jscscx:v:13:y:2024:i:1:p:41-:d:1315419
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2076-0760/13/1/41/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2076-0760/13/1/41/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dalton, Russell & Van Sickle, Alix & Weldon, Steven, 2010. "The Individual–Institutional Nexus of Protest Behaviour," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 40(1), pages 51-73, January.
    2. Iddisah Sulemana & Elijah Agyapong, 2019. "Subjective well‐being and political participation: Empirical evidence from Ghana," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(3), pages 1368-1386, August.
    3. Jason Wei Jian Ng & Santha Vaithilingam & Grace H. Y. Lee & Gary J. Rangel, 2022. "Life Satisfaction and Incumbent Voting: Examining the Mediating Effect of Trust in Government," Journal of Happiness Studies, Springer, vol. 23(6), pages 2947-2967, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Borbáth, Endre & Hunger, Sophia & Hutter, Swen & Oana, Ioana-Elena, 2021. "Civic and Political Engagement during the Multifaceted COVID-19 Crisis," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 27(2), pages 311-324.
    2. Johnson, Cathryn Evangeline, 2021. "Connecting Malian and Burkinabe women’s local experiences of livelihood security to how they participate in politics," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    3. Daniil Romanov & Andrey Korotayev, 2019. "«Non-Violent, But Still Dangerous»: Testing The Link Between Youth Bulges And The Intensity Of Non-Violent Protests," HSE Working papers WP BRP 69/PS/2019, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    4. Ken Ka-wo Fung & Chao-Lung Liu & Ming-Lun Chung, 2022. "Bowling Alone in Taiwan? Political Trust and Civic Participation of Taiwanese and Their Appraisal of Liberal Democracy and Personal Wellbeing," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 159(3), pages 1085-1102, February.
    5. Joseph Horrocks-Taylor, 2018. "Dirty Water, Muddied Politics: Hybridisation of Local and National Opposition to Kumtor Mine, Kyrgyzstan," Land, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-18, April.
    6. Borbáth, Endre & Gessler, Theresa, 2020. "Different worlds of contention? Protest in Northwestern, Southern and Eastern Europe," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 59(4), pages 910-935.
    7. Patricia Justino & Bruno Martorano, 2016. "Inequality, Distributive Beliefs and Protests: A Recent Story from Latin America," HiCN Working Papers 218, Households in Conflict Network.
    8. Jansesberger, Viktoria, 2024. "Storms, floods, landslides and elections in India's growing metropolises: Hotbeds for political protest?," Working Papers 28, University of Konstanz, Cluster of Excellence "The Politics of Inequality. Perceptions, Participation and Policies".
    9. Nora A. Kirkizh & Olessia Y. Koltsova, 2018. "Online News and Protest Participation in a Political Context: Evidence from Self-Reported Cross-Sectional Data," HSE Working papers WP BRP 58/PS/2018, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    10. David Johann & Markus Steinbrecher & Kathrin Thomas, 2020. "Channels of participation: Political participant types and personality," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(10), pages 1-13, October.
    11. Godfred Bonnah Nkansah, 2022. "Youth Cohort Size, Structural Socioeconomic Conditions, and Youth Protest Behavior in Democratic Societies (1995–2014)," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(2), pages 21582440221, May.
    12. Ekaterina V. Kruchinskaya, 2021. "Factors Of Mobilization To Protest, Their Impact And Variability: Hierarchical Bayesian Approach," HSE Working papers WP BRP 79/PS/2021, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    13. Iacoella, Francesco & Justino, Patrica & Martorano, Bruno, 2021. "Do pandemics lead to rebellion? Policy responses to COVID-19, inequality, and protests in the USA," MERIT Working Papers 2021-014, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    14. Xi Chen & Alfred M. Wu & Fen Lin, 2023. "Why Hong Kong People Rebel: The Role of Economic Frustration, Political Discontent and National Identity in Non-Institutional Political Participation," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 168(1), pages 79-98, August.
    15. Strauch, Rebecca & Jansesberger, Viktoria & Koos, Sebastian & Spilker, Gabriele, 2024. "Voices of change in the Global South: Understanding the dynamics of environmental protest," Working Papers 37, University of Konstanz, Cluster of Excellence "The Politics of Inequality. Perceptions, Participation and Policies".
    16. Frederick Solt, 2015. "Economic Inequality and Nonviolent Protest," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 96(5), pages 1314-1327, November.
    17. Li Donni, Paolo & Marino, Maria & Welzel, Christian, 2021. "How important is culture to understand political protest?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    18. Coppens, Tom & Van Dooren, Wouter & Thijssen, Peter, 2018. "Public opposition and the neighborhood effect: How social interaction explains protest against a large infrastructure project," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 633-640.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jscscx:v:13:y:2024:i:1:p:41-:d:1315419. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.