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Disentangling the Role of Composition Factors in Fertility Responses to Unemployment

Author

Listed:
  • Thaís García-Pereiro

    (Department of Political Science, University of Bari “Aldo Moro”, 70121 Bari, Italy)

  • Roberta Misuraca

    (Department of Political Science, University of Bari “Aldo Moro”, 70121 Bari, Italy)

  • Roberta Pace

    (Department of Political Science, University of Bari “Aldo Moro”, 70121 Bari, Italy)

  • Raffaella Patimo

    (Department of Economics and Finance, University of Bari “Aldo Moro”, 70121 Bari, Italy)

Abstract

Using a macro-panel data set from 20 Italian regions, this study explores the relationship between unemployment and fertility in Italy between 2006 and 2018. It contributes to recent literature on this subject by considering gender-specific unemployment measures and examining the influence of two important compositional factors on fertility responses, namely the presence of foreign women and daily childcare coverage, and the influence of both of these on the link between unemployment and fertility. The study reveals a procyclical relationship between unemployment rates, used as a proxy of variations in business cycles, and fertility. Positive influences of foreign women’s contribution and daily childcare coverage on fertility are uncovered, suggesting a potential mitigation effect on declining fertility trends during the period under observation.

Suggested Citation

  • Thaís García-Pereiro & Roberta Misuraca & Roberta Pace & Raffaella Patimo, 2024. "Disentangling the Role of Composition Factors in Fertility Responses to Unemployment," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-21, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jscscx:v:13:y:2024:i:12:p:683-:d:1546092
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Karel Neels & Zita Theunynck & Jonas Wood, 2013. "Economic recession and first births in Europe: recession-induced postponement and recuperation of fertility in 14 European countries between 1970 and 2005," International Journal of Public Health, Springer;Swiss School of Public Health (SSPH+), vol. 58(1), pages 43-55, February.
    3. Marcantonio Caltabiano & Maria Castiglioni & Alessandro Rosina, 2009. "Lowest-Low Fertility: Signs of a recovery in Italy?," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 21(23), pages 681-718.
    4. Deniz D. Karaman Örsal & Joshua R. Goldstein, 2010. "The increasing importance of economic conditions on fertility," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2010-014, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    5. Barbara Hofmann & Michaela Kreyenfeld & Arne Uhlendorff, 2017. "Job Displacement and First Birth Over the Business Cycle," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 54(3), pages 933-959, June.
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