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Attention-Based Residual Dilated Network for Traffic Accident Prediction

Author

Listed:
  • Ke Zhang

    (Department of Civil Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100080, China)

  • Yaming Guo

    (Department of Civil Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100080, China)

Abstract

Traffic accidents directly influence public safety and economic development; thus, the prevention of traffic accidents is of great importance in urban transportation. The accurate prediction of traffic accidents can assist traffic departments to better control and prevent accidents. Thus, this paper proposes a deep learning method named attention-based residual dilated network (ARDN), to extract essential information from multi-source datasets and enhance accident prediction accuracy. The method utilizes bidirectional long short-term memory to model sequential information and incorporates an attention mechanism to recalibrate weights. Furthermore, a dilated residual layer is adopted to capture long term information effectively. Feature encoding is also employed to incorporate natural language descriptions and point-of-interest data. Experimental evaluations of datasets collected from Austin and Houston demonstrate that ARDN outperforms a range of machine learning methods, such as logistic regression, gradient boosting, Xgboost, and deep learning methods. The ablation experiments further confirm the indispensability of each component in the proposed method.

Suggested Citation

  • Ke Zhang & Yaming Guo, 2023. "Attention-Based Residual Dilated Network for Traffic Accident Prediction," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-15, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:11:y:2023:i:9:p:2011-:d:1131190
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Khaled Assi & Syed Masiur Rahman & Umer Mansoor & Nedal Ratrout, 2020. "Predicting Crash Injury Severity with Machine Learning Algorithm Synergized with Clustering Technique: A Promising Protocol," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(15), pages 1-17, July.
    2. Fang Zong & Hongguo Xu & Huiyong Zhang, 2013. "Prediction for Traffic Accident Severity: Comparing the Bayesian Network and Regression Models," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2013, pages 1-9, October.
    3. Shihao Zhao & Shuli Xing & Guojun Mao, 2022. "An Attention and Wavelet Based Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Network for Traffic Flow and Speed Prediction," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(19), pages 1-15, September.
    4. Marjana Čubranić-Dobrodolac & Libor Švadlenka & Svetlana Čičević & Aleksandar Trifunović & Momčilo Dobrodolac, 2020. "Using the Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Inference Systems to Compare the Impact of Speed and Space Perception on the Occurrence of Road Traffic Accidents," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(9), pages 1-19, September.
    5. Alessandro Crivellari & Euro Beinat, 2020. "Forecasting Spatially-Distributed Urban Traffic Volumes via Multi-Target LSTM-Based Neural Network Regressor," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(12), pages 1-16, December.
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