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Modeling Local Variations in Intermarriage

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  • Albert Esteve

    (Centre d’Estudis Demogràfics, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Carrer de Ca n’Altayó, Edifici E2, 08193 Bellaterra, Spain
    Department of Political and Social Sciences, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Ramon Trias Fargas, 25-27, 08005 Barcelona, Spain)

  • Coro Chasco

    (Department of Applied Economics, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, C/Francisco Tomás y Valiente, 5, 28049 Madrid, Spain
    ECEMIN Research Group, Nebrija University, C/Sta. Cruz de Marcenado, 27, 28015 Madrid, Spain)

  • Antonio López-Gay

    (Centre d’Estudis Demogràfics, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Carrer de Ca n’Altayó, Edifici E2, 08193 Bellaterra, Spain
    Department of Geography, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona Campus de Bellaterra, Edifici B, Carrer de la Fortuna, s/n, 08193 Bellaterra, Spain)

Abstract

We utilized all Spanish marriage records available at the municipality level from 2005–2007 to model spatial variations in intermarriage. We constructed a spatial regime zero-inflated Poisson model and grouped-data probit model, with spatially lagged regressors, to predict the absolute and relative presence of intermarriage between Spaniards and migrants based on structural characteristics of the local marriage markets and their neighboring areas (i.e., relative group size, homogeneity of national origins, and sex ratio indicators). Our models do not assume collapsibility of the marriage market. Instead, they incorporate the local dimension of the marriage market and examine the association between intermarriage and structural variables at the spatial local level. The model also investigates intermarriage variation by size of place. The local characteristics of the marriage markets are robust indicators of both the absolute and relative importance of intermarriage, but their impact varies by size of municipality. The relative size of the migrant community positively impacts intermarriage. The homogeneity of the origins of migrants is negatively related to it. The impact of sex ratios in the migrant and native communities on intermarriage is not uniform across all municipalities and is not always related to more intermarriage.

Suggested Citation

  • Albert Esteve & Coro Chasco & Antonio López-Gay, 2022. "Modeling Local Variations in Intermarriage," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-18, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:10:y:2022:i:7:p:1106-:d:782516
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    References listed on IDEAS

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