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Assessing the Extent of Historical, Current, and Future Land Use Systems in Uganda

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  • Majaliwa Gilbert Jackson Mwanjalolo

    (Department of Geography, Geo-Informatics and Climatic Sciences, Makerere University P.O. Box 7062, Kampala 256, Uganda)

  • Barasa Bernard

    (Department of Geography and Social Studies, Kyambogo University P.O. Box 1, Kyambogo 256, Uganda)

  • Mukwaya Isolo Paul

    (Department of Geography, Geo-Informatics and Climatic Sciences, Makerere University P.O. Box 7062, Kampala 256, Uganda)

  • Wanyama Joshua

    (Department of Agricultural and Biosystems Engineering, Makerere University P.O. Box 7062, Kampala 256, Uganda)

  • Kutegeka Sophie

    (International Union for Conservation of Nature–Uganda P.O. Box 10950, Kampala 256, Uganda)

  • Nakyeyune Cotilda

    (International Union for Conservation of Nature–Uganda P.O. Box 10950, Kampala 256, Uganda)

  • Nakileza Bob

    (Department of Geography, Geo-Informatics and Climatic Sciences, Makerere University P.O. Box 7062, Kampala 256, Uganda)

  • Diisi John

    (National Forestry Authority, Ministry of Water and Environment P.O. Box 70863, Kampala 256, Uganda)

  • Ssenyonjo Edward

    (National Forestry Authority, Ministry of Water and Environment P.O. Box 70863, Kampala 256, Uganda)

  • Nakangu Barbara

    (Makerere Institute of Social Research, Makerere P.O. Box 7062, Kampala 256, Uganda)

Abstract

Sustainable land use systems planning and management requires a wider understanding of the spatial extent and detailed human-ecosystem interactions astride any landscape. This study assessed the extent of historical, current, and future land use systems in Uganda. The specific objectives were to (i) characterize and assess the extent of historical and current land use systems, and (ii) project future land use systems. The land use systems were defined and classified using spatially explicit land use/cover layers for the years 1990 and 2015, while the future prediction (for the year 2040) was determined using land use systems datasets for both years through a Markov chain model. This study reveals a total of 29 classes of land use systems that can be broadly categorized as follows: three of the land use systems are agricultural, five are under bushland, four under forest, five under grasslands, two under impediments, three under wetlands, five under woodland, one under open water and urban settlement respectively. The highest gains in the land amongst the land use systems were experienced in subsistence agricultural land and grasslands protected, while the highest losses were seen in grasslands unprotected and woodland/forest with low livestock densities. By 2040, subsistence agricultural land is likely to increase by about 1% while tropical high forest with livestock activities is expected to decrease by 0.2%, and woodland/forest unprotected by 0.07%. High demand for agricultural and settlement land are mainly responsible for land use systems patchiness. This study envisages more land degradation and disasters such as landslides, floods, droughts, and so forth to occur in the country, causing more deaths and loss of property, if the rate at which land use systems are expanding is not closely monitored and regulated in the near future.

Suggested Citation

  • Majaliwa Gilbert Jackson Mwanjalolo & Barasa Bernard & Mukwaya Isolo Paul & Wanyama Joshua & Kutegeka Sophie & Nakyeyune Cotilda & Nakileza Bob & Diisi John & Ssenyonjo Edward & Nakangu Barbara, 2018. "Assessing the Extent of Historical, Current, and Future Land Use Systems in Uganda," Land, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-17, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:7:y:2018:i:4:p:132-:d:181373
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Samndong, Raymond Achu & Bush, Glenn & Vatn, Arild & Chapman, Melissa, 2018. "Institutional analysis of causes of deforestation in REDD+ pilot sites in the Equateur province: Implication for REDD+ in the Democratic Republic of Congo," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 664-674.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Juliet Katusiime & Brigitta Schütt, 2020. "Linking Land Tenure and Integrated Watershed Management—A Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-11, February.
    3. Derick Ansyijar Kuule & Benard Ssentongo & Paul John Magaya & Gordon Yofesi Mwesigwa & Isaac Tom Okurut & Kenneth Nyombi & Anthony Egeru & John Robert Stephen Tabuti, 2022. "Land Use and Land Cover Change Dynamics and Perceived Drivers in Rangeland Areas in Central Uganda," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-19, August.
    4. Michael Mugarura & Wolfgang Stümer & Karsten Dunger & Andreas Bolte & Matt Ramlow & Emmanuel Ackom & Steffi Röhling, 2021. "Ascription of the differences between Germany and Uganda’s Land Use, Land-Use Change, and Forestry sector greenhouse gas methodologies for inventory improvement," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 26(6), pages 1-30, August.
    5. Katusiime, Juliet & Schütt, Brigitta & Mutai, Noah, 2023. "The relationship of land tenure, land use and land cover changes in Lake Victoria basin," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    6. Samuel Kaheesi Kusiima & Anthony Egeru & Justine Namaalwa & Patrick Byakagaba & David Mfitumukiza & Paul Mukwaya & Sylvanus Mensah & Robert Asiimwe, 2022. "Interconnectedness of Ecosystem Services Potential with Land Use/Land Cover Change Dynamics in Western Uganda," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-26, November.
    7. Wannes De Crop & Dirk Verschuren & Nick Ryken & Rose Basooma & Judith Tomma Okuonzia & Ann Verdoodt, 2023. "Accelerated Soil Erosion and Sedimentation Associated with Agricultural Activity in Crater-Lake Catchments of Western Uganda," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-35, April.
    8. Rapheal Wangalwa, 2021. "GIS-BASED LAND SUITABILITY ANALYSIS FOR EX-SITU PRODUCTION OF THREATENED Citropsis articulata IN UGANDA," Environment & Ecosystem Science (EES), Zibeline International Publishing, vol. 5(2), pages 101-111, July.

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