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Trend Analysis of MODIS Land Surface Temperature and Land Cover in Central Italy

Author

Listed:
  • Ebrahim Ghaderpour

    (Department of Earth Sciences & CERI Research Centre, Sapienza University of Rome, P.le Aldo Moro, 5, 00185 Rome, Italy
    NHAZCA s.r.l., Via Vittorio Bachelet, 12, 00185 Rome, Italy)

  • Paolo Mazzanti

    (Department of Earth Sciences & CERI Research Centre, Sapienza University of Rome, P.le Aldo Moro, 5, 00185 Rome, Italy
    NHAZCA s.r.l., Via Vittorio Bachelet, 12, 00185 Rome, Italy)

  • Francesca Bozzano

    (Department of Earth Sciences & CERI Research Centre, Sapienza University of Rome, P.le Aldo Moro, 5, 00185 Rome, Italy
    NHAZCA s.r.l., Via Vittorio Bachelet, 12, 00185 Rome, Italy)

  • Gabriele Scarascia Mugnozza

    (Department of Earth Sciences & CERI Research Centre, Sapienza University of Rome, P.le Aldo Moro, 5, 00185 Rome, Italy
    NHAZCA s.r.l., Via Vittorio Bachelet, 12, 00185 Rome, Italy)

Abstract

Land Surface Temperature (LST) is an important climate factor for understanding the relationship between the land surface and atmosphere. Furthermore, LST is linked to soil moisture and evapotranspiration, which can potentially alter the severity and regime of wildfires, landslide-triggering precipitation thresholds, and others. In this paper, the monthly daytime and nighttime LST products of Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) are employed for the period 2000–2023 in order to find areas that have been cooling or warming in a region of great interest in Central Italy, due to its complex geological and geomorphological settings and its recent seismic sequences and landslide events. The annual MODIS land cover images for 2001–2022 are also utilized to investigate the interconnection between LST and land cover change. The results of the non-parametric Mann–Kendall trend test and its associated Sen’s slope reveal a significant nighttime warming trend in the region, particularly in July, linked to forest and woodland expansion. Grasslands toward the coastline with low elevation (less than 500 m a.s.l.) have experienced significant heat waves during the summer, with an LST of more than 35 °C. A significant negative correlation between the elevation and LST is observed for each calendar month. In particular, the daytime and nighttime LST have more than 80% correlation with elevation during winter and summer, respectively. In addition, nighttime warming and gradual drainage are noticed in Lake Campotosto. The results of this study could be useful for wildfire and landslide susceptibility analyses and hazard management.

Suggested Citation

  • Ebrahim Ghaderpour & Paolo Mazzanti & Francesca Bozzano & Gabriele Scarascia Mugnozza, 2024. "Trend Analysis of MODIS Land Surface Temperature and Land Cover in Central Italy," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-15, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:13:y:2024:i:6:p:796-:d:1408617
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ghafar Salavati & Ebrahim Saniei & Ebrahim Ghaderpour & Quazi K. Hassan, 2022. "Wildfire Risk Forecasting Using Weights of Evidence and Statistical Index Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-15, March.
    2. Bo Liu & Wei Song & Zhan Meng & Xinwei Liu, 2023. "Review of Land Use Change Detection—A Method Combining Machine Learning and Bibliometric Analysis," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-26, May.
    3. Francesca Bozzano & Cristiano Carabella & Pierfederico De Pari & Marco Emanuele Discenza & Rosanna Fantucci & Paolo Mazzanti & Enrico Miccadei & Alfredo Rocca & Sergio Romano & Nicola Sciarra, 2020. "Geological and geomorphological analysis of a complex landslides system: the case of San Martino sulla Marruccina (Abruzzo, Central Italy)," Journal of Maps, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(2), pages 126-136, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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