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Research on the Influencing Factors of Urban Ecological Carrying Capacity Based on a Multiscale Geographic Weighted Regression Model: Evidence from China

Author

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  • Ke Liu

    (School of Economics and Management, Zhengzhou University of Light Industry, Science Avenue 136, Zhengzhou 450001, China)

  • Xinyue Xie

    (School of Economics and Management, Zhengzhou University of Light Industry, Science Avenue 136, Zhengzhou 450001, China)

  • Qian Zhou

    (Economics School, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, Nanhu Avenue 182, Wuhan 430073, China)

Abstract

Based on the comprehensive evaluation method, a comprehensive urban ecological carrying capacity (UECC) evaluation system is established. It includes ecological support, ecological resilience, and ecological pressure. Multiscale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) was used to conduct a thorough examination of the spatial and temporal patterns, and the factors that influenced the UECC of 286 prefecture-level cities in China from 2010 to 2019. The results show that (1) China’s UECC index ranges from 0.0233 to 0.2811 in 2019, which is still at a low level. (2) The spatial distribution is relatively stable: high-value agglomerations of UECC are distributed primarily in the Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta, while low-value agglomerations are primarily distributed in the regions in the Central Plains. (3) All influencing factors have a positive effect on the improvement of UECC and are heterogeneous in spatial distribution. Lastly, this paper gives corresponding suggestions, so that governments can formulate differentiated policies and effectively improve UECC.

Suggested Citation

  • Ke Liu & Xinyue Xie & Qian Zhou, 2021. "Research on the Influencing Factors of Urban Ecological Carrying Capacity Based on a Multiscale Geographic Weighted Regression Model: Evidence from China," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-25, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:10:y:2021:i:12:p:1313-:d:690268
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Yuanyuan Lou & Dan Yang & Pengyan Zhang & Ying Zhang & Meiling Song & Yicheng Huang & Wenlong Jing, 2022. "Multi-Scenario Simulation of Land Use Changes with Ecosystem Service Value in the Yellow River Basin," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-17, June.
    3. Xiaowei Zeng & Xiaomei Yang & Shuai Zhong & Zhihua Wang & Yaxin Ding & Dan Meng & Ku Gao, 2023. "Comprehensive Evaluation of Resource and Environmental Carrying Capacity at a National Scale: A Case Study of Southeast Asia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-32, March.
    4. Yu Chen & Xuyang Su & Xuekai Wang, 2022. "Spatial Transformation Characteristics and Conflict Measurement of Production-Living-Ecology: Evidence from Urban Agglomeration of China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(3), pages 1-20, January.

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