IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jlands/v10y2021i10p1042-d649200.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Historical Changes and Future Trajectories of Deforestation in the Ituri-Epulu-Aru Landscape (Democratic Republic of the Congo)

Author

Listed:
  • Joël Masimo Kabuanga

    (Département d’Aménagement des Écosystèmes, Faculté de Gestion des Ressources Naturelles Renouvelables, Université de Kisangani, Kisangani P.O. Box 2012, Democratic Republic of the Congo
    Royal Zoological Society of Antwerp (KMDA) & JURISTRALE, 25, avenue de l’OUA-Ngaliema, P.O. Box 16576 Kin 1, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo)

  • Onésime Mubenga Kankonda

    (Département d’Aménagement des Écosystèmes, Faculté de Gestion des Ressources Naturelles Renouvelables, Université de Kisangani, Kisangani P.O. Box 2012, Democratic Republic of the Congo
    Centre de Surveillance de la Biodiversité, Université de Kisangani, Kisangani P.O. Box 2012, Democratic Republic of the Congo)

  • Mehdi Saqalli

    (CNRS (UMR 5602 GEODE) Maison de la Recherche de l’Université du Mirail, 5, Allées A. Machado, CEDEX 1, 31058 Toulouse, France)

  • Nicolas Maestripieri

    (TerraNIS, 12 Avenue de l’Europe, 31520 Ramonville, France)

  • Thomas Mumuni Bilintoh

    (School of Geography, Clark University, Worcester, MA 01610, USA)

  • Jean-Pierre Mate Mweru

    (Ecole Post-Régionale d’Aménagement et de Gestion Intégrés des Forêts et des Territoires Tropicaux (ERAIFT), Université de Kinshasa, Kinshasa P.O. Box 15.373, Democratic Republic of the Congo)

  • Aimé Balimbaki Liama

    (Institut Congolais pour la Conservation de la Nature (ICCN), 13 Avenue des Cliniques, Kinshasa P.O. Box 868 Kin1, Democratic Republic of the Congo)

  • Radar Nishuli

    (Institut Congolais pour la Conservation de la Nature (ICCN), 13 Avenue des Cliniques, Kinshasa P.O. Box 868 Kin1, Democratic Republic of the Congo)

  • Landing Mané

    (Satellite Observatory of the Forests of Central Africa, 14, Sergent Moke—Q/Socimat, Concession Safricas, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo)

Abstract

The Ituri-Epulu-Aru landscape (IEAL) is experiencing deforestation and forest degradation. This deforestation is at the root of many environmental disturbances in a region characterized by endemism in biodiversity. The importance of this article is to provide useful information for those who wish to discuss a model that can be replicated for other territories affected by deforestation and changes in natural and anthropogenic forest structure. This article focuses on the triangulation of spatialized prospective scenarios in order to identify future trajectories based on the knowledge of historical dynamics through the diachronic analysis of three satellite images (2003–2010–2014–2016). The scenarios were designed in a supervised model implemented in the DINAMICA EGO platform. The three scenarios: business as-usual (BAU), rapid economic growth (REG) and sustainable management of the environment (SME), extrapolating current trends, show that by 2061 this landscape will always be dominated forests (+84%). Old-growth forests occupy 74.2% of the landscape area in the BAU scenario, 81.4% in the SEM scenario and 61.2% in the REG scenario. The SEM scenario gives hope that restoration and preservation of biodiversity priority habitats is still possible if policy makers become aware of it.

Suggested Citation

  • Joël Masimo Kabuanga & Onésime Mubenga Kankonda & Mehdi Saqalli & Nicolas Maestripieri & Thomas Mumuni Bilintoh & Jean-Pierre Mate Mweru & Aimé Balimbaki Liama & Radar Nishuli & Landing Mané, 2021. "Historical Changes and Future Trajectories of Deforestation in the Ituri-Epulu-Aru Landscape (Democratic Republic of the Congo)," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-24, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:10:y:2021:i:10:p:1042-:d:649200
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/10/10/1042/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/10/10/1042/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lalisa A. Duguma & Joanes Atela & Peter A. Minang & Alemayehu N. Ayana & Belachew Gizachew & Judith M. Nzyoka & Florence Bernard, 2019. "Deforestation and Forest Degradation as an Environmental Behavior: Unpacking Realities Shaping Community Actions," Land, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-17, January.
    2. Abdus Samie & Xiangzheng Deng & Siqi Jia & Dongdong Chen, 2017. "Scenario-Based Simulation on Dynamics of Land-Use-Land-Cover Change in Punjab Province, Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-17, July.
    3. Courage Kamusoko & Yukio Wada & Toru Furuya & Shunsuke Tomimura & Mitsuru Nasu & Khamma Homsysavath, 2013. "Simulating Future Forest Cover Changes in Pakxeng District, Lao People’s Democratic Republic (PDR): Implications for Sustainable Forest Management," Land, MDPI, vol. 2(1), pages 1-19, January.
    4. Catherine Linard & Marius Gilbert & Robert W Snow & Abdisalan M Noor & Andrew J Tatem, 2012. "Population Distribution, Settlement Patterns and Accessibility across Africa in 2010," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(2), pages 1-8, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. L'Roe, Jessica & Shanley Barr, Grayson & Detoeuf, Diane & Wieland, Michelle & Ikati, Bernard & Enduyi Kimuha, Moïse & Sandrin, François & Bilua, Delphin & Bondeko, Gerard & Londza, Yves & Bakabana, Pa, 2023. "Comparing forest product harvest rates and livelihood activities among migrant and Indigenous households in the Congo Basin," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    2. Qing Liu & Dongdong Yang & Lei Cao & Bruce Anderson, 2022. "Assessment and Prediction of Carbon Storage Based on Land Use/Land Cover Dynamics in the Tropics: A Case Study of Hainan Island, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-24, February.
    3. L'Roe, Jessica & Detoeuf, Diane & Wieland, Michelle & Ikati, Bernard & Enduyi Kimuha, Moïse & Sandrin, François & Angauko Sukari, Odette & Nzale Nkumu, Junior & Kretser, Heidi E. & Wilkie, David, 2023. "Large-scale monitoring in the DRC’s Ituri forest with a locally informed multidimensional well-being index," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Youjung Kim & Galen Newman, 2019. "Climate Change Preparedness: Comparing Future Urban Growth and Flood Risk in Amsterdam and Houston," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-24, February.
    2. Gollin, Douglas & Lagakos, David & Kirchberger, Martina, 2017. "In Search of a Spatial Equilibrium in the Developing World," CEPR Discussion Papers 12114, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Beatrice Asenso Barnieh & Li Jia & Massimo Menenti & Min Jiang & Jie Zhou & Yelong Zeng & Ali Bennour, 2021. "Modeling the Underlying Drivers of Natural Vegetation Occurrence in West Africa with Binary Logistic Regression Method," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-37, April.
    4. Žiga Malek & Veronica Zumpano & Haydar Hussin, 2018. "Forest management and future changes to ecosystem services in the Romanian Carpathians," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 20(3), pages 1275-1291, June.
    5. D. Woods & A. Cunningham & C. E. Utazi & M. Bondarenko & L. Shengjie & G. E. Rogers & P. Koper & C. W. Ruktanonchai & E. zu Erbach-Schoenberg & A. J. Tatem & J. Steele & A. Sorichetta, 2022. "Exploring methods for mapping seasonal population changes using mobile phone data," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-17, December.
    6. Alexandros Korkovelos & Babak Khavari & Andreas Sahlberg & Mark Howells & Christopher Arderne, 2019. "The Role of Open Access Data in Geospatial Electrification Planning and the Achievement of SDG7. An OnSSET-Based Case Study for Malawi," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-36, April.
    7. Muluberhan Biedemariam & Emiru Birhane & Biadgilgn Demissie & Tewodros Tadesse & Girmay Gebresamuel & Solomon Habtu, 2022. "Ecosystem Service Values as Related to Land Use and Land Cover Changes in Ethiopia: A Review," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-21, December.
    8. T Alex Perkins & Thomas W Scott & Arnaud Le Menach & David L Smith, 2013. "Heterogeneity, Mixing, and the Spatial Scales of Mosquito-Borne Pathogen Transmission," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(12), pages 1-16, December.
    9. Kara G Marson & Kenneth Tapia & Pamela Kohler & Christine J McGrath & Grace C John-Stewart & Barbra A Richardson & Julia W Njoroge & James N Kiarie & Samah R Sakr & Michael H Chung, 2013. "Male, Mobile, and Moneyed: Loss to Follow-Up vs. Transfer of Care in an Urban African Antiretroviral Treatment Clinic," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(10), pages 1-1, October.
    10. Carl Müller-Crepon & Yannick Pengl & Nils-Christian Bormann, 2022. "Linking Ethnic Data from Africa (LEDA)," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 59(3), pages 425-435, May.
    11. P. P. Braga, Daniel & Pokorny, Benno & Porro, Roberto & Vidal, Edson, 2023. "Good life in the Amazon? A critical reflection on the standard of living of cocoa and cattle-based smallholders in Pará, Brazil," World Development Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    12. Amjath-Babu, T.S. & Krupnik, Timothy J. & Kaechele, Harald & Aravindakshan, Sreejith & Sietz, Diana, 2016. "Transitioning to groundwater irrigated intensified agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa: An indicator based assessment," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 125-135.
    13. Siyu Ma & Lin Yang & Mei-Po Kwan & Zejun Zuo & Haoyue Qian & Minghao Li, 2021. "Do Individuals’ Activity Structures Influence Their PM 2 . 5 Exposure Levels? Evidence from Human Trajectory Data in Wuhan City," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(9), pages 1-27, April.
    14. Liu, Weiping & Yang, Chaoxian & Liu, Yong & Wei, Chaofu & Yang, Xinyue, 2018. "Impacts of concentrated rural resettlement policy on rural restructuring in upland areas: A case study of Qiantang Town in Chongqing, China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 732-744.
    15. Jayne, T.S. & Chamberlin, Jordan & Headey, Derek D., 2014. "Land pressures, the evolution of farming systems, and development strategies in Africa: A synthesis," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 1-17.
    16. Diosey Ramon Lugo-Morin, 2021. "Global Future: Low-Carbon Economy or High-Carbon Economy?," World, MDPI, vol. 2(2), pages 1-19, April.
    17. David Kraybill, 2013. "Rural development in sub-Saharan Africa," Chapters, in: Gary Paul Green (ed.), Handbook of Rural Development, chapter 14, pages i-ii, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    18. Emilia Janeczko & Radosław Dąbrowski & Joanna Budnicka-Kosior & Małgorzata Woźnicka, 2019. "Influence of Urbanization Processes on the Dynamics and Scale of Spatial Transformations in the Mazowiecki Landscape Park," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-12, May.
    19. Miguel A Campo-Bescós & Rafael Muñoz-Carpena & David A Kaplan & Jane Southworth & Likai Zhu & Peter R Waylen, 2013. "Beyond Precipitation: Physiographic Gradients Dictate the Relative Importance of Environmental Drivers on Savanna Vegetation," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(8), pages 1-14, August.
    20. Mingjie Shi & Hongqi Wu & Xin Fan & Hongtao Jia & Tong Dong & Panxing He & Muhammad Fahad Baqa & Pingan Jiang, 2021. "Trade-Offs and Synergies of Multiple Ecosystem Services for Different Land Use Scenarios in the Yili River Valley, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-15, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:10:y:2021:i:10:p:1042-:d:649200. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.