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Modeling the Dependence Structure of Share Prices among Three Chinese City Banks

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  • Guizhou Liu

    (Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University, 2-1, Rokkodai, Nada-Ku, Kobe 657-8501, Japan)

  • Xiao-Jing Cai

    (Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University, 2-1, Rokkodai, Nada-Ku, Kobe 657-8501, Japan)

  • Shigeyuki Hamori

    (Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University, 2-1, Rokkodai, Nada-Ku, Kobe 657-8501, Japan)

Abstract

We study the dependence structure of share price returns among the Beijing Bank, Ningbo Bank, and Nanjing Bank using copula models. We use the normal, Student’s t, rotated Gumbel, and symmetrized Joe-Clayton (SJC) copula models to estimate the underlying dependence structure in two periods: one covering the global financial crisis and the other covering the domestic share market crash in China. We show that Beijing Bank is less dependent on the other two city banks than Nanjing Bank, which is dependent on the other two in share price extreme returns. We also observe a major decrease of dependency from 2007 to 2018 in three one-to-one dependence structures. Interestingly, contrary to recent literatures, Ningbo Bank and Nanjing Bank tend to be more dependent on each other in positive returns than in negative returns during the past decade. We also show the dynamic dependence structures among three city banks using time-varying copula.

Suggested Citation

  • Guizhou Liu & Xiao-Jing Cai & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2018. "Modeling the Dependence Structure of Share Prices among Three Chinese City Banks," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-18, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:11:y:2018:i:4:p:57-:d:172899
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Jin Shang & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2023. "Differential Tail Dependence between Crude Oil and Forex Markets in Oil-Importing and Oil-Exporting Countries during Recent Crisis Periods," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-24, October.
    2. Shigeyuki Hamori, 2020. "Empirical Finance," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-3, January.
    3. Christian Bucio Pacheco & Luis Villanueva & Raúl de Jesús Gutiérrez, 2021. "Dependence in the Banking Sector of the United States and Mexico: A Copula Approach," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(TNEA), pages 1-23, Septiembr.
    4. Arnab Bhattacharjee & Sudipto Roy, 2019. "Abnormal Returns or Mismeasured Risk? Network Effects and Risk Spillover in Stock Returns," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-13, March.

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