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The Market-Timing Ability of Chinese Equity Securities Investment Funds

Author

Listed:
  • Meadhbh Sherman

    (Department of Economics, University College Cork, Cork T12YN60, Ireland)

  • Niall O’Sullivan

    (Department of Economics, University College Cork, Cork T12YN60, Ireland)

  • Jun Gao

    (Department of Economics, University College Cork, Cork T12YN60, Ireland)

Abstract

This study examines the market-timing performance of Chinese equity securities investment funds during the period from May 2003 to May 2014 using the parametric tests of Treynor–Mazuy and Henriksson–Merton as well as the Jiang non-parametric test. Based on the non-parametric approach, the study finds that only one fund among the sample of 419 funds possessed statistically significant market-timing skill, while 9% of the funds were statistically significant negative market timers. Most funds do not time the market. This conclusion is robust when controlling for publicly available information in evaluating ‘private’ timing ability. Consistent with studies of other markets such as the UK, a higher prevalence of successful market timers is found by the Treynor–Mazuy and Henriksson–Merton methods compared to the non-parametric procedure.

Suggested Citation

  • Meadhbh Sherman & Niall O’Sullivan & Jun Gao, 2017. "The Market-Timing Ability of Chinese Equity Securities Investment Funds," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-18, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijfss:v:5:y:2017:i:4:p:22-:d:115321
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Zheng, Yao & Osmer, Eric & Bai, Yidan, 2021. "Timing market confidence in the Chinese domestic security market," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 298-311.
    3. Sanaullah & Muhammad Shahbaz Khan & Dr. Amna Noor & Salleh Khan, 2021. "An Investigation of Market Timing Ability of Mutual Fund Managers in Pakistan," iRASD Journal of Management, International Research Alliance for Sustainable Development (iRASD), vol. 3(1), pages 56-68, june.
    4. Chen, Qinhua & Chi, Yeguang, 2018. "Smart beta, smart money," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 19-38.

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