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Impact of Meteorological Conditions on the Dynamics of the COVID-19 Pandemic in Poland

Author

Listed:
  • Bogdan Bochenek

    (Institute of Meteorology and Water Management-National Research Institute, 01-673 Warsaw, Poland)

  • Mateusz Jankowski

    (Centre of Postgraduate Medical Education, School of Public Health, 01-826 Warsaw, Poland)

  • Marta Gruszczynska

    (Institute of Meteorology and Water Management-National Research Institute, 01-673 Warsaw, Poland)

  • Grzegorz Nykiel

    (Institute of Meteorology and Water Management-National Research Institute, 01-673 Warsaw, Poland
    Faculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Gdansk University of Technology, 80-233 Gdansk, Poland)

  • Maciej Gruszczynski

    (Central Office of Measures, Time and Frequency Laboratory, 00-137 Warsaw, Poland)

  • Adam Jaczewski

    (Institute of Meteorology and Water Management-National Research Institute, 01-673 Warsaw, Poland)

  • Michal Ziemianski

    (Institute of Meteorology and Water Management-National Research Institute, 01-673 Warsaw, Poland)

  • Robert Pyrc

    (Institute of Meteorology and Water Management-National Research Institute, 01-673 Warsaw, Poland)

  • Mariusz Figurski

    (Institute of Meteorology and Water Management-National Research Institute, 01-673 Warsaw, Poland
    Faculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Gdansk University of Technology, 80-233 Gdansk, Poland)

  • Jarosław Pinkas

    (Centre of Postgraduate Medical Education, School of Public Health, 01-826 Warsaw, Poland)

Abstract

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an infectious disease caused by the novel coronavirus. The role of environmental factors in COVID-19 transmission is unclear. This study aimed to analyze the correlation between meteorological conditions (temperature, relative humidity, sunshine duration, wind speed) and dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic in Poland. Data on a daily number of laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases and the number of COVID-19-related deaths were gatheredfrom the official governmental website. Meteorological observations from 55 synoptic stations in Poland were used. Moreover, reports on the movement of people across different categories of places were collected. A cross-correlation function, principal component analysis and random forest were applied. Maximum temperature, sunshine duration, relative humidity and variability of mean daily temperature affected the dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic. An increase intemperature and sunshine hours decreased the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases. The occurrence of high humidity caused an increase in the number of COVID-19 cases 14 days later. Decreased sunshine duration and increased air humidity had a negative impact on the number of COVID-19-related deaths. Our study provides information that may be used by policymakers to support the decision-making process in nonpharmaceutical interventions against COVID-19.

Suggested Citation

  • Bogdan Bochenek & Mateusz Jankowski & Marta Gruszczynska & Grzegorz Nykiel & Maciej Gruszczynski & Adam Jaczewski & Michal Ziemianski & Robert Pyrc & Mariusz Figurski & Jarosław Pinkas, 2021. "Impact of Meteorological Conditions on the Dynamics of the COVID-19 Pandemic in Poland," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(8), pages 1-13, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:18:y:2021:i:8:p:3951-:d:532919
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Flávio C Coelho & Raquel M Lana & Oswaldo G Cruz & Daniel A M Villela & Leonardo S Bastos & Ana Pastore y Piontti & Jessica T Davis & Alessandro Vespignani & Claudia T Codeço & Marcelo F C Gomes, 2020. "Assessing the spread of COVID-19 in Brazil: Mobility, morbidity and social vulnerability," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(9), pages 1-11, September.
    2. Xiao-Dong Yang & Hong-Li Li & Yue-E Cao, 2021. "Influence of Meteorological Factors on the COVID-19 Transmission with Season and Geographic Location," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(2), pages 1-13, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mohamed Khalis & Aly Badara Toure & Imad El Badisy & Kenza Khomsi & Houda Najmi & Oumnia Bouaddi & Abdelghafour Marfak & Wael K. Al-Delaimy & Mohamed Berraho & Chakib Nejjari, 2022. "Relationship between Meteorological and Air Quality Parameters and COVID-19 in Casablanca Region, Morocco," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(9), pages 1-13, April.
    2. Ewa Brągoszewska & Anna Mainka, 2022. "Impact of Different Air Pollutants (PM 10 , PM 2.5 , NO 2 , and Bacterial Aerosols) on COVID-19 Cases in Gliwice, Southern Poland," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(21), pages 1-12, October.

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