IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jijerp/v18y2021i18p9832-d638215.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Simulation and Analysis of Urban Production–Living–Ecological Space Evolution Based on a Macro–Micro Joint Decision Model

Author

Listed:
  • Yuanyuan Tao

    (School of Environment and Spatial Informatics, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China)

  • Qianxin Wang

    (School of Environment and Spatial Informatics, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China)

  • Yan Zou

    (School of Environment and Spatial Informatics, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China
    School of Humanity and Law, Beijing University of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Beijing 102616, China)

Abstract

The precise simulation of urban space evolution and grasping of the leading factors are the most important basis for urban space planning. However, the simulation ability of current models is lacking when it comes to complicated/unpredictable urban space changes, resulting in flawed government decision-making and wasting of urban resources. In this study, a macro–micro joint decision model was proposed to improve the ability of urban space evolution simulation. The simulation objects were unified into production, living and ecological space to realize “multiple planning in one”. For validation of the proposed model and method, remote sensing images, geographic information and socio-economic data of Xuzhou, China from 2000 to 2020 were collected and tested. The results showed that the simulation precision of the cellular automata (CA) model was about 87% (Kappa coefficient), which improved to 89% if using a CA and multi-agent system (MAS) joint model. The simulation precision could be better than 92% using the prosed model. The result of factor weight determination indicated that the micro factors affected the evolution of production and living space more than the macro factors, while the macro factors had more influence on the evolution of ecological space than the micro factors. Therefore, active policies should be formulated to strengthen the ideological guidance towards micro individuals (e.g., a resident, farmer, or entrepreneur), and avoid disordered development of living and production space. In addition, ecological space planning should closely link with the local environment and natural conditions, to improve urban ecological carrying capacity and realize urban sustainable development.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuanyuan Tao & Qianxin Wang & Yan Zou, 2021. "Simulation and Analysis of Urban Production–Living–Ecological Space Evolution Based on a Macro–Micro Joint Decision Model," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(18), pages 1-21, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:18:y:2021:i:18:p:9832-:d:638215
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/18/18/9832/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/18/18/9832/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Han Li & Long Li & Longqian Chen & Xisheng Zhou & Yifan Cui & Yunqiang Liu & Weiqiang Liu, 2019. "Mapping and Characterizing Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Impervious Surfaces Using Landsat Images: A Case Study of Xuzhou, East China from 1995 to 2018," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-22, February.
    2. Li Jiang & Yonghui Zhang, 2016. "Modeling Urban Expansion and Agricultural Land Conversion in Henan Province, China: An Integration of Land Use and Socioeconomic Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(9), pages 1-12, September.
    3. Di Wang & Dong Jiang & Jingying Fu & Gang Lin & Jialun Zhang, 2020. "Comprehensive Assessment of Production–Living–Ecological Space Based on the Coupling Coordination Degree Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-18, March.
    4. Jianfeng Zhu & Shenzhen Tian, 2020. "A Dynamic Urban Lake Area Evolution Model Based on Multilevel Grid, Cellular Automata, and Multiagent System," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2020, pages 1-19, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Bin Ai & Zhenlin Lai & Shifa Ma, 2024. "Mapping the Functional Structure of Urban Agglomerations at the Block Level: A New Spatial Classification That Goes beyond Land Use," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-19, July.
    2. Ning Xu & Wanxu Chen & Sipei Pan & Jiale Liang & Jiaojiao Bian, 2022. "Evolution Characteristics and Formation Mechanism of Production-Living-Ecological Space in China: Perspective of Main Function Zones," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(16), pages 1-19, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Changchun Feng & Hao Zhang & Liang Xiao & Yongpei Guo, 2022. "Land Use Change and Its Driving Factors in the Rural–Urban Fringe of Beijing: A Production–Living–Ecological Perspective," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-18, February.
    2. Yingfeng Ran & Wei Hou & Jingli Sun & Liang Zhai & Chuan Du & Jingyang Li, 2024. "Coordination Analysis Between Urban Livability and Population Distribution in China’s Major Urban Agglomerations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(23), pages 1-14, November.
    3. Shunqian Gao & Liu Yang & Hongzan Jiao, 2022. "Changes in and Patterns of the Tradeoffs and Synergies of Production-Living-Ecological Space: A Case Study of Longli County, Guizhou Province, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-18, July.
    4. Gang Lin & Dong Jiang & Jingying Fu & Yi Zhao, 2022. "A Review on the Overall Optimization of Production–Living–Ecological Space: Theoretical Basis and Conceptual Framework," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-15, February.
    5. Yi Zhang & Yao Xu & Hao Kong & Gang Zhou, 2022. "Spatial-Temporal Evolution of Coupling Coordination between Green Transformation and the Quality of Economic Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-15, December.
    6. Rong Wang & Jinlong Wang & Wenhao Chen, 2023. "The Coordinated Development of Ecosystem Services and Farming Household Livelihood Security: A Case Study of the Dongting Lake Area in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-18, July.
    7. Xueting Pan & Jialing Zhao, 2025. "Coupling Coordination Analysis and Spatiotemporal Heterogeneity Between Green Space Quality and Economic Development: A Case Study of the Yangtze River Delta in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(5), pages 1-24, February.
    8. Bernardino Romano & Francesco Zullo & Lorena Fiorini & Serena Ciabò & Alessandro Marucci, 2017. "Sprinkling: An Approach to Describe Urbanization Dynamics in Italy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-17, January.
    9. Yue Tang & Li Zhu & Xiaokang Wang, 2024. "Quantitative Analysis of the Evolution of Production–Living–Ecological Space in Traditional Villages: A Comparative Study of Rural Areas in Tibet," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-23, November.
    10. Lanyi Wei & Yanjun Zhang & Lingzhi Wang & Zilang Cheng & Xuying Wu, 2022. "Obstacle Indicators Diagnosis and Advantage Functions Zoning Optimization Based on “Production-Living-Ecological” Functions of National Territory Space in Jilin Province," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-23, April.
    11. Ziqi Yu & Xi Meng & Gongjue Yu, 2025. "Evolution of “Production–Living–Ecological” Spaces Conflicts and Their Impacts on Ecosystem Service Values in the Farming–Pastoral Ecotone in Inner Mongolia During Rapid Urbanization," Land, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-21, February.
    12. Lin-Hong Zheng & Nor Eeza Zainal Abidin & Mohammad Nazri Mohd Nor & Yue-Yun Xu & Xiao-Wei Feng, 2023. "Sustainable Coupling Coordination and Influencing Factors of Sports Facilities Construction and Social Economy Development in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-17, February.
    13. Xiaodong Huang & Wenkai Liu & Yuping Han & Chunying Wang & Han Wang & Sai Hu, 2019. "Performance Evaluation and Comparison of Modified Spectral Mixture Analysis Method for Different Images of Landsat Series Satellites," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(22), pages 1-18, November.
    14. Shanfeng Wu & Wenbo Mo & Runlei Zhang & Xuan Xiao & E Li & Xi Liu & Nan Yang, 2025. "Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Mechanism of Production–Living–Ecological Space from 1990 to 2020 in Hunan, Central China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(4), pages 1-25, February.
    15. Jiang Du & Miao Zeng & Zhengjuan Xie & Shikun Wang, 2019. "Power of Agricultural Credit in Farmland Abandonment: Evidence from Rural China," Land, MDPI, vol. 8(12), pages 1-14, December.
    16. Jia Jia & Enhui Jiang & Shimin Tian & Bo Qu & Jieyu Li & Lingang Hao & Chang Liu & Yongcai Jing, 2025. "Land-Use Transformation and Its Eco-Environmental Effects of Production–Living–Ecological Space Based on the County Level in the Yellow River Basin," Land, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-15, February.
    17. Lingyu Kong & Xiaodong Xu & Wei Wang & Jinxiu Wu & Meiying Zhang, 2021. "Comprehensive Evaluation and Quantitative Research on the Living Protection of Traditional Villages from the Perspective of “Production–Living–Ecology”," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-25, May.
    18. Yanzhen Hou & Zhenlong Zhang & Yuerong Wang & Honghu Sun & Chang Xu, 2022. "Function Evaluation and Coordination Analysis of Production–Living–Ecological Space Based on the Perspective of Type–Intensity–Connection: A Case Study of Suzhou, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-21, November.
    19. Wei Tang & Tiancai Zhou & Jian Sun & Yurui Li & Weipeng Li, 2017. "Accelerated Urban Expansion in Lhasa City and the Implications for Sustainable Development in a Plateau City," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-19, August.
    20. Jiaxing Cui & Xuesong Kong & Jing Chen & Jianwei Sun & Yuanyuan Zhu, 2021. "Spatially Explicit Evaluation and Driving Factor Identification of Land Use Conflict in Yangtze River Economic Belt," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-24, January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:18:y:2021:i:18:p:9832-:d:638215. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.