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A Critical Analysis of the Drivers of Human Migration Patterns in the Presence of Climate Change: A New Conceptual Model

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  • Rebecca Parrish

    (Institute of Environment, Health and Societies, Brunel University London, Uxbridge UB8 3PH, UK
    Institute for Global Health, University College London, 30 Guilford Street, London WC1N 1EH, UK)

  • Tim Colbourn

    (Institute for Global Health, University College London, 30 Guilford Street, London WC1N 1EH, UK)

  • Paolo Lauriola

    (Institute of Clinical Physiology, Italian National Research Council, 56124 Pisa, Italy)

  • Giovanni Leonardi

    (Department of Public Health, Environments and Society; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London WC1E 7HT, UK)

  • Shakoor Hajat

    (Centre on Climate Change and Planetary Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London WC1E 7HT, UK)

  • Ariana Zeka

    (Institute of Environment, Health and Societies, Brunel University London, Uxbridge UB8 3PH, UK)

Abstract

Both climate change and migration present key concerns for global health progress. Despite this, a transparent method for identifying and understanding the relationship between climate change, migration and other contextual factors remains a knowledge gap. Existing conceptual models are useful in understanding the complexities of climate migration, but provide varying degrees of applicability to quantitative studies, resulting in non-homogenous transferability of knowledge in this important area. This paper attempts to provide a critical review of climate migration literature, as well as presenting a new conceptual model for the identification of the drivers of migration in the context of climate change. It focuses on the interactions and the dynamics of drivers over time, space and society. Through systematic, pan-disciplinary and homogenous application of theory to different geographical contexts, we aim to improve understanding of the impacts of climate change on migration. A brief case study of Malawi is provided to demonstrate how this global conceptual model can be applied into local contextual scenarios. In doing so, we hope to provide insights that help in the more homogenous applications of conceptual frameworks for this area and more generally.

Suggested Citation

  • Rebecca Parrish & Tim Colbourn & Paolo Lauriola & Giovanni Leonardi & Shakoor Hajat & Ariana Zeka, 2020. "A Critical Analysis of the Drivers of Human Migration Patterns in the Presence of Climate Change: A New Conceptual Model," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(17), pages 1-20, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:17:y:2020:i:17:p:6036-:d:401096
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kate Burrows & Patrick L. Kinney, 2016. "Exploring the Climate Change, Migration and Conflict Nexus," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-17, April.
    2. Henderson, J. Vernon & Storeygard, Adam & Deichmann, Uwe, 2017. "Has climate change driven urbanization in Africa?," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 60-82.
    3. Clark Gray & Richard Bilsborrow, 2013. "Environmental Influences on Human Migration in Rural Ecuador," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 50(4), pages 1217-1241, August.
    4. Dinda, Soumyananda, 2004. "Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis: A Survey," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(4), pages 431-455, August.
    5. Robert McLeman, 2013. "Developments in modelling of climate change-related migration," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 117(3), pages 599-611, April.
    6. Rafiq, Shuddhasattwa & Nielsen, Ingrid & Smyth, Russell, 2017. "Effect of internal migration on the environment in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 31-44.
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    Cited by:

    1. Trinh, Tra Thi & Munro, Alistair, 2024. "Climate change and migration decisions: A choice experiment from the Mekong Delta, Vietnam," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).

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