IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jijerp/v17y2020i11p3763-d363115.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An Integrated Approach for Spatio-Temporal Cholera Disease Hotspot Relation Mining for Public Health Management in Punjab, Pakistan

Author

Listed:
  • Fatima Khalique

    (Department of Computer and Software Engineering, National University of Sciences and Technology, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan)

  • Shoab Ahmed Khan

    (Department of Computer and Software Engineering, National University of Sciences and Technology, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan)

  • Wasi Haider Butt

    (Department of Computer and Software Engineering, National University of Sciences and Technology, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan)

  • Irum Matloob

    (Department of Computer and Software Engineering, National University of Sciences and Technology, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan)

Abstract

Public health management can generate actionable results when diseases are studied in context with other candidate factors contributing to disease dynamics. In order to fully understand the interdependent relationships of multiple geospatial features involved in disease dynamics, it is important to construct an effective representation model that is able to reveal the relationship patterns and trends. The purpose of this work is to combine disease incidence spatio-temporal data with other features of interest in a mutlivariate spatio-temporal model for investigating characteristic disease and feature patterns over identified hotspots. We present an integrated approach in the form of a disease management model for analyzing spatio-temporal dynamics of disease in connection with other determinants. Our approach aligns spatio-temporal profiles of disease with other driving factors in public health context to identify hotspots and patterns of disease and features of interest in the identified locations. We evaluate our model against cholera disease outbreaks from 2015–2019 in Punjab province of Pakistan. The experimental results showed that the presented model effectively address the complex dynamics of disease incidences in the presence of other features of interest over a geographic area representing populations and sub populations during a given time. The presented methodology provides an effective mechanism for identifying disease hotspots in multiple dimensions and relation between the hotspots for cost-effective and optimal resource allocation as well as a sound reference for further predictive and forecasting analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Fatima Khalique & Shoab Ahmed Khan & Wasi Haider Butt & Irum Matloob, 2020. "An Integrated Approach for Spatio-Temporal Cholera Disease Hotspot Relation Mining for Public Health Management in Punjab, Pakistan," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(11), pages 1-18, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:17:y:2020:i:11:p:3763-:d:363115
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/17/11/3763/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/17/11/3763/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Timothy C Reluga, 2010. "Game Theory of Social Distancing in Response to an Epidemic," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 6(5), pages 1-9, May.
    2. Miriam Marco & Antonio López-Quílez & David Conesa & Enrique Gracia & Marisol Lila, 2017. "Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Suicide-Related Emergency Calls," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-13, July.
    3. Min Xu & Chunxiang Cao & Duochun Wang & Biao Kan, 2014. "Identifying Environmental Risk Factors of Cholera in a Coastal Area with Geospatial Technologies," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-17, December.
    4. Kunlun Chen & Xiaoqiong Liu & Lei Ding & Gengzhi Huang & Zhigang Li, 2016. "Spatial Characteristics and Driving Factors of Provincial Wastewater Discharge in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-19, December.
    5. Bin Chen & Zhengqiu Zhu & Feiran Chen & Yong Zhao & Xiaogang Qiu, 2019. "Strategically Patrolling in a Chemical Cluster Addressing Gas Pollutants’ Releases through a Game-Theoretic Model," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-18, February.
    6. Pierre Goovaerts & Geoffrey M. Jacquez, 2005. "Detection of temporal changes in the spatial distribution of cancer rates using local Moran’s I and geostatistically simulated spatial neutral models," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 137-159, October.
    7. Arthur Getis & J. Keith Ord, 2010. "The Analysis of Spatial Association by Use of Distance Statistics," Advances in Spatial Science, in: Luc Anselin & Sergio J. Rey (ed.), Perspectives on Spatial Data Analysis, chapter 0, pages 127-145, Springer.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lu Wang & Jie Yu & Dongmei Chen & Lixia Yang, 2021. "Relationships among COVID-19 Prevention Practices, Risk Perception and Individual Characteristics: A Temporal Analysis," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(20), pages 1-14, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ning Zhang & Ying Mao, 2021. "Spatial Effects of Environmental Pollution on Healthcare Services: Evidence from China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(4), pages 1-21, February.
    2. Ceddia, M.G. & Bardsley, N.O. & Goodwin, R. & Holloway, G.J. & Nocella, G. & Stasi, A., 2013. "A complex system perspective on the emergence and spread of infectious diseases: Integrating economic and ecological aspects," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 124-131.
    3. Mehmet Ronael & Tüzin Baycan, 2022. "Place-based factors affecting COVID-19 incidences in Turkey," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 6(3), pages 1053-1086, October.
    4. Thomas M. Koutsos & Georgios C. Menexes & Andreas P. Mamolos, 2021. "The Use of Crop Yield Autocorrelation Data as a Sustainable Approach to Adjust Agronomic Inputs," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-17, February.
    5. Cláudia M. Viana & Dulce Freire & Patrícia Abrantes & Jorge Rocha, 2021. "Evolution of Agricultural Production in Portugal during 1850–2018: A Geographical and Historical Perspective," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-18, July.
    6. Yunhan Huang & Quanyan Zhu, 2022. "Game-Theoretic Frameworks for Epidemic Spreading and Human Decision-Making: A Review," Dynamic Games and Applications, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 7-48, March.
    7. Felipe Santos‐Marquez & Carlos Mendez, 2021. "Regional convergence, spatial scale, and spatial dependence: Evidence from homicides and personal injuries in Colombia 2010–2018," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(4), pages 1162-1184, August.
    8. Jianwei Qi & Yayan Lu & Fang Han & Xuankai Ma & Zhaoping Yang, 2022. "Spatial Distribution Characteristics of the Rural Tourism Villages in the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau and Its Influencing Factors," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(15), pages 1-21, July.
    9. Carnehl, Christoph & Fukuda, Satoshi & Kos, Nenad, 2023. "Epidemics with behavior," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    10. Gregory Gutin & Tomohiro Hirano & Sung-Ha Hwang & Philip R. Neary & Alexis Akira Toda, 2021. "The effect of social distancing on the reach of an epidemic in social networks," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 16(3), pages 629-647, July.
    11. Cuixia Yan & Lucang Wang & Qing Zhang, 2021. "Study on Coupled Relationship between Urban Air Quality and Land Use in Lanzhou, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-21, July.
    12. Kevin Laubis & Marcel Konstantinov & Viliam Simko & Alexander Gröschel & Christof Weinhardt, 2019. "Enabling crowdsensing-based road condition monitoring service by intermediary," Electronic Markets, Springer;IIM University of St. Gallen, vol. 29(1), pages 125-140, March.
    13. María-Jesús Perles & Juan F. Sortino & Matías F. Mérida, 2021. "The Neighborhood Contagion Focus as a Spatial Unit for Diagnosis and Epidemiological Action against COVID-19 Contagion in Urban Spaces: A Methodological Proposal for Its Detection and Delimitation," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(6), pages 1-24, March.
    14. Mohler, George & Bertozzi, Andrea L. & Carter, Jeremy & Short, Martin B. & Sledge, Daniel & Tita, George E. & Uchida, Craig D. & Brantingham, P. Jeffrey, 2020. "Impact of social distancing during COVID-19 pandemic on crime in Los Angeles and Indianapolis," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    15. Han, Dun & Sun, Mei, 2016. "An evolutionary vaccination game in the modified activity driven network by considering the closeness," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 443(C), pages 49-57.
    16. Caixia Wang & Huijie Li, 2022. "Public Compliance Matters in Evidence-Based Public Health Policy: Evidence from Evaluating Social Distancing in the First Wave of COVID-19," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(7), pages 1-13, March.
    17. Yunhan Huang & Tao Zhang & Quanyan Zhu, 2022. "The Inverse Problem of Linear-Quadratic Differential Games: When is a Control Strategies Profile Nash?," Papers 2207.05303, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
    18. Li, Xiaoliang & Wu, Kening & Yang, Qijun & Hao, Shiheng & Feng, Zhe & Ma, Jinliang, 2023. "Quantitative assessment of cultivated land use intensity in Heilongjiang Province, China, 2001–2015," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    19. Amaral, Marco A. & Oliveira, Marcelo M. de & Javarone, Marco A., 2021. "An epidemiological model with voluntary quarantine strategies governed by evolutionary game dynamics," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:17:y:2020:i:11:p:3763-:d:363115. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.