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An Analysis of Large-Scale Forced Migration in Africa

Author

Listed:
  • Murat Bayar

    (Institute for Eastern and African Studies, Social Sciences University of Ankara, Ankara 06030, Turkey)

  • Mustafa M. Aral

    (Department of Civil Engineering, Bartin University, Bartin 74100, Turkey)

Abstract

In this paper, human security-related causes of large-scale forced migration (LSFM) in Africa are investigated for the period 2011–2017. As distinct from the conventional understanding of (national) security, human security involves economic, public health, environmental and other aspects of people’s wellbeing. Testing various hypotheses, we have found that civil and interstate conflicts, lack of democracy and poverty are the most important drivers of mass population displacements, whereas climate change has an indirect effect on the dependent variable. As a policy tool, foreign aid is also tested to see if it lowers the probability of LSFM. Our findings have implications for policy planning, since the conventional understanding of security falls short of addressing LSFM without taking various aspects of human security into account.

Suggested Citation

  • Murat Bayar & Mustafa M. Aral, 2019. "An Analysis of Large-Scale Forced Migration in Africa," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(21), pages 1-16, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:16:y:2019:i:21:p:4210-:d:281742
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Patricia Nayna Schwerdtle & Julia Stockemer & Kathryn J. Bowen & Rainer Sauerborn & Celia McMichael & Ina Danquah, 2020. "A Meta-Synthesis of Policy Recommendations Regarding Human Mobility in the Context of Climate Change," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(24), pages 1-30, December.
    2. Desmond Oklikah Ofori & Elmond Bandauko & Senanu Kwasi Kutor & Amanda Odoi & Akosua Boahemaa Asare & Thelma Akyea & Godwin Arku, 2023. "A Systematic Review of International and Internal Climate-Induced Migration in Africa," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-18, November.

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