IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jgames/v16y2025i1p7-d1582867.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Note on the Welfare and Policy Implications of a Two-Period Real Option Game Under Imperfect Information

Author

Listed:
  • Congcong Wang

    (School of Finance, Zhejiang University of Finance and Economics, Hangzhou 310012, China
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Yuhan Wang

    (School of Finance, Zhejiang University of Finance and Economics, Hangzhou 310012, China
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Shanshan Chen

    (School of Finance, Zhejiang University of Finance and Economics, Hangzhou 310012, China
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Shravan Luckraz

    (School of Economics and CeDeX China, University of Nottingham Ningbo China, Ningbo 315104, China
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Bruno Antonio Pansera

    (Department of Law, Economics and Human Sciences & Decisions_Lab, University Mediterranea of Reggio Calabria, Via dell’Universitá 25, I-89124 Reggio Calabria, Italy
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

Abstract

We show that the discrete real option game model proposed in the recent literature can be extended to the case of imperfect information. As a result, the model can cover a wider range of applications. However, we also observe that the effectiveness of implementing the subsidy is affected by the imperfect informational structure.

Suggested Citation

  • Congcong Wang & Yuhan Wang & Shanshan Chen & Shravan Luckraz & Bruno Antonio Pansera, 2025. "A Note on the Welfare and Policy Implications of a Two-Period Real Option Game Under Imperfect Information," Games, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-7, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jgames:v:16:y:2025:i:1:p:7-:d:1582867
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4336/16/1/7/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4336/16/1/7/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pauli Murto & Jussi Keppo, 2002. "A Game Model Of Irreversible Investment Under Uncertainty," International Game Theory Review (IGTR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 4(02), pages 127-140.
    2. Lambrecht, Bart & Perraudin, William, 2003. "Real options and preemption under incomplete information," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 619-643, February.
    3. Grzegorz Pawlina & Peter M. Kort, 2006. "Real Options in an Asymmetric Duopoly: Who Benefits from Your Competitive Disadvantage?," Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(1), pages 1-35, March.
    4. Kristian R. Miltersen & Eduardo S. Schwart, 2004. "R&D Investments with Competitive Interactions," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 8(3), pages 355-401.
    5. Kristian R. Miltersen & Eduardo S. Schwartz, 2004. "R&D Investments with Competitive Interactions," NBER Working Papers 10258, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Kristian R. Miltersen & Eduardo S. Schwart, 2004. "R&D Investments with Competitive Interactions," Review of Finance, Springer, vol. 8(3), pages 355-401.
    7. Hans T.J. Smit, 2003. "Infrastructure Investment as a Real Options Game: The Case of European Airport Expansion," Financial Management, Financial Management Association, vol. 32(4), Winter.
    8. Myers, Stewart C., 1977. "Determinants of corporate borrowing," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 147-175, November.
    9. Grenadier, Steven R, 1996. "The Strategic Exercise of Options: Development Cascades and Overbuilding in Real Estate Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(5), pages 1653-1679, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Arasteh, Abdollah, 2017. "Considering the investment decisions with real options games approach," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 1282-1294.
    2. Chevalier-Roignant, Benoît & Flath, Christoph M. & Huchzermeier, Arnd & Trigeorgis, Lenos, 2011. "Strategic investment under uncertainty: A synthesis," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 215(3), pages 639-650, December.
    3. Azevedo, Alcino & Paxson, Dean, 2014. "Developing real option game models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 237(3), pages 909-920.
    4. Femminis, Gianluca & Martini, Gianmaria, 2011. "Irreversible investment and R&D spillovers in a dynamic duopoly," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(7), pages 1061-1090, July.
    5. Garcia Fronti, Javier, 2015. "Modelo estocástico para la valuación de una inversión nanomédica [Nanomedical Stochastic Investment Valuation]," MPRA Paper 63948, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Wang, Congcong & Chen, Shanshan & Wang, Yuhan & Pansera, Bruno Antonio & Luckraz, Shravan, 2023. "On the welfare and policy implications of a two-period real option game," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    7. Shibata, Takashi, 2008. "The impacts of uncertainties in a real options model under incomplete information," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 187(3), pages 1368-1379, June.
    8. Nishihara, Michi, 2014. "Preemptive investment game with alternative projects," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 124-135.
    9. Sendstad, Lars Hegnes & Chronopoulos, Michail, 2021. "Strategic technology switching under risk aversion and uncertainty," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    10. Han T. J. Smit & Lenos Trigeorgis, 2017. "Strategic NPV: Real Options and Strategic Games under Different Information Structures," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(13), pages 2555-2578, December.
    11. Jeon, Haejun, 2015. "Patent infringement, litigation, and settlement," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 99-111.
    12. Gianluca Femminis & Gianmaria Martini, 2008. "Irreversible R&D investment with inter-firm spillovers," DISCE - Quaderni dell'Istituto di Teoria Economica e Metodi Quantitativi compila la segreteria, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
    13. S. Alonso & V. Azofra & G. De La Fuente, 2014. "What do you do when the binomial cannot value real options? The LSM model," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(1), pages 1-17, December.
    14. Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.
    15. Sendstad, Lars Hegnes & Chronopoulos, Michail, 2017. "Strategic Technology Switching under Risk Aversion and Uncertainty," Discussion Papers 2017/10, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
    16. Bruno Versaevel, 2015. "Alertness, Leadership, and Nascent Market Dynamics," Dynamic Games and Applications, Springer, vol. 5(4), pages 440-466, December.
    17. Bart M. Lambrecht & Grzegorz Pawlina, 2010. "Corporate Finance and the (In)efficient Exercise of Real Options," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 14(3-4), pages 189-217, September.
    18. Bolton, Patrick & Wang, Neng & Yang, Jinqiang, 2019. "Investment under uncertainty with financial constraints," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    19. Luo, Pengfei & Tian, Yuan & Yang, Zhaojun, 2020. "Real option duopolies with quasi-hyperbolic discounting," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    20. Hans Haanappel & Han Smit, 2007. "Return distributions of strategic growth options," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 151(1), pages 57-80, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jgames:v:16:y:2025:i:1:p:7-:d:1582867. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.