IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wsi/igtrxx/v04y2002i02ns0219198902000604.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Game Model Of Irreversible Investment Under Uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • PAULI MURTO

    (Systems Analysis Laboratory, Helsinki University of Technology, P.O. Box 1100, 02015 HUT, Finland)

  • JUSSI KEPPO

    (Department of Industrial and Operations Engineering, University of Michigan, 1205 Beal Avenue, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109-2117, USA)

Abstract

Most of the literature on real options considers the optimal decision of a firm in isolation from competitors. In reality, however, the actions of competing firms often affect each other's investment opportunities. We develop a game model where many firms compete for a single investment opportunity. When one of the firms triggers the investment the opportunity is completely lost for the other firms. The value of the project for the firms is assumed to follow a geometric Brownian motion. The model combines game theory and the theory of irreversible investment under uncertainty. We characterize the resulting Nash equilibrium under different assumptions on the information that the firms have about each other's valuations for the project. As an example, we present a case of building a telecommunications network.

Suggested Citation

  • Pauli Murto & Jussi Keppo, 2002. "A Game Model Of Irreversible Investment Under Uncertainty," International Game Theory Review (IGTR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 4(02), pages 127-140.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:igtrxx:v:04:y:2002:i:02:n:s0219198902000604
    DOI: 10.1142/S0219198902000604
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S0219198902000604
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1142/S0219198902000604?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Congcong & Chen, Shanshan & Wang, Yuhan & Pansera, Bruno Antonio & Luckraz, Shravan, 2023. "On the welfare and policy implications of a two-period real option game," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    2. Arasteh, Abdollah, 2017. "Considering the investment decisions with real options games approach," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 1282-1294.
    3. Murto, Pauli & Nasakkala, Erkka & Keppo, Jussi, 2004. "Timing of investments in oligopoly under uncertainty: A framework for numerical analysis," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 157(2), pages 486-500, September.
    4. repec:pra:mprapa:40679 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Gianluca Femminis & Gianmaria Martini, 2008. "Irreversible R&D investment with inter-firm spillovers," DISCE - Quaderni dell'Istituto di Teoria Economica e Metodi Quantitativi compila la segreteria, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
    6. Azevedo, Alcino & Paxson, Dean, 2014. "Developing real option game models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 237(3), pages 909-920.
    7. Keppo, Jussi & Lu, Hao, 2003. "Real options and a large producer: the case of electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(5), pages 459-472, September.
    8. Adrian Werner, Kristin Tolstad Uggen, Marte Fodstad, Arnt-Gunnar Lium, and Ruud Egging, 2014. "Stochastic Mixed-Integer Programming for Integrated Portfolio Planning in the LNG Supply Chain," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 1).
    9. Femminis, Gianluca & Martini, Gianmaria, 2011. "Irreversible investment and R&D spillovers in a dynamic duopoly," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(7), pages 1061-1090, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Real options; irreversible investment; game theory; uncertainty; telecommunication;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • B4 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Economic Methodology
    • C0 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General
    • C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling
    • C7 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory
    • D5 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium
    • D7 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making
    • M2 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Business Economics

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wsi:igtrxx:v:04:y:2002:i:02:n:s0219198902000604. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Tai Tone Lim (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.worldscinet.com/igtr/igtr.shtml .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.