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Pre-Operational Application of a WRF-Hydro-Based Fluvial Flood Forecasting System in the Southeast Mediterranean

Author

Listed:
  • Christos Giannaros

    (Frederick Research Center, Pallouriotissa, Nicosia 1036, Cyprus
    National Observatory of Athens, Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development, Palea Penteli, 15236 Athens, Greece)

  • Elissavet Galanaki

    (National Observatory of Athens, Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development, Palea Penteli, 15236 Athens, Greece)

  • Vassiliki Kotroni

    (National Observatory of Athens, Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development, Palea Penteli, 15236 Athens, Greece)

  • Konstantinos Lagouvardos

    (National Observatory of Athens, Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development, Palea Penteli, 15236 Athens, Greece)

  • Christina Oikonomou

    (Frederick Research Center, Pallouriotissa, Nicosia 1036, Cyprus)

  • Haris Haralambous

    (Frederick Research Center, Pallouriotissa, Nicosia 1036, Cyprus
    Department of Electrical Engineering, Frederick University, Pallouriotissa, Nicosia 1036, Cyprus)

  • Theodore M. Giannaros

    (National Observatory of Athens, Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development, Palea Penteli, 15236 Athens, Greece)

Abstract

The Southeast Mediterranean (SEM) is characterized by increased vulnerability to river/stream flooding. However, impact-oriented, operational fluvial flood forecasting is far away from maturity in the region. The current paper presents the first attempt at introducing an operational impact-based warning system in the area, which is founded on the coupling of a state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction model with an advanced spatially-explicit hydrological model. The system’s modeling methodology and forecasting scheme are presented, as well as prototype results, which were derived under a pre-operational mode. Future developments and challenges needed to be addressed in terms of validating the system and increasing its efficiency are also discussed. This communication highlights that standard approaches used in operational weather forecasting in the SEM for providing flood-related information and alerts can, and should, be replaced by advanced coupled hydrometeorological systems, which can be implemented without a significant cost on the operational character of the provided services. This is of great importance in establishing effective early warning services for fluvial flooding in the region.

Suggested Citation

  • Christos Giannaros & Elissavet Galanaki & Vassiliki Kotroni & Konstantinos Lagouvardos & Christina Oikonomou & Haris Haralambous & Theodore M. Giannaros, 2021. "Pre-Operational Application of a WRF-Hydro-Based Fluvial Flood Forecasting System in the Southeast Mediterranean," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(2), pages 1-10, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jforec:v:3:y:2021:i:2:p:26-446:d:571869
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Minxue He & Haksu Lee, 2021. "Advances in Hydrological Forecasting," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(3), pages 1-3, July.
    2. Efthimios Karymbalis & Maria Andreou & Dimitrios-Vasileios Batzakis & Konstantinos Tsanakas & Sotirios Karalis, 2021. "Integration of GIS-Based Multicriteria Decision Analysis and Analytic Hierarchy Process for Flood-Hazard Assessment in the Megalo Rema River Catchment (East Attica, Greece)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-25, September.

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