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Research on Export Oil and Gas Concentration Prediction Based on Machine Learning Methods

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  • Xiaochuan Wang

    (National & Local Joint Engineering Research Center of Harbor Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation Technology, Zhejiang Key Laboratory of Petrochemical Environmental Pollution Control, School of Petrochemical Engineering & Environment, Zhejiang Ocean University, Zhoushan 316022, China)

  • Baikang Zhu

    (National & Local Joint Engineering Research Center of Harbor Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation Technology, Zhejiang Key Laboratory of Petrochemical Environmental Pollution Control, School of Petrochemical Engineering & Environment, Zhejiang Ocean University, Zhoushan 316022, China)

  • Huajun Zheng

    (Zhejiang Oil Storage and Transportation Co., Ltd., Hangzhou 311227, China)

  • Jiaqi Wang

    (Zhejiang Oil Storage and Transportation Co., Ltd., Hangzhou 311227, China)

  • Zhiwei Chen

    (National & Local Joint Engineering Research Center of Harbor Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation Technology, Zhejiang Key Laboratory of Petrochemical Environmental Pollution Control, School of Petrochemical Engineering & Environment, Zhejiang Ocean University, Zhoushan 316022, China)

  • Bingyuan Hong

    (National & Local Joint Engineering Research Center of Harbor Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation Technology, Zhejiang Key Laboratory of Petrochemical Environmental Pollution Control, School of Petrochemical Engineering & Environment, Zhejiang Ocean University, Zhoushan 316022, China)

Abstract

With the oil industry’s increasing focus on environmental protection and the growing implementation of oil and gas recovery devices in depots, it is crucial to investigate the outlet concentrations of oil and gas from these devices. This research aims to reduce energy consumption while enhancing the efficiency of oil and gas recovery processes. This paper investigates the prediction of outlet oil and gas concentration based on the process parameters of oil and gas recovery devices in oil depots. This study employs both regression and classification machine learning models. Most regression models achieve a goodness-of-fit of approximately 0.9 and an accuracy error of about 30%. Additionally, most classification models attain over 90% accuracy, with predictions of high oil and gas concentrations reaching up to 84.5% accuracy. Both models demonstrate that the Random Forest method is more effective in predicting the exported oil and gas concentration with multiple-parameter inputs, providing a relevant basis for subsequent control of exported oil and gas concentration.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiaochuan Wang & Baikang Zhu & Huajun Zheng & Jiaqi Wang & Zhiwei Chen & Bingyuan Hong, 2025. "Research on Export Oil and Gas Concentration Prediction Based on Machine Learning Methods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(5), pages 1-18, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:18:y:2025:i:5:p:1078-:d:1597664
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kunming Tian & Zhihong Kang & Zhijiang Kang, 2024. "A Productivity Prediction Method of Fracture-Vuggy Reservoirs Based on the PSO-BP Neural Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(14), pages 1-13, July.
    2. Alaa Ghanem & Mohammed F. Gouda & Rima D. Alharthy & Saad M. Desouky, 2022. "Predicting the Compressibility Factor of Natural Gas by Using Statistical Modeling and Neural Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-15, March.
    3. Cen, Xiao & Chen, Zengliang & Chen, Haifeng & Ding, Chen & Ding, Bo & Li, Fei & Lou, Fangwei & Zhu, Zhenyu & Zhang, Hongyu & Hong, Bingyuan, 2024. "User repurchase behavior prediction for integrated energy supply stations based on the user profiling method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 286(C).
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