IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v18y2025i3p634-d1580197.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

European LNG Import Network Analysis and Investigation of Supply Security

Author

Listed:
  • Konstantinos I. Savvakis

    (Department of Transportation Planning and Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, 5, Iroon Polytechniou str., 15773 Athens, Greece)

  • Tatiana P. Moschovou

    (Department of Transportation Planning and Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, 5, Iroon Polytechniou str., 15773 Athens, Greece)

Abstract

The shift of European countries to more environmentally friendly sources of energy is leading to an increase in the share of natural gas in the energy mix. At the same time, the flexibility and cost-effectiveness of maritime transport are making liquefied natural gas (LNG) more competitive compared to traditional forms of natural gas, despite recent geopolitical, health and economic events threatening its supply chain. The aim of this study is to analyze the European LNG import network using network theory indicators to identify trading communities in the network and to investigate the security of supply through network failure simulation. The network model was developed using a programming code in MATLAB R2022B software. The results of the analysis can be summarized as follows: (a) a shift in the center of gravity of LNG trade from the Mediterranean to the Atlantic shores was identified; (b) a gradual consolidation of Europe’s import network was noted; (c) an increasing dependence of Europe on a limited number of countries was observed; and (d) the most critical nodes for network resilience were identified through modeling. Based on these findings, recommendations are proposed to strengthen Europe’s energy security and independence.

Suggested Citation

  • Konstantinos I. Savvakis & Tatiana P. Moschovou, 2025. "European LNG Import Network Analysis and Investigation of Supply Security," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(3), pages 1-20, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:18:y:2025:i:3:p:634-:d:1580197
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/3/634/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/3/634/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Geng, Jiang-Bo & Ji, Qiang & Fan, Ying, 2014. "A dynamic analysis on global natural gas trade network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 23-33.
    2. Dong, Kangyin & Li, Jiaman & Zhang, Haoran, 2023. "LNG point supply of villages and towns in China: Challenges and countermeasures," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 334(C).
    3. Kumar, Satish & Kwon, Hyouk-Tae & Choi, Kwang-Ho & Hyun Cho, Jae & Lim, Wonsub & Moon, Il, 2011. "Current status and future projections of LNG demand and supplies: A global prospective," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(7), pages 4097-4104, July.
    4. Feng, Sida & Li, Huajiao & Qi, Yabin & Guan, Qing & Wen, Shaobo, 2017. "Who will build new trade relations? Finding potential relations in international liquefied natural gas trade," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 1226-1238.
    5. Huang, Jianbai & Ding, Qian & Wang, Ying & Hong, Huojun & Zhang, Hongwei, 2021. "The evolution and influencing factors of international tungsten competition from the industrial chain perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    6. Zhang, Hai-Ying & Ji, Qiang & Fan, Ying, 2014. "Competition, transmission and pattern evolution: A network analysis of global oil trade," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 312-322.
    7. Gao, Cuixia & Sun, Mei & Shen, Bo, 2015. "Features and evolution of international fossil energy trade relationships: A weighted multilayer network analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 542-554.
    8. Wang, Xingxing & Li, Huajiao & Yao, Huajun & Chen, Zhihua & Guan, Qing, 2019. "Network feature and influence factors of global nature graphite trade competition," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 153-161.
    9. Wang, Wenya & Fan, Liwei & Li, Zhenfu & Zhou, Peng & Chen, Xue, 2021. "Measuring dynamic competitive relationship and intensity among the global coal importing trade," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
    10. Hafezi, Reza & Akhavan, AmirNaser & Pakseresht, Saeed & A. Wood, David, 2021. "Global natural gas demand to 2025: A learning scenario development model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    11. Zhong, Weiqiong & An, Haizhong & Shen, Lei & Dai, Tao & Fang, Wei & Gao, Xiangyun & Dong, Di, 2017. "Global pattern of the international fossil fuel trade: The evolution of communities," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 260-270.
    12. An, Qier & Wang, Lang & Qu, Debin & Zhang, Hujun, 2018. "Dependency network of international oil trade before and after oil price drop," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PA), pages 1021-1033.
    13. Peng, Peng & Yang, Yu & Cheng, Shifen & Lu, Feng & Yuan, Zimu, 2019. "Hub-and-spoke structure: Characterizing the global crude oil transport network with mass vessel trajectories," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 966-974.
    14. Ding, Yueting & Zhang, Ming & Chen, Sai & Nie, Rui, 2020. "Assessing the resilience of China’s natural gas importation under network disruptions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Guo, Yaoqi & Zhao, Boya & Zhang, Hongwei, 2023. "The impact of the Belt and Road Initiative on the natural gas trade: A network structure dependence perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PD).
    2. Wang, Wenya & Fan, L.W. & Zhou, P., 2022. "Evolution of global fossil fuel trade dependencies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
    3. Xuanru Zhou & Hua Zhang & Shuxian Zheng & Wanli Xing & Pei Zhao & Haiying Li, 2022. "The Crude Oil International Trade Competition Networks: Evolution Trends and Estimating Potential Competition Links," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-20, March.
    4. Xu, Hai-Chuan & Wang, Zhi-Yuan & Jawadi, Fredj & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2023. "Reconstruction of international energy trade networks with given marginal data: A comparative analysis," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    5. Cai, Xiaomei & Liu, Chan & Zheng, Shuxian & Hu, Han & Tan, Zhanglu, 2023. "Analysis on the evolution characteristics of barite international trade pattern based on complex networks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    6. Li, Xiaotong & Zhang, Hua & Zhou, Xuanru & Zhong, Weiqiong, 2022. "Research on the evolution of the global import and export competition network of chromium resources from the perspective of the whole industrial chain," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    7. Sutrisno, Aziiz & Nomaler, Ӧnder & Alkemade, Floor, 2021. "Has the global expansion of energy markets truly improved energy security?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 148(PA).
    8. Yan, Zhaojin & Yang, Guanghao & He, Rong & Yang, Hui & Ci, Hui, 2023. "“Ship-port-country” multi-dimensional research on the fine analysis of China's LNG trade," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    9. Wang, Wenya & Fan, Liwei & Li, Zhenfu & Zhou, Peng & Chen, Xue, 2021. "Measuring dynamic competitive relationship and intensity among the global coal importing trade," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
    10. Zhang, Hongwei & Wang, Xinyi & Tang, Jing & Guo, Yaoqi, 2022. "The impact of international rare earth trade competition on global value chain upgrading from the industrial chain perspective," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    11. Kitamura, Toshihiko & Managi, Shunsuke, 2017. "Driving force and resistance: Network feature in oil trade," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 361-375.
    12. Zhao, Guimei & Li, Wenxiu & Geng, Yong & Bleischwitz, Raimund, 2023. "Uncovering the features of global antimony resource trade network," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    13. Zhang, Hongwei & Cao, Hualin & Guo, Yaoqi, 2024. "The time-varying impact of geopolitical relations on rare earth trade networks: What is the role of China's rare earth export restrictions?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    14. Zhang, Hongwei & Wang, Ying & Yang, Cai & Guo, Yaoqi, 2021. "The impact of country risk on energy trade patterns based on complex network and panel regression analyses," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    15. Zhang, Jing, 2019. "Oil and gas trade between China and countries and regions along the ‘Belt and Road’: A panoramic perspective," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 1111-1120.
    16. Xia, Qifan & Du, Debin & Yu, Zihao & Li, Xiya & Zhang, Qiang, 2024. "Coins have both sides: Revealing the structure and pattern of global interdependence network for five critical metals," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    17. Wang, Chao & Huang, Xia & Hu, Xiaoqian & Zhao, Longfeng & Liu, Chao & Ghadimi, Pezhman, 2021. "Trade characteristics, competition patterns and COVID-19 related shock propagation in the global solar photovoltaic cell trade," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    18. Huang, Jianbai & Ding, Qian & Wang, Ying & Hong, Huojun & Zhang, Hongwei, 2021. "The evolution and influencing factors of international tungsten competition from the industrial chain perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    19. Tang, Qianyong & Li, Huajiao & Qi, Yajie & Li, Yang & Liu, Haiping & Wang, Xingxing, 2023. "The reliability of the trade dependence network in the tungsten industry chain based on percolation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    20. Wei, Na & Xie, Wen-Jie & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2022. "Robustness of the international oil trade network under targeted attacks to economies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:18:y:2025:i:3:p:634-:d:1580197. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.