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Concerns on Full Electric Mobility and Future Electricity Demand in Italy

Author

Listed:
  • Stefania Falfari

    (Department of Industrial Engineering—DIN, University of Bologna, 40136 Bologna, Italy)

  • Gian Marco Bianchi

    (Department of Industrial Engineering—DIN, University of Bologna, 40136 Bologna, Italy)

Abstract

This work aims to provide an energy and critical analysis of the new “ecological scenario” that sees the world shift the transport sector from the classic fossil-fueled traction towards a purely electric traction. Is it a transition to a cleaner and more environmentally friendly world? This is the central question we need to answer. In this context of forced electrification of passenger vehicles, the authors estimated the electricity surplus needed in Italy to face this transition with a projection up to 2050, considering the electricity demand of purely electric vehicles and for the production of green hydrogen for the fuel supply of fuel cell vehicles. Throughout this investigation, the authors discovered that, in 2050, the surplus of electricity to be produced compared to the current production in Italy (year 2021) is equal to +27.6% (1). This value increases if two limit scenarios are considered: it becomes +40.0% within a limit scenario in which the entire private car fleet is made up of pure electric traction vehicles only (2). It becomes +100.6% in the hypothesis that the entire fleet of passenger cars is made up of fuel cell vehicles powered exclusively by green hydrogen (3).

Suggested Citation

  • Stefania Falfari & Gian Marco Bianchi, 2023. "Concerns on Full Electric Mobility and Future Electricity Demand in Italy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-27, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:16:y:2023:i:4:p:1704-:d:1062134
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gagnon, Luc & van de Vate, Joop F., 1997. "Greenhouse gas emissions from hydropower : The state of research in 1996," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 7-13, January.
    2. Christian Aichberger & Gerfried Jungmeier, 2020. "Environmental Life Cycle Impacts of Automotive Batteries Based on a Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-27, December.
    3. Fthenakis, Vasilis M. & Kim, Hyung Chul, 2007. "Greenhouse-gas emissions from solar electric- and nuclear power: A life-cycle study," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 2549-2557, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jacek Batóg & Barbara Batóg & Magdalena Mojsiewicz & Przemysław Pluskota, 2024. "Electrification of Public Urban Transport: Funding Opportunities, Bus Fleet, and Energy Use Forecasts for Poland," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(23), pages 1-20, December.
    2. Marwa Ben Ali & Erwin Rauch, 2024. "Sustainable Mobility Transition: A SWOT-AHP Analysis of the Case Study of Italy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(11), pages 1-19, June.
    3. Hamza El Azhari & El Khalil Cherif & Rachid El Halimi & El Mustapha Azzirgue & Yassine Ou Larbi & Franco Coren & Farida Salmoun, 2024. "Predicting the Production and Depletion of Rare Earth Elements and Their Influence on Energy Sector Sustainability through the Utilization of Multilevel Linear Prediction Mixed-Effects Models with R S," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-32, February.

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