IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v15y2022i17p6338-d902296.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Period-Based Neural Network Algorithm for Predicting Building Energy Consumption of District Heating

Author

Listed:
  • Zhengchao Xie

    (Huadian Electric Power Research Institute Co., Ltd., Hangzhou 310030, China
    State Key Laboratory of Clean Energy Utilization, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310027, China)

  • Xiao Wang

    (Zhejiang Gas & Thermoelectricity Design Institute Co., Ltd., Hangzhou 310030, China)

  • Lijun Zheng

    (Huadian Electric Power Research Institute Co., Ltd., Hangzhou 310030, China)

  • Hao Chang

    (Huadian Electric Power Research Institute Co., Ltd., Hangzhou 310030, China)

  • Fei Wang

    (State Key Laboratory of Clean Energy Utilization, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310027, China)

Abstract

Northern China is vigorously promoting cogeneration and clean heating technologies. The accurate prediction of building energy consumption is the basis for heating regulation. In this paper, the daily, weekly, and annual periods of building energy consumption are determined by Fourier transformation. Accordingly, a period-based neural network (PBNN) is proposed to predict building energy consumption. The main innovation of PBNN is the introduction of a new data structure, which is a time-discontinuous sliding window. The sliding window consists of the past 24 h, 24 h for the same period last week, and 24 h for the same period the previous year. When predicting the building energy consumption for the next 1 h, 12 h, and 24 h, the prediction errors of the PBNN are 2.30%, 3.47%, and 3.66% lower than those of the traditional sliding window PBNN (TSW-PBNN), respectively. The training time of PBNN is approximately half that of TSW-PBNN. The time-discontinuous sliding window reduces the energy consumption prediction error and neural network model training time.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhengchao Xie & Xiao Wang & Lijun Zheng & Hao Chang & Fei Wang, 2022. "A Period-Based Neural Network Algorithm for Predicting Building Energy Consumption of District Heating," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-22, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:15:y:2022:i:17:p:6338-:d:902296
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/17/6338/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/17/6338/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tso, Geoffrey K.F. & Yau, Kelvin K.W., 2007. "Predicting electricity energy consumption: A comparison of regression analysis, decision tree and neural networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 32(9), pages 1761-1768.
    2. Baruque, Bruno & Porras, Santiago & Jove, Esteban & Calvo-Rolle, José Luis, 2019. "Geothermal heat exchanger energy prediction based on time series and monitoring sensors optimization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 49-60.
    3. Luo, X.J. & Fong, K.F., 2019. "Development of integrated demand and supply side management strategy of multi-energy system for residential building application," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C), pages 570-587.
    4. Wang, Chendong & Yuan, Jianjuan & Zhang, Ji & Deng, Na & Zhou, Zhihua & Gao, Feng, 2020. "Multi-criteria comprehensive study on predictive algorithm of heating energy consumption of district heating station based on timeseries processing," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    5. Fumo, Nelson, 2014. "A review on the basics of building energy estimation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 53-60.
    6. Xu, Bin & Lin, Boqiang, 2016. "Assessing CO2 emissions in China’s iron and steel industry: A dynamic vector autoregression model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 375-386.
    7. Wei, Ziqing & Zhang, Tingwei & Yue, Bao & Ding, Yunxiao & Xiao, Ran & Wang, Ruzhu & Zhai, Xiaoqiang, 2021. "Prediction of residential district heating load based on machine learning: A case study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    8. Ahmed Gassar, Abdo Abdullah & Yun, Geun Young & Kim, Sumin, 2019. "Data-driven approach to prediction of residential energy consumption at urban scales in London," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    9. An, Jingjing & Yan, Da & Hong, Tianzhen & Sun, Kaiyu, 2017. "A novel stochastic modeling method to simulate cooling loads in residential districts," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 134-149.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yuan, Jianjuan & Huang, Ke & Han, Zhao & Wang, Chendong & Lu, Shilei & Zhou, Zhihua, 2022. "Evaluation of the operation data for improving the prediction accuracy of heating parameters in heating substation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PB).
    2. Zhao, Deyin & Zhong, Ming & Zhang, Xu & Su, Xing, 2016. "Energy consumption predicting model of VRV (Variable refrigerant volume) system in office buildings based on data mining," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 660-668.
    3. Mauricio Nath Lopes & Roberto Lamberts, 2018. "Development of a Metamodel to Predict Cooling Energy Consumption of HVAC Systems in Office Buildings in Different Climates," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-25, December.
    4. Kwok Wai Mui & Ling Tim Wong & Manoj Kumar Satheesan & Anjana Balachandran, 2021. "A Hybrid Simulation Model to Predict the Cooling Energy Consumption for Residential Housing in Hong Kong," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-18, August.
    5. Wang, Chendong & Yuan, Jianjuan & Huang, Ke & Zhang, Ji & Zheng, Lihong & Zhou, Zhihua & Zhang, Yufeng, 2022. "Research on thermal load prediction of district heating station based on transfer learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PE).
    6. Bedi, Jatin & Toshniwal, Durga, 2019. "Deep learning framework to forecast electricity demand," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 1312-1326.
    7. Sehrish Malik & DoHyeun Kim, 2018. "Prediction-Learning Algorithm for Efficient Energy Consumption in Smart Buildings Based on Particle Regeneration and Velocity Boost in Particle Swarm Optimization Neural Networks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-21, May.
    8. Zhao, Mingxuan & Lv, Lianhong & Wu, Jing & Wang, Shen & Zhang, Nan & Bai, Zihan & Luo, Hong, 2022. "Total factor productivity of high coal-consuming industries and provincial coal consumption: Based on the dynamic spatial Durbin model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
    9. Voyant, Cyril & Motte, Fabrice & Notton, Gilles & Fouilloy, Alexis & Nivet, Marie-Laure & Duchaud, Jean-Laurent, 2018. "Prediction intervals for global solar irradiation forecasting using regression trees methods," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 332-340.
    10. Ankit Kumar Srivastava & Ajay Shekhar Pandey & Rajvikram Madurai Elavarasan & Umashankar Subramaniam & Saad Mekhilef & Lucian Mihet-Popa, 2021. "A Novel Hybrid Feature Selection Method for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-16, December.
    11. Chen Ya & Zhang Xintian & Liu Haoxiang, 2021. "Investigating the Impact of Capacity Utilization on Carbon Dioxide Emission: Evidence from China’s Iron and Steel Industry," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 9(6), pages 681-703, December.
    12. Zhang, Jiyuan & Tang, Hailong & Chen, Min, 2019. "Linear substitute model-based uncertainty analysis of complicated non-linear energy system performance (case study of an adaptive cycle engine)," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C), pages 87-108.
    13. Wang, Xianzhu & Huang, He & Hong, Jingke & Ni, Danfei & He, Rongxiao, 2020. "A spatiotemporal investigation of energy-driven factors in China: A region-based structural decomposition analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    14. Solène Goy & François Maréchal & Donal Finn, 2020. "Data for Urban Scale Building Energy Modelling: Assessing Impacts and Overcoming Availability Challenges," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-23, August.
    15. Jihoon Moon & Junhong Kim & Pilsung Kang & Eenjun Hwang, 2020. "Solving the Cold-Start Problem in Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Tree-Based Methods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-37, February.
    16. Yildiz, B. & Bilbao, J.I. & Sproul, A.B., 2017. "A review and analysis of regression and machine learning models on commercial building electricity load forecasting," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 1104-1122.
    17. Mingshan Mo & Xinrui Xiong & Yunlong Wu & Zuyao Yu, 2023. "Deep-Reinforcement-Learning-Based Low-Carbon Economic Dispatch for Community-Integrated Energy System under Multiple Uncertainties," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(22), pages 1-18, November.
    18. Li, Wei & Gao, Shubin, 2018. "Prospective on energy related carbon emissions peak integrating optimized intelligent algorithm with dry process technique application for China's cement industry," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PB), pages 33-54.
    19. Langevin, J. & Reyna, J.L. & Ebrahimigharehbaghi, S. & Sandberg, N. & Fennell, P. & Nägeli, C. & Laverge, J. & Delghust, M. & Mata, É. & Van Hove, M. & Webster, J. & Federico, F. & Jakob, M. & Camaras, 2020. "Developing a common approach for classifying building stock energy models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    20. Xuan, Yanni & Yue, Qiang, 2017. "Scenario analysis on resource and environmental benefits of imported steel scrap for China’s steel industry," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 186-198.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:15:y:2022:i:17:p:6338-:d:902296. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.