IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v14y2021i12p3429-d572365.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Oil Price Uncertainty, Globalization, and Total Factor Productivity: Evidence from the European Union

Author

Listed:
  • Svetlana Balashova

    (Department of Economic and Mathematical Modelling, Peoples Friendship University of Russia (RUDN University), 6 Miklukho-Maklaya St, 117198 Moscow, Russia)

  • Apostolos Serletis

    (Department of Economics, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB T2N 1N4, Canada)

Abstract

This paper uncovers linkages between oil price uncertainty, total factor productivity (TFP) growth, and critical indicators of knowledge production and spillovers. It contributes to the literature by investigating the effects of oil price volatility on TFP growth, controlling for two different channels for TFP growth; benefits from the quality of the national innovation system and from adopting new technologies. We use an unbalanced panel for 28 European Union countries for the period from 1990 to 2018. We find that oil price uncertainty has a negative and statistically significant effect on TFP growth, even after we control for technological advancements and the effects of globalization. We also find that the scale of research and innovation and international trade are positive contributors to TFP growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Svetlana Balashova & Apostolos Serletis, 2021. "Oil Price Uncertainty, Globalization, and Total Factor Productivity: Evidence from the European Union," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-11, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:12:p:3429-:d:572365
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/12/3429/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/12/3429/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chou, Yen-Chun & Hao-Chun Chuang, Howard & Shao, Benjamin B.M., 2014. "The impacts of information technology on total factor productivity: A look at externalities and innovations," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 290-299.
    2. Alsalman, Zeina, 2016. "Oil price uncertainty and the U.S. stock market analysis based on a GARCH-in-mean VAR model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 251-260.
    3. Lombardi, Marco J. & Ravazzolo, Francesco, 2016. "On the correlation between commodity and equity returns: Implications for portfolio allocation," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 45-57.
    4. Robert M. Solow, 1956. "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 70(1), pages 65-94.
    5. Cheng, Dong & Shi, Xunpeng & Yu, Jian & Zhang, Dayong, 2019. "How does the Chinese economy react to uncertainty in international crude oil prices?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 147-164.
    6. Robert B. Barsky & Lutz Kilian, 2004. "Oil and the Macroeconomy Since the 1970s," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 18(4), pages 115-134, Fall.
    7. Apostolos Serletis & Libo Xu, 2019. "Markov Switching Oil Price Uncertainty," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 81(5), pages 1045-1064, October.
    8. Hamilton, James D & Gang, Lin, 1996. "Stock Market Volatility and the Business Cycle," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 11(5), pages 573-593, Sept.-Oct.
    9. Burkhard Raunig & Johann Scharler, 2010. "Stock Market Volatility and the Business Cycle," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 2, pages 54-63.
    10. Im, Kyung So & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol, 2003. "Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 53-74, July.
    11. Furman, Jeffrey L. & Porter, Michael E. & Stern, Scott, 2002. "The determinants of national innovative capacity," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 899-933, August.
    12. Lutz Kilian & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2011. "Are the responses of the U.S. economy asymmetric in energy price increases and decreases?," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 2(3), pages 419-453, November.
    13. Altomonte, Carlo & Ottaviano, Gianmarco, 2011. "The role of international production sharing in EU productivity and competitiveness," EIB Papers 3/2011, European Investment Bank, Economics Department.
    14. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Jungho Baek & Scott W. Hegerty, 2016. "GARCH-based versus traditional measures of exchange-rate volatility: evidence from Korean industry trade," International Journal of Trade and Global Markets, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 9(2), pages 103-136.
    15. Svetlana Balashova & Svetlana Ratner & Konstantin Gomonov & Andrey Berezin, 2020. "Modeling Consumer and Industry Reaction to Renewable Support Schemes: Empirical Evidence from the USA and Applications for Russia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(3), pages 158-167.
    16. Jincy K. John & R. Amudha & M. Muthukamu, 2019. "Demonetisation upshot on the volatility and returns of banking sector stocks of national stock exchange," International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 12(5), pages 426-444.
    17. Frank den Butter & Abdessalam Es-Saghir, 2013. "Productivity effects of trade and product innovations: an empirical analysis for 13 OECD countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(31), pages 4412-4418, November.
    18. Jorgenson, Dale W. & Vu, Khuong M., 2016. "The ICT revolution, world economic growth, and policy issues," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 40(5), pages 383-397.
    19. Levin, Andrew & Lin, Chien-Fu & James Chu, Chia-Shang, 2002. "Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite-sample properties," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 108(1), pages 1-24, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Leonid Sorokin & Svetlana Balashova & Konstantin Gomonov & Ksenia Belyaeva, 2023. "Exploring the Relationship between Crude Oil Prices and Renewable Energy Production: Evidence from the USA," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(11), pages 1-24, May.
    2. WU, Haotian & Mi, Jun & Zhang, Chengming, 2024. "Does the performance of financial policy improve the total factor productivity in the competition?——Empirical evidence from Chinese listed companies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    3. Dąbrowski, Marek A. & Papież, Monika & Rubaszek, Michał & Śmiech, Sławomir, 2022. "The role of economic development for the effect of oil market shocks on oil-exporting countries. Evidence from the interacted panel VAR model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    4. Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou, 2022. "Emerging Trends in Energy Economics," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-2, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Berk, Istemi & Yetkiner, Hakan, 2014. "Energy prices and economic growth in the long run: Theory and evidence," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 228-235.
    2. Furman, Jeffrey L. & Hayes, Richard, 2004. "Catching up or standing still?: National innovative productivity among 'follower' countries, 1978-1999," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 33(9), pages 1329-1354, November.
    3. George Halkos & Iacovos Psarianos, 2016. "Exploring the effect of including the environment in the neoclassical growth model," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 18(3), pages 339-358, July.
    4. Chang, Hsin-Chen & Huang, Bwo-Nung & Yang, Chin Wei, 2011. "Military expenditure and economic growth across different groups: A dynamic panel Granger-causality approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 2416-2423.
    5. Cristina Brasili & Luciano Gutierrez, 2004. "Regional convergence across European Union," Development and Comp Systems 0402002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Taiwo Akinlo, 2024. "Oil price and real sector in oil-importing countries: an asymmetric analysis of sub-Saharan Africa," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 1-27, February.
    7. Karanfil, Fatih & Li, Yuanjing, 2015. "Electricity consumption and economic growth: Exploring panel-specific differences," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 264-277.
    8. Carlos Alberto Barreto Nieto & Jacobo Campo Robledo, 2012. "Relación a largo plazo entre consumo de energía y PIB en América Latina: Una evaluación empírica con datos panel," Revista Ecos de Economía, Universidad EAFIT, October.
    9. Duran, Hasan Engin, 2019. "Asymmetries in regional development: Does TFP or capital accumulation matter for spatial inequalities?," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
    10. Shao, Yanmin & Qiao, Han & Wang, Shouyang, 2017. "What determines China's crude oil importing trade patterns? Empirical evidences from 55 countries between 1992 and 2015," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 854-862.
    11. Kunofiwa Tsaurai, 2017. "Foreign Direct Investment-Growth Nexus in Emerging Markets: does Human Capital Development Matter?," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 13(6), pages 174-189, DECEMBER.
    12. Igor Kotlán & Zuzana Machová, 2012. "Vliv zdanění korporací na ekonomický růst: selhání daňové kvóty? [The Influence of Corporate Taxation on Economic Growth: The Failure of Tax Quota?]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2012(6), pages 743-763.
    13. Omid Ranjbar & Xiao-Lin Li & Tsangyao Chang & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2015. "Stability of long-run growth in East Asian countries: New evidence from panel stationarity test with structural breaks," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(4), pages 570-589, June.
    14. Uzma Zia, 2019. "An Evidence of Diverging SAARC Economies," PIDE-Working Papers 2019:170, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.
    15. van Pottelsberghe de la Potterie, Bruno & de Rassenfosse, Gaétan & Danguy, Jérôme, 2010. "The R&D-patent relationship: An industry perspective," CEPR Discussion Papers 8145, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    16. Hasan Engin Duran, 2015. "Regional Inflation Convergence In Turkey," Working Papers 2015/10, Turkish Economic Association.
    17. Manel Kamoun & Ines Abdelkafi & Abdelfetah Ghorbel, 2020. "Does Renewable Energy Technologies and Poverty Affect the Sustainable Growth in Emerging Countries?," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 11(3), pages 865-887, September.
    18. Zuzana Machová & Igor Kotlán, 2013. "Interakce zdanění, vládních výdajů a ekonomického růstu: panelový VAR model pro země OECD [Interaction of Taxation, Government Expenditure and Economic Growth: Panel VAR Model for OECD Countries]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2013(5), pages 623-638.
    19. Fayyaz Ahmad & Muhammad Umar Draz & Lijuan Su & Ilhan Ozturk & Abdul Rauf & Shahid Ali, 2019. "Impact of FDI Inflows on Poverty Reduction in the ASEAN and SAARC Economies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-24, May.
    20. Clovis Wendji Miamo & Elvis Dze Achuo, 2022. "Can the resource curse be avoided? An empirical examination of the nexus between crude oil price and economic growth," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(1), pages 1-23, January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:12:p:3429-:d:572365. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.