IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v13y2020i9p2310-d354573.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Reliability-Based Optimization for Energy Refurbishment of a Social Housing Building

Author

Listed:
  • Marco Manzan

    (Department of Engineering and Architecture, University of Trieste, via A.Valerio 10, 34127 Trieste, Italy)

  • Giorgio Lupato

    (Department of Engineering and Architecture, University of Trieste, via A.Valerio 10, 34127 Trieste, Italy)

  • Amedeo Pezzi

    (Department of Engineering and Architecture, University of Trieste, via A.Valerio 10, 34127 Trieste, Italy)

  • Paolo Rosato

    (Department of Engineering and Architecture, University of Trieste, via A.Valerio 10, 34127 Trieste, Italy)

  • Alberto Clarich

    (ESTECO S.p.A, AREA Science Park, Padriciano 99, 34149 Trieste, Italy)

Abstract

This paper investigates the influence of a stochastic variation of both energy and economic parameters in an optimization loop applied to a refurbished social housing building. Usually, energy and economic optimization procedures rely on the results of an underlying numerical deterministic model which influences both energy gains and economic figures. However, an analyst must always face the random variation of input and parameter data. The unknown data can represent poor initial information or data that can change in a long time; this is the case of fuel cost and economic indexes in particular. This paper deals with both problems for building refurbishment optimization, the former related to the initial state of a building, and the latter to the energy cost variability. Reliability analysis considers a stochastic variation of parameters looking for solutions that incorporate a risk level; in this case, it deals with optimization objectives related to different impacts on economic, environmental and health aspects. The considered building represents a social house, and the energy reduction measures involve the application of internal insulation layers to the walls and the replacement of existing windows with more efficient ones.

Suggested Citation

  • Marco Manzan & Giorgio Lupato & Amedeo Pezzi & Paolo Rosato & Alberto Clarich, 2020. "Reliability-Based Optimization for Energy Refurbishment of a Social Housing Building," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-18, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:13:y:2020:i:9:p:2310-:d:354573
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/9/2310/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/9/2310/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. William J. Baumol, 1963. "An Expected Gain-Confidence Limit Criterion for Portfolio Selection," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 10(1), pages 174-182, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Manzan Marco & Atlas Ramezani & Alex Buoite Stella & Amedeo Pezzi, 2023. "Climate Change and Building Renovation: Effects on Energy Consumption and Internal Comfort in a Social Housing Building in Northern Italy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-14, March.
    2. Domenico Enrico Massimo & Vincenzo Del Giudice & Alessandro Malerba & Carlo Bernardo & Mariangela Musolino & Pierfrancesco De Paola, 2021. "Valuation of Ecological Retrofitting Technology in Existing Buildings: A Real-World Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-35, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Colson, Gérard, 1993. "Prenons-nous assez de risque dans les théories du risque?," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 69(1), pages 111-141, mars.
    2. Björn Häckel, 2010. "Risikoadjustierte Wertbeiträge zur ex ante Entscheidungsunterstützung: Ein axiomatischer Ansatz," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 81-108, June.
    3. Athar Iqbal & Akhtiar Ali & Peter Xavier D’Abreo, 2017. "Fama And French Three Factor Model Application In The Pakistan Stock Exchange (Pse)," IBT Journal of Business Studies (JBS), Ilma University, Faculty of Management Science, vol. 13(1), pages 13-11.
    4. Andersen, Steffen & Harrison, Glenn W. & Lau, Morten Igel & Rutström, Elisabet E., 2014. "Dual criteria decisions," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 101-113.
      • Andersen, Steffen & Harrison, Glenn W. & Lau, Morten Igel & Rutström, Elisabet, 2009. "Dual Criteria Decisions," Working Papers 02-2009, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics.
    5. Alexander, Gordon J. & Baptista, Alexandre M. & Yan, Shu, 2014. "Bank regulation and international financial stability: A case against the 2006 Basel framework for controlling tail risk in trading books," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 107-130.
    6. Shonkwiler, J. Scott & Emerson, Robert D., 1981. "The Market for Winter Tomatoes: A Rational Expectations Interpretation," 1981 Annual Meeting, July 26-29, Clemson, South Carolina 279305, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    7. Aloui, Chaker & Mabrouk, Samir, 2010. "Value-at-risk estimations of energy commodities via long-memory, asymmetry and fat-tailed GARCH models," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(5), pages 2326-2339, May.
    8. Csóka, Péter, 2003. "Koherens kockázatmérés és tőkeallokáció [Coherent risk measurement and capital allocation]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(10), pages 855-880.
    9. Andersen, Steffen & Harrison, Glenn W. & Lau, Morten Igel & Rutström, Elisabet E., 2010. "Behavioral econometrics for psychologists," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 553-576, August.
    10. Haley, M. Ryan & McGee, M. Kevin, 2011. ""KLICing" there and back again: Portfolio selection using the empirical likelihood divergence and Hellinger distance," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 341-352, March.
    11. Masoud Rahiminezhad Galankashi & Farimah Mokhatab Rafiei & Maryam Ghezelbash, 2020. "Portfolio selection: a fuzzy-ANP approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 6(1), pages 1-34, December.
    12. Pablo Farías, 2014. "Divulgación del valor en riesgo (VaR) previo a la crisis en el sector bancario espanol," Revista Ad-Minister, Universidad EAFIT, July.
    13. Zhi-Fu Mi & Yi-Ming Wei & Bao-Jun Tang & Rong-Gang Cong & Hao Yu & Hong Cao & Dabo Guan, 2017. "Risk assessment of oil price from static and dynamic modelling approaches," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(9), pages 929-939, February.
    14. Deborah J. Harper & Larry V. St. Louis, 1999. "Regional Economic Diversification and Efficiency: Baumol' s Likely Lower Confidence Limit Measure of Risk," The Review of Regional Studies, Southern Regional Science Association, vol. 29(2), pages 197-211, Fall.
    15. Kellner, Ulla & Musshoff, Oliver, 2011. "Precipitation or water capacity indices? An analysis of the benefits of alternative underlyings for index insurance," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 104(8), pages 645-653, October.
    16. Moshe Leshno & Haim Levy, 2002. "Preferred by "All" and Preferred by "Most" Decision Makers: Almost Stochastic Dominance," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 48(8), pages 1074-1085, August.
    17. Wetzstein, Michael E. & Szmedra, Philip I. & McClendon, Ronald W. & Edwards, David M., 1988. "Efficiency Criteria And Risk Aversion: An Empirical Evaluation," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 20(1), pages 1-8, July.
    18. Helmers, Glenn A. & Held, Larry J. & Watts, Myles J., 1982. "Estimating the Impact of Safety First Risk Constraints on Risk-Income Frontiers," 1982 Annual Meeting, August 1-4, Logan, Utah 279474, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    19. Timotheos Angelidis & Stavros Degiannakis, 2007. "Backtesting VaR Models: An Expected Shortfall Approach," Working Papers 0701, University of Crete, Department of Economics.
    20. Arriaza Balmón, Manuel & Gomez-Limon, Jose Antonio, 2002. "Comparative Performance of Selected Mathematical Programming Models," 2002 International Congress, August 28-31, 2002, Zaragoza, Spain 24792, European Association of Agricultural Economists.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:13:y:2020:i:9:p:2310-:d:354573. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.