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Exploiting Scalable Machine-Learning Distributed Frameworks to Forecast Power Consumption of Buildings

Author

Listed:
  • Tania Cerquitelli

    (Department of Control and Computer Engineering, Politecnico di Torino, 10129 Turin, Italy)

  • Giovanni Malnati

    (Department of Control and Computer Engineering, Politecnico di Torino, 10129 Turin, Italy)

  • Daniele Apiletti

    (Department of Control and Computer Engineering, Politecnico di Torino, 10129 Turin, Italy)

Abstract

The pervasive and increasing deployment of smart meters allows collecting a huge amount of fine-grained energy data in different urban scenarios. The analysis of such data is challenging and opening up a variety of interesting and new research issues across energy and computer science research areas. The key role of computer scientists is providing energy researchers and practitioners with cutting-edge and scalable analytics engines to effectively support their daily research activities, hence fostering and leveraging data-driven approaches. This paper presents SPEC, a scalable and distributed engine to predict building-specific power consumption. SPEC addresses the full analytic stack and exploits a data stream approach over sliding time windows to train a prediction model tailored to each building. The model allows us to predict the upcoming power consumption at a time instant in the near future. SPEC integrates different machine learning approaches, specifically ridge regression, artificial neural networks, and random forest regression, to predict fine-grained values of power consumption, and a classification model, the random forest classifier, to forecast a coarse consumption level. SPEC exploits state-of-the-art distributed computing frameworks to address the big data challenges in harvesting energy data: the current implementation runs on Apache Spark, the most widespread high-performance data-processing platform, and can natively scale to huge datasets. As a case study, SPEC has been tested on real data of an heating distribution network and power consumption data collected in a major Italian city. Experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of SPEC to forecast both fine-grained values and coarse levels of power consumption of buildings.

Suggested Citation

  • Tania Cerquitelli & Giovanni Malnati & Daniele Apiletti, 2019. "Exploiting Scalable Machine-Learning Distributed Frameworks to Forecast Power Consumption of Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-18, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:12:y:2019:i:15:p:2933-:d:253168
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Haben, Stephen & Arora, Siddharth & Giasemidis, Georgios & Voss, Marcus & Vukadinović Greetham, Danica, 2021. "Review of low voltage load forecasting: Methods, applications, and recommendations," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).

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