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The Technological Progress of the Fuel Consumption Rate for Passenger Vehicles in China: 2009–2016

Author

Listed:
  • Jihu Zheng

    (Automotive Data Center, China Automotive Technology and Research Center, Tianjin 300300, China)

  • Rujie Yu

    (Automotive Data Center, China Automotive Technology and Research Center, Tianjin 300300, China)

  • Yong Liu

    (Automotive Data Center, China Automotive Technology and Research Center, Tianjin 300300, China)

  • Yuhong Zou

    (Automotive Data Center, China Automotive Technology and Research Center, Tianjin 300300, China)

  • Dongchang Zhao

    (Automotive Data Center, China Automotive Technology and Research Center, Tianjin 300300, China)

Abstract

China has set stringent fuel consumption rate (FCR) targets to address the serious environmental and energy security problems caused by vehicles. Estimating the technological progress and tradeoffs between FCR and vehicle attributes is important for assessing the viability of meeting future targets. In this paper, we explored the relationship between vehicle FCR and other attributes using a regression model with data from 2009–2016. We also quantified the difference in the tradeoff between local and joint venture brands. The result showed that from 2009 to 2016, if power and curb mass were held constant, 2.3% and 2.9% annual technological progress should have been achieved for local and joint venture brands, respectively. The effectiveness of fuel-efficient technologies for joint venture brands is generally better than that of local brands. Impacts of other attributes on FCR were also assessed. The joint venture brands made more technological progress with FCR improvement than that of local brands. Even if 100% of technological progress (assume the technological progress in the future were the same as that of 2009–2016) investment were used to improve actual FCR after 2016, it would be difficult to meet 2020 target. Accelerating the adoption of fuel-efficient technologies, and controlling weight and performance, are both needed to achieve the 2020 and 2025 targets.

Suggested Citation

  • Jihu Zheng & Rujie Yu & Yong Liu & Yuhong Zou & Dongchang Zhao, 2019. "The Technological Progress of the Fuel Consumption Rate for Passenger Vehicles in China: 2009–2016," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-14, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:12:y:2019:i:12:p:2384-:d:241747
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Wu, Jingwen & Posen, I. Daniel & MacLean, Heather L., 2021. "Trade-offs between vehicle fuel economy and performance: Evidence from heterogeneous firms in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    2. Yu, Rujie & Ren, Huanhuan & Liu, Yong & Yu, Biying, 2021. "Gap between on-road and official fuel efficiency of passenger vehicles in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).

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