IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jecomi/v12y2024i7p171-d1428880.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Stock Markets and Stress Test Announcements: Evidence from European Banks

Author

Listed:
  • Christos Floros

    (Department of Accounting and Finance, School of Management and Economics Sciences, Hellenic Mediterranean University, 71410 Heraklion, Greece)

  • Efstathios Karpouzis

    (Department of Banking and Financial Management, School of Finance and Statistics, Piraeus University, 18534 Piraeus, Greece)

  • Nikolaos Daskalakis

    (Department of Public Administration, School of Economy and Public Administration, Panteion University, 17671 Athens, Greece)

Abstract

This paper examines the market reaction to the European bank stress test announcement and results release events. Using event study methodology (calculating abnormal returns on a three-day period around the event dates), we find that the market reacts differently between the announcement event and the results release event. We also show that the market seems to positively overreact one day before each event, and that this positive reaction is either fully or partially reversed one day after the event. We thus conclude that researchers should consider both events when exploring the market reaction to stress-testing exercises.

Suggested Citation

  • Christos Floros & Efstathios Karpouzis & Nikolaos Daskalakis, 2024. "Stock Markets and Stress Test Announcements: Evidence from European Banks," Economies, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-11, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:12:y:2024:i:7:p:171-:d:1428880
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/12/7/171/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/12/7/171/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fernandes, Marcelo & Igan, Deniz & Pinheiro, Marcelo, 2020. "March madness in Wall Street: (What) does the market learn from stress tests?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    2. Acharya, Viral & Engle, Robert & Pierret, Diane, 2014. "Testing macroprudential stress tests: The risk of regulatory risk weights," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 36-53.
    3. Sahin, Cenkhan & de Haan, Jakob & Neretina, Ekaterina, 2020. "Banking stress test effects on returns and risks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    4. Kupiec, Paul H., 2018. "On the accuracy of alternative approaches for calibrating bank stress test models," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 132-146.
    5. Emilio Barucci & Roberto Baviera & Carlo Milani, 2018. "The Comprehensive Assessment: What lessons can be learned?," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(15), pages 1253-1271, October.
    6. Carboni, Marika & Fiordelisi, Franco & Ricci, Ornella & Lopes, Francesco Saverio Stentella, 2017. "Surprised or not surprised? The investors’ reaction to the comprehensive assessment preceding the launch of the banking union," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 122-132.
    7. Brown, Stephen J. & Warner, Jerold B., 1980. "Measuring security price performance," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 205-258, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nguyen, Thach Vu Hong & Ahmed, Shamim & Chevapatrakul, Thanaset & Onali, Enrico, 2020. "Do stress tests affect bank liquidity creation?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    2. Ferretti, Riccardo & Venturelli, Valeria & Azzaretto, Alessandro, 2023. "Does individual SREP results reveal real news?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    3. Paul Konietschke & Steven Ongena & Aurea Ponte Marques, 2022. "Stress tests and capital requirement disclosures: do they impact banks' lending and risk-taking decisions?," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 22-60, Swiss Finance Institute.
    4. Durrani, Agha & Ongena, Steven & Ponte Marques, Aurea, 2022. "The certification role of the EU-wide stress testing exercises in the stock market. What can we learn from the stress tests (2014-2021)?," Working Paper Series 2711, European Central Bank.
    5. Lukas Ahnert & Pascal Vogt & Volker Vonhoff & Florian Weigert, 2020. "Regulatory stress testing and bank performance," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 26(5), pages 1449-1488, November.
    6. Iryna Okolelova & Jacob A. Bikker, 2022. "The single supervisory mechanism: Competitive implications for the banking sectors in the euro area," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 1818-1835, April.
    7. Petr Jakubik & Saida Teleu, 2024. "Do insurance stress tests matter? Evidence from the EU-wide insurance stress tests," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 26(3), pages 1-27, September.
    8. Iryna Okolelova & Jacob A. Bikker, 2022. "The single supervisory mechanism: Competitive implications for the banking sectors in the euro area," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 1818-1835, April.
    9. Philippon, Thomas & Camara, Boubacar & Pessarossi, Pierre, 2017. "Backtesting European Stress Tests," CEPR Discussion Papers 11805, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Cecilia Parlatore, 2018. "Designing Stress Scenarios," 2018 Meeting Papers 1090, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    11. Niepmann, Friederike & Stebunovs, Viktors, 2024. "Modeling your stress away," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    12. Ahnert, Lukas & Vogt, Pascal & Vonhoff, Volker & Weigert, Florian, 2020. "Regulatory stress testing and bank performance," CFR Working Papers 20-03, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    13. Lazzari, Valter & Vena, Luigi & Venegoni, Andrea, 2017. "Stress tests and asset quality reviews of banks: A policy announcement tool," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 86-98.
    14. Brummelhuis, Raymond & Luo, Zhongmin, 2019. "Bank Net Interest Margin Forecasting and Capital Adequacy Stress Testing by Machine Learning Techniques," MPRA Paper 94779, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Jondeau, Eric & Khalilzadeh, Amir, 2022. "Predicting the stressed expected loss of large U.S. banks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    16. Iorgova, Silvia & Ross, Chase P., 2023. "Investor information and bank instability during the European debt crisis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    17. Paul Glasserman & Mike Li, 2022. "Should Bank Stress Tests Be Fair?," Papers 2207.13319, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
    18. García, Raffi E. & Steele, Suzanne, 2022. "Stress testing and bank business patterns: A regression discontinuity study," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    19. Lukas Ahnert & Pascal Vogt & Volker Vonhoff & Florian Weigert, 2018. "The Impact of Regulatory Stress Testing on Bank's Equity and CDS Performance," Working Papers on Finance 1814, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
    20. Abad, Pilar & Robles, M.-Dolores & Alonso Orts, Carlos, 2023. "Stress testing programs and credit risk opacity of banks: USA vs Europe," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:12:y:2024:i:7:p:171-:d:1428880. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.