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Regulatory stress testing and bank performance

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  • Lukas Ahnert
  • Pascal Vogt
  • Volker Vonhoff
  • Florian Weigert

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of stress testing results on banks’ equity and CDS performance using a large sample of 12 tests from the US CCAR and the European EBA regimes in the time period from 2010 to 2018. Passing banks experience positive abnormal equity returns and tighter CDS spreads, while failing banks show strong drops in equity prices and widening CDS spreads. We also document strong market reactions at the announcement date of the stress tests. We complement existing studies by investigating the predictability of stress test outcomes and evaluating strategic options for affected banks and investors.

Suggested Citation

  • Lukas Ahnert & Pascal Vogt & Volker Vonhoff & Florian Weigert, 2020. "Regulatory stress testing and bank performance," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 26(5), pages 1449-1488, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:eufman:v:26:y:2020:i:5:p:1449-1488
    DOI: 10.1111/eufm.12267
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Kok, Christoffer & Müller, Carola & Ongena, Steven & Pancaro, Cosimo, 2023. "The disciplining effect of supervisory scrutiny in the EU-wide stress test," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    2. D. Georgoutsos & G. Moratis, 2021. "On the informative value of the EU-wide stress tests and the determinants of banks’ stock return reactions," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(4), pages 977-1008, November.
    3. Abad, Pilar & Robles, M.-Dolores & Alonso Orts, Carlos, 2023. "Stress testing programs and credit risk opacity of banks: USA vs Europe," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    4. Ferretti, Riccardo & Venturelli, Valeria & Azzaretto, Alessandro, 2023. "Does individual SREP results reveal real news?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).

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