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Responses of Soybean Water Supply and Requirement to Future Climate Conditions in Heilongjiang Province

Author

Listed:
  • Na Li

    (School of Water Conservancy and Electric Power, Heilongjiang University, Harbin 150080, China)

  • Tangzhe Nie

    (School of Water Conservancy and Electric Power, Heilongjiang University, Harbin 150080, China
    Key Laboratory of Efficient Use of Agricultural Water Resources, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, China)

  • Yi Tang

    (School of Water Conservancy and Electric Power, Heilongjiang University, Harbin 150080, China)

  • Dehao Lu

    (School of Water Conservancy and Electric Power, Heilongjiang University, Harbin 150080, China)

  • Tianyi Wang

    (School of Water Conservancy and Civil Engineering, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, China)

  • Zhongxue Zhang

    (Key Laboratory of Efficient Use of Agricultural Water Resources, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, China
    School of Water Conservancy and Civil Engineering, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, China)

  • Peng Chen

    (College of Agricultural Science and Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China)

  • Tiecheng Li

    (Key Laboratory of Efficient Use of Agricultural Water Resources, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, China
    School of Water Conservancy and Civil Engineering, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, China)

  • Linghui Meng

    (School of Architecture and Engineering, Liaocheng University, Liaocheng 252000, China)

  • Yang Jiao

    (School of Water Conservancy and Electric Power, Heilongjiang University, Harbin 150080, China)

  • Kaiwen Cheng

    (School of Water Conservancy and Electric Power, Heilongjiang University, Harbin 150080, China)

Abstract

Understanding future changes in water supply and requirement under climate change is of great significance for long-term water resource management and agricultural planning. In this study, daily minimum temperature ( T min ), maximum temperature ( T max ), solar radiation ( Rad ), and precipitation for 26 meteorological stations under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 of MIRCO5 for the future period 2021–2080 were downscaled by the LARS-WG model, daily average relative humidity ( RH ) was estimated using the method recommended by FAO-56, and reference crop evapotranspiration ( ET 0 ), crop water requirement ( ET c ), irrigation water requirement ( I r ), effective precipitation ( P e ), and coupling degree of ET c and P e ( CD ) for soybean during the growth period were calculated by the CROPWAT model in Heilongjiang Province, China. The spatial and temporal distribution of these variables and meteorological factors were analyzed, and the response of soybean water supply and requirement to climate change was explored. The result showed that the average T min , T max , and Rad under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 increased by 0.2656 and 0.5368 °C, 0.3509 and 0.5897 °C, and 0.0830 and 0.0465 MJ/m², respectively, while the average RH decreased by 0.0920% and 0.0870% per decade from 2021 to 2080. The annual average ET 0 , ET c , P e , and I r under RCP4.5 for 2021–2080 were 542.89, 414.35, 354.10, and 102.44 mm, respectively, and they increased by 1.92%, 1.64%, 2.33%, and −2.12% under the RCP8.5, respectively. The ranges of CD under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 were 0.66–0.95 and 0.66–0.96, respectively, with an average value of 0.84 for 2021–2080. Spatially, the CD showed a general trend of increasing first and then decreasing from west to east. In addition, ET 0 , ET c , and P e increased by 9.55, 7.16, and 8.77 mm per decade, respectively, under RCP8.5, while I r decreased by 0.65 mm per decade. Under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, ET c , P e , and I r showed an overall increasing trend from 2021 to 2080. This study provides a basis for water resources management policy in Heilongjiang Province, China.

Suggested Citation

  • Na Li & Tangzhe Nie & Yi Tang & Dehao Lu & Tianyi Wang & Zhongxue Zhang & Peng Chen & Tiecheng Li & Linghui Meng & Yang Jiao & Kaiwen Cheng, 2022. "Responses of Soybean Water Supply and Requirement to Future Climate Conditions in Heilongjiang Province," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-21, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jagris:v:12:y:2022:i:7:p:1035-:d:863941
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Dengpan Xiao & Wenjiao Shi, 2023. "Modeling the Adaptation of Agricultural Production to Climate Change," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-4, February.

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