IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jagris/v12y2022i11p1759-d952083.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Potential Global Distribution of Invasive Alien Species, Anthonomus grandis Boheman, under Current and Future Climate Using Optimal MaxEnt Model

Author

Listed:
  • Zhenan Jin

    (Collage of Plant Science & Technology of Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430070, China
    State Key Laboratory for Biology of Plant Diseases and Insect Pests, Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Science, Beijing 100193, China)

  • Wentao Yu

    (Fujian Key Laboratory for Technology Research of Inspection and Quarantine, Technology Centre of Fuzhou Customs, Fuzhou 350001, China)

  • Haoxiang Zhao

    (State Key Laboratory for Biology of Plant Diseases and Insect Pests, Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Science, Beijing 100193, China)

  • Xiaoqing Xian

    (State Key Laboratory for Biology of Plant Diseases and Insect Pests, Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Science, Beijing 100193, China)

  • Kaiting Jing

    (State Key Laboratory for Biology of Plant Diseases and Insect Pests, Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Science, Beijing 100193, China)

  • Nianwan Yang

    (State Key Laboratory for Biology of Plant Diseases and Insect Pests, Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Science, Beijing 100193, China
    Western Agricultural Research Center, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Changji 831100, China)

  • Xinmin Lu

    (Collage of Plant Science & Technology of Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430070, China)

  • Wanxue Liu

    (State Key Laboratory for Biology of Plant Diseases and Insect Pests, Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Science, Beijing 100193, China)

Abstract

The boll weevil, Anthonomus grandis Boheman (Coleoptera: Curculionidae), is an invasive alien species that can damage cotton plants and cause huge economic losses in the cotton industry. Currently, A. grandis is mainly distributed in the American continent. However, few studies have indicated the distribution and modification of its suitable global habitats after undergoing climate change. Based on the 339 distribution records of A. grandis and eight bioclimatic variables, we used the optimal MaxEnt model to predict the potential global distribution of A. grandis under the current (1970–2000) and future climatic scenarios (SSP5-8.5). The annual mean temperature (bio1) and isothermality (bio3) were the two most important bioclimatic variables, which indicates that the survival of A. grandis is extremely sensitive to temperature fluctuations. Under the current scenario, the highly suitable habitats were mainly distributed in America (the USA, Mexico, Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay, and Uruguay), Africa (South Africa, Ethiopia, and Mozambique), Asia (Pakistan, India, Thailand, Burma, and China), and Oceania (Australia). In future scenarios (SSP5-8.5), the potential suitable global habitats reached the highest level in America, Africa, Asia, and Oceania in the 2090s. Our study provides a meaningful reference for researchers, quarantine officers, and governments to devise suitable management control strategies for A. grandis .

Suggested Citation

  • Zhenan Jin & Wentao Yu & Haoxiang Zhao & Xiaoqing Xian & Kaiting Jing & Nianwan Yang & Xinmin Lu & Wanxue Liu, 2022. "Potential Global Distribution of Invasive Alien Species, Anthonomus grandis Boheman, under Current and Future Climate Using Optimal MaxEnt Model," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-14, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jagris:v:12:y:2022:i:11:p:1759-:d:952083
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/12/11/1759/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/12/11/1759/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Christophe Diagne & Boris Leroy & Anne-Charlotte Vaissière & Rodolphe E. Gozlan & David Roiz & Ivan Jarić & Jean-Michel Salles & Corey J. A. Bradshaw & Franck Courchamp, 2021. "High and rising economic costs of biological invasions worldwide," Nature, Nature, vol. 592(7855), pages 571-576, April.
    2. Francesca Raffini & Giorgio Bertorelle & Roberto Biello & Guido D’Urso & Danilo Russo & Luciano Bosso, 2020. "From Nucleotides to Satellite Imagery: Approaches to Identify and Manage the Invasive Pathogen Xylella fastidiosa and Its Insect Vectors in Europe," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-38, June.
    3. Christophe Diagne & Boris Leroy & Anne-Charlotte Vaissière & Rodolphe E. Gozlan & David Roiz & Ivan Jarić & Jean-Michel Salles & Corey J. A. Bradshaw & Franck Courchamp, 2021. "High and rising economic costs of biological invasions worldwide," Nature, Nature, vol. 592(7855), pages 571-576, April.
    4. Lange, Fabian & Olmstead, Alan L. & Rhode, Paul W., 2009. "The Impact of the Boll Weevil, 1892–1932," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 69(3), pages 685-718, September.
    5. Peterson, A. Townsend & Papeş, Monica & Soberón, Jorge, 2008. "Rethinking receiver operating characteristic analysis applications in ecological niche modeling," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 213(1), pages 63-72.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. van Steenderen, Clarke J.M. & Sutton, Guy F., 2024. "Climate covariate selection influences MaxEnt model predictions and predictive accuracy under current and future climates," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 498(C).
    2. Danish A. Ahmed & Phillip J. Haubrock & Ross N. Cuthbert & Alok Bang & Ismael Soto & Paride Balzani & Ali Serhan Tarkan & Rafael L. Macêdo & Laís Carneiro & Thomas W. Bodey & Francisco J. Oficialdegui, 2023. "Recent advances in availability and synthesis of the economic costs of biological invasions," Post-Print hal-04148456, HAL.
    3. Antonín Kouba & Francisco J Oficialdegui & Ross N Cuthbert & Melina Kourantidou & Josie South & Elena Tricarico & Rodolphe E Gozlan & Franck Courchamp & Phillip J Haubrock, 2022. "Identifying economic costs and knowledge gaps of invasive aquatic crustaceans," Post-Print hal-03860579, HAL.
    4. Melina Kourantidou & Laura N H Verbrugge & Phillip J Haubrock & Ross N Cuthbert & Elena Angulo & Inkeri Ahonen & Michelle Cleary & Jannike Falk-Andersson & Lena Granhag & Sindri Gíslason & Brooks Kais, 2022. "The economic costs, management and regulation of biological invasions in the Nordic countries," Post-Print hal-03860518, HAL.
    5. Thomas W Bodey & Zachary T Carter & Phillip J Haubrock & Ross N Cuthbert & Melissa J Welsh & Christophe Diagne & Franck Courchamp, 2022. "Building a synthesis of economic costs of biological invasions in New Zealand," Post-Print hal-03860523, HAL.
    6. Priscila Villalobos Perna & Mirko Di Febbraro & Maria Laura Carranza & Flavio Marzialetti & Michele Innangi, 2023. "Remote Sensing and Invasive Plants in Coastal Ecosystems: What We Know So Far and Future Prospects," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-16, January.
    7. Yemshanov, Denys & Haight, Robert G. & MacQuarrie, Chris J.K. & Simpson, Mackenzie & Koch, Frank H. & Ryan, Kathleen & Bullas-Appleton, Erin, 2022. "Hierarchical governance in invasive species survey campaigns," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    8. Tayna Sousa Duque & Iasmim Marcella Souza & Débora Sampaio Mendes & Ricardo Siqueira da Silva & Danielle Piuzana Mucida & Francisca Daniele da Silva & Daniel Valadão Silva & José Barbosa dos Santos, 2023. "Ecological Niche Modeling of Invasive Macrophyte ( Urochloa subquadripara ) and Co-Occurrence with South American Natives," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-23, August.
    9. Emma J. Hudgins & Ross N. Cuthbert & Phillip J. Haubrock & Nigel G. Taylor & Melina Kourantidou & Dat Nguyen & Alok Bang & Anna J. Turbelin & Desika Moodley & Elizabeta Briski & Syrmalenia G. Kotronak, 2023. "Unevenly distributed biological invasion costs among origin and recipient regions," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 6(9), pages 1113-1124, September.
    10. Daijun Liu & Philipp Semenchuk & Franz Essl & Bernd Lenzner & Dietmar Moser & Tim M. Blackburn & Phillip Cassey & Dino Biancolini & César Capinha & Wayne Dawson & Ellie E. Dyer & Benoit Guénard & Evan, 2023. "The impact of land use on non-native species incidence and number in local assemblages worldwide," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    11. Sally E. Street & Jorge S. Gutiérrez & William L. Allen & Isabella Capellini, 2023. "Human activities favour prolific life histories in both traded and introduced vertebrates," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-12, December.
    12. Shu-ya Fan & Qiang Yang & Shao-peng Li & Trevor S. Fristoe & Marc W. Cadotte & Franz Essl & Holger Kreft & Jan Pergl & Petr Pyšek & Patrick Weigelt & John Kartesz & Misako Nishino & Jan J. Wieringa & , 2023. "A latitudinal gradient in Darwin’s naturalization conundrum at the global scale for flowering plants," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    13. Ismael Soto & Ross N Cuthbert & Antonín Kouba & César Capinha & Anna Turbelin & Emma J Hudgins & Christophe Diagne & Franck Courchamp & Phillip J Haubrock, 2022. "Global economic costs of herpetofauna invasions," Post-Print hal-03860530, HAL.
    14. Ross N Cuthbert & Christophe Diagne & Emma J Hudgins & Anna Turbelin & Danish A Ahmed & Céline Albert & Thomas W Bodey & Elizabeta Briski & Franz Essl & Phillip J Haubrock & Rodolphe E Gozlan & Natali, 2022. "Biological invasion costs reveal insufficient proactive management worldwide," Post-Print hal-03860581, HAL.
    15. Michael Opoku Adomako & Sergio Roiloa & Fei-Hai Yu, 2022. "The COVID-19 Restrictions and Biological Invasion: A Global Terrestrial Ecosystem Perspective on Propagule Pressure and Invasion Trajectory," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-11, November.
    16. Dan Song & Yinzhe Zhang & Junfeng Li & Puze Wang & Shaowen Ye & Tanglin Zhang & Wei Li & Chuansong Liao & Chuanbo Guo & Jiashou Liu, 2023. "Thermal Preference May Facilitate Spatial Coexistence of Two Invasive Fish Species in Lake Bosten, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-12, May.
    17. Pérez, Giovanny & Vilà, Montserrat & Gallardo, Belinda, 2022. "Potential impact of four invasive alien plants on the provision of ecosystem services in Europe under present and future climatic scenarios," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    18. Wiltshire, Kathryn H & Tanner, Jason E, 2020. "Comparing maximum entropy modelling methods to inform aquaculture site selection for novel seaweed species," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 429(C).
    19. Stephan E. Maurer & Andrei V. Potlogea, 2021. "Male‐biased Demand Shocks and Women's Labour Force Participation: Evidence from Large Oil Field Discoveries," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 88(349), pages 167-188, January.
    20. Václavík, Tomáš & Meentemeyer, Ross K., 2009. "Invasive species distribution modeling (iSDM): Are absence data and dispersal constraints needed to predict actual distributions?," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 220(23), pages 3248-3258.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jagris:v:12:y:2022:i:11:p:1759-:d:952083. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.