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Export–Import Activity and Its Assessment: The Ukrainian Case

Author

Listed:
  • Lyudmyla Malyarets

    (Department of Economic and Mathematical Modeling, Simon Kuznets Kharkiv National University of Economics, Nauky Ave., 9-A, 61166 Kharkiv, Ukraine)

  • Svitlana Labunska

    (Department of Accounting and Business Consulting, Simon Kuznets Kharkiv National University of Economics, Nauky Ave., 9-A, 61166 Kharkiv, Ukraine
    Institute of Public Administration, Bratislava University of Economics and Management, Furdekova 16, 851 04 Bratislava, Slovakia)

  • Mykola Sidak

    (Institute of Public Administration, Bratislava University of Economics and Management, Furdekova 16, 851 04 Bratislava, Slovakia)

  • Hanna Bilokonenko

    (Department of Psychology and Sociology, Simon Kuznets Kharkiv National University of Economics, Nauky Ave., 9-A, 61166 Kharkiv, Ukraine)

  • Viktoriya Onegina

    (Department of Finance, Economics, Law, and Systems, Clermont School of Business, 4 Boulevard Truden, 63000 Clermont-Ferrand, France
    Department of Global Economy, State Biotechnological University, Alchevskikh St., 44, 61002 Kharkiv, Ukraine)

Abstract

The development of export–import activity at all levels of the national economic system is an important factor and the result of globalization and country integration in the world economy. The elaboration of sound public policy related to export–import activity is based on its assessment and analysis. The goal of this article is the systematization and development of methodological support for the evaluation of the export–import activity of the national economy, including the development of its technology and a conceptual assessment model, which is presented in a structural–logical–semantic form, and the analysis and forecasting of export–import activity using the proposed model. To achieve the research goal, quantitative methods were used: the method of integral taxonomic indicators of development and efficiency, the method of forecasting based on trend models, multivariate factor analysis, and the modified method of cointegration of time series. A set of indicators for the export–import activity “development–effectiveness” matrix was proposed, and their dichotomies were studied. To ensure the reliability and objectivity of the export–import activity assessment, a methodological basis, which is detailed by structural elements, was formed. The model was constructed and tested based on monthly data on the export–import activity of Ukraine for the years 2021–2023.

Suggested Citation

  • Lyudmyla Malyarets & Svitlana Labunska & Mykola Sidak & Hanna Bilokonenko & Viktoriya Onegina, 2025. "Export–Import Activity and Its Assessment: The Ukrainian Case," Administrative Sciences, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-27, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jadmsc:v:15:y:2025:i:2:p:42-:d:1582616
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pian Shu & Claudia Steinwender, 2019. "The Impact of Trade Liberalization on Firm Productivity and Innovation," Innovation Policy and the Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 19(1), pages 39-68.
    2. Shujaat Abbas & Abdul Waheed, 2015. "Pakistan’s potential export flow: The gravity model approach," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 49(4), pages 367-377, October-D.
    3. Cooke, Stephen C. & Watson, Philip, 2011. "A Comparison of Regional Export Enhancement and Import Substitution Economic Development Strategies," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 41(01), pages 1-15.
    4. repec:ags:jrapmc:133140 is not listed on IDEAS
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