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Conditional Price Trends in the Aftermarket for Initial Public Offerings

Author

Listed:
  • John Affleck-Graves
  • Shantaram Hegde
  • Robert E. Miller

Abstract

We document that the risk-adjusted returns on initial public offerings (IPOs) in the short-term aftermarket are in the same direction as their initial mispricing. The initially underpriced issues earn 2.46% (6.40%) more, on average, than similar sized firms over the first month (first three months) of trading. In contrast, overpriced IPOs underperform size-matched firms, on average, by 4.42% (1.31%) over a similar period. Subsequently, both groups of IPOs earn similar negative abnormal returns, which is consistent with the long-term underperformance of IPOs reported in previous studies. Further scrutiny indicates that the observed condition price trends cannot be satisfactorily explained by underwriter price stabilization.

Suggested Citation

  • John Affleck-Graves & Shantaram Hegde & Robert E. Miller, 1996. "Conditional Price Trends in the Aftermarket for Initial Public Offerings," Financial Management, Financial Management Association, vol. 25(4), Winter.
    • Handle: RePEc:fma:fmanag:graves96
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    Cited by:

    1. Hahl, Teemu & Vähämaa, Sami & Äijö, Janne, 2014. "Value versus growth in IPOs: New evidence from Finland," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 17-31.
    2. Agathee, Ushad Subadar & Sannassee, Raja Vinesh & Brooks, Chris, 2012. "The underpricing of IPOs on the Stock Exchange of Mauritius," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 281-303.
    3. Chi, Jing & Padgett, Carol, 2005. "Short-run underpricing and its characteristics in Chinese initial public offering (IPO) markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 71-93, March.
    4. Maher Kooli & Jean-Marc Suret, 2001. "The Aftermarket Performance of Initial Public Offerings in Canada," CIRANO Working Papers 2001s-52, CIRANO.
    5. Francis Boabang, 2005. "The Opening, Short, Medium and Long Term Performance of Canadian Unit Trust Initial Public Offerings (IPOs)," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(7‐8), pages 1519-1536, September.
    6. Subadar Agathee, Ushad & Brooks, Chris & Sannassee, Raja Vinesh, 2012. "Hot and cold IPO markets: The case of the Stock Exchange of Mauritius," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 168-192.
    7. McGuinness, Paul B., 2014. "IPO firm value and its connection with cornerstone and wider signalling effects," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 138-162.
    8. Su, Dongwei, 2004. "Adverse-selection versus signaling: evidence from the pricing of Chinese IPOs," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 1-19.
    9. Beat Reber & Bob Berry & Steve Toms, 2005. "Predicting mispricing of initial public offerings," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(1), pages 41-59, March.
    10. Paul B. McGuinness, 2016. "Post-IPO performance and its association with subscription cascades and issuers’ strategic-political importance," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 46(2), pages 291-333, February.
    11. Katharina, Lewellen, 2004. "Risk, Reputation, and the Price Support of IPOs," Working papers 4453-03, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Sloan School of Management.
    12. Maher Kooli & Jean-Marc Suret, 2001. "The Underpricing of Initial Public Offerings: Further Canadian Evidence," CIRANO Working Papers 2001s-50, CIRANO.

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